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We consider an expected utility maximization problem where the utility function is not necessarily concave and the time horizon is uncertain. We establish a necessary and sufficient condition for the optimality for general non-concave…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-14 Christian Dehm , Thai Nguyen , Mitja Stadje

We consider an energy storage problem involving a wind farm with a forecasted power output, a stochastic load, an energy storage device, and a connection to the larger power grid with stochastic prices. Electricity prices and wind power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Joseph L. Durante , Juliana Nascimento , Warren B. Powell

In this paper, we investigate cost-aware joint learning and optimization for multi-channel opportunistic spectrum access in a cognitive radio system. We investigate a discrete time model where the time axis is partitioned into frames. Each…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-04-12 Chao Gan , Ruida Zhou , Jing Yang , Cong Shen

We consider the hedging error of a derivative due to discrete trading in the presence of a drift in the dynamics of the underlying asset. We suppose that the trader wishes to find rebalancing times for the hedging portfolio which enable him…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Jiatu Cai , Masaaki Fukasawa , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Peter Tankov

We propose a novel randomized linear programming algorithm for approximating the optimal policy of the discounted Markov decision problem. By leveraging the value-policy duality and binary-tree data structures, the algorithm adaptively…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Mengdi Wang

This thesis is concerned with the stochastic filtering problem for a hidden Markov model (HMM) with the white noise observation model. For this filtering problem, we make three types of original contributions: (1) dual controllability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Jin Won Kim

Herein, the Hidden Markov Model is expanded to allow for Markov chain observations. In particular, the observations are assumed to be a Markov chain whose one step transition probabilities depend upon the hidden Markov chain. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Michael A. Kouritzin

While advances continue to be made in model-based clustering, challenges persist in modeling various data types such as panel data. Multivariate panel data present difficulties for clustering algorithms because they are often plagued by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-26 Mackenzie R. Neal , Alexa A. Sochaniwsky , Paul D. McNicholas

Asynchronous trading in high-frequency financial markets introduces significant biases into econometric analysis, distorting risk estimates and leading to suboptimal portfolio decisions. Existing synchronization methods, such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-17 Xinbing Kong , Cheng Liu , Bin Wu

Changes in market conditions present challenges for investors as they cause performance to deviate from the ranges predicted by long-term averages of means and covariances. The aim of conditional asset allocation strategies is to overcome…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Reza Bradrania , Davood Pirayesh Neghab

Dynamic pricing schemes were introduced as an alternative to posted-price mechanisms. In contrast to static models, the dynamic setting allows to update the prices between buyer-arrivals based on the remaining sets of items and buyers, and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Kristóf Bérczi , Erika R. Bérczi-Kovács , Evelin Szögi

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

Difference-in-differences is a common method for estimating treatment effects, and the parallel trends condition is its main identifying assumption: the trend in mean untreated outcomes is independent of the observed treatment status. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-09 Philip Marx , Elie Tamer , Xun Tang

Addressing uncertainty is critical for autonomous systems to robustly adapt to the real world. We formulate the problem of model uncertainty as a continuous Bayes-Adaptive Markov Decision Process (BAMDP), where an agent maintains a…

Recommender systems are widely used for suggesting books, education materials, and products to users by exploring their behaviors. In reality, users' preferences often change over time, leading to studies on time-dependent recommender…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Haidong Zhang , Wancheng Ni , Xin Li , Yiping Yang

Financial markets change their behaviours abruptly. The mean, variance and correlation patterns of stocks can vary dramatically, triggered by fundamental changes in macroeconomic variables, policies or regulations. A trader needs to adapt…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-07 Sonam Srivastava , Ritabratta Bhattacharya

We study an optimal investment problem under default risk where related information such as loss or recovery at default is considered as an exogenous random mark added at default time. Two types of agents who have different levels of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-02 Ying Jiao , Idris Kharroubi

This survey reviews portfolio selection problem for long-term horizon. We consider two objectives: (i) maximize the probability for outperforming a target growth rate of wealth process (ii) minimize the probability of falling below a target…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-28 Huyen Pham

Social recommendation leverages social information to solve data sparsity and cold-start problems in traditional collaborative filtering methods. However, most existing models assume that social effects from friend users are static and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Qitian Wu , Hengrui Zhang , Xiaofeng Gao , Peng He , Paul Weng , Han Gao , Guihai Chen

This paper captures irregularities in financial time series data, particularly stock prices, in the presence of COVID-19 shock. We conjectured that jumps and irregularities are embedded in stock data due to the pandemic shock, which brings…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Leonard Mushunje , David Allen , Shelton Peiris
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