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While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Da In Kim , Wei Siang Lai , Kelly W. Zhang

Motivated by the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic models proposed by Kermack and Mckendrick, we consider a class of stochastic compartmental dynamical systems with a notion of partial ordering among the compartments.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-03 Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Boseung Choi , Eben Kenah , Grzegorz A. Rempala

Count-valued autoregressions are widely used to analyse time-series of reported infectious-disease cases because of their close connection with discrete-time transmission models. However, when such models are applied directly to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Justin J. Slater , Sindi Bebeziqi

Over the last five decades, we have seen strong methodological advances in survival analysis, mainly in two separate strands: One strand is based on a parametric approach that assumes some response distribution. More prominent, however, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Sandra Siegfried , Bálint Tamási , Torsten Hothorn

The COVID-19 pandemic has emphasized the need for a robust understanding of epidemic models. Current models of epidemics are classified as either mechanistic or non-mechanistic: mechanistic models make explicit assumptions on the dynamics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Arnab Sarker , Ali Jadbabaie , Devavrat Shah

Organizations interact with the environment and with other organizations, and these interactions constitute an important way of learning and evolution. To overcome the problems that they face during their existence, organizations must…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-05 Paula Lopes , Pedro Campos , Luis Meira-Machado

This study investigated the performance, explainability, and robustness of deployed artificial intelligence (AI) models in predicting mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond. The first study of its kind, we found that Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jacob R. Epifano , Stephen Glass , Ravi P. Ramachandran , Sharad Patel , Aaron J. Masino , Ghulam Rasool

The SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19 disease have posed unprecedented and overwhelming demand, challenges and opportunities to domain, model and data driven modeling. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the challenges, tasks,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Longbing Cao , Qing Liu

Accurately predicting the time of occurrence of an event of interest is a critical problem in longitudinal data analysis. One of the main challenges in this context is the presence of instances whose event outcomes become unobservable after…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-26 Ping Wang , Yan Li , Chandan K. Reddy

The statistical machine learning community has demonstrated considerable resourcefulness over the years in developing highly expressive tools for estimation, prediction, and inference. The bedrock assumptions underlying these developments…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Alnur Ali , Maxime Cauchois , John C. Duchi

Survival analysis is a widely-used technique for analyzing time-to-event data in the presence of censoring. In recent years, numerous survival analysis methods have emerged which scale to large datasets and relax traditional assumptions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Mert Ketenci , Shreyas Bhave , Noémie Elhadad , Adler Perotte

COVID-19 pandemic represents an unprecedented global health crisis in the last 100 years. Its economic, social and health impact continues to grow and is likely to end up as one of the worst global disasters since the 1918 pandemic and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-22 Aniruddha Adiga , Devdatt Dubhashi , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Anil Vullikanti

When dealing with right-censored data, where some outcomes are missing due to a limited observation period, survival analysis -- known as time-to-event analysis -- focuses on predicting the time until an event of interest occurs. Multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-23 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

In order to model an epidemic, different approaches can be adopted. Mainly, the deterministic approach and the stochastic one. Recently, a large amount of literature has been published using the two approaches. The aim of this paper is to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-30 Mohamed Mehdaoui

Comparisons of different treatments or production processes are the goals of a significant fraction of applied research. Unsurprisingly, two-sample problems play a main role in Statistics through natural questions such as `Is the the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 P. C. Álvarez-Esteban , E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matrán

Accurately predicting the lifespan of critical device components is essential for maintenance planning and production optimization, making it a topic of significant interest in both academia and industry. In this work, we investigate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Dan Parii , Evelyne Janssen , Guangzhi Tang , Charalampos Kouzinopoulos , Marcin Pietrasik

Medical investigations focusing on patient survival often generate not only a failure time for each patient but also a sequence of measurements on patient health at annual or semi-annual check-ups while the patient remains alive. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-18 Peter McCullagh , Walter Dempsey

Survival analysis is a statistical framework for modeling time-to-event data, particularly valuable in healthcare for predicting outcomes like patient discharge or recurrence. This study implements and compares several survival models -…

Many researchers have investigated first hitting times as models for survival data. First hitting times arise naturally in many types of stochastic processes, ranging from Wiener processes to Markov chains. In a survival context, the state…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-29 Mei-Ling Ting Lee , G. A. Whitmore

An accurate model of a patient's individual survival distribution can help determine the appropriate treatment for terminal patients. Unfortunately, risk scores (e.g., from Cox Proportional Hazard models) do not provide survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Humza Haider , Bret Hoehn , Sarah Davis , Russell Greiner