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We describe a Bayesian approach to estimating luminosity functions. We derive the likelihood function and posterior probability distribution for the luminosity function, given the observed data, and we compare the Bayesian approach with…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Brandon C. Kelly , Xiaohui Fan , Marianne Vestergaard

The promise of multi-messenger astronomy relies on the rapid detection of gravitational waves at very low latencies ($\mathcal{O}$(1\,s)) in order to maximize the amount of time available for follow-up observations. In recent years,…

Reliable low-latency gravitational wave parameter estimation is essential to target limited electromagnetic followup facilities toward astrophysically interesting and electromagnetically relevant sources of gravitational waves. In this…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-09-09 Brandon Miller , Richard O'Shaughnessy , Tyson B. Littenberg , Ben Farr

This article surveys computational methods for posterior inference with intractable likelihoods, that is where the likelihood function is unavailable in closed form, or where evaluation of the likelihood is infeasible. We review recent…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-10 Matthew T. Moores , Anthony N. Pettitt , Kerrie Mengersen

The detection of gravitational waves from compact binary coalescence (CBC) has allowed us to probe the strong-field dynamics of General Relativity (GR). Among various tests performed by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration are parameterized…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-12-06 Naresh Adhikari , Soichiro Morisaki

Many astronomical surveys are limited by the brightness of the sources, and gravitational-wave searches are no exception. The detectability of gravitational waves from merging binaries is affected by the mass and spin of the constituent…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-01-04 Colm Talbot , Eric Thrane

Parameter estimation on gravitational wave signals from compact binary coalescence (CBC) requires the evaluation of computationally intensive waveform models, typically the bottleneck in the analysis. This cost will increase further as low…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2017-05-22 Serena Vinciguerra , John Veitch , Ilya Mandel

With the next generation of both electromagnetic and gravitational wave observatories beginning to come online, rapid analysis methods for kilonova data are becoming increasingly important in astronomy. Traditional Bayesian parameter…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-15 Stephanie M. Brown , Mattia Bulla , Hiranya V. Peiris , Nikhil Sarin , Daniel Mortlock , Stephen Thorp , Gurjeet Jagwani , Stephan Rosswog , Samaya Nissanke

In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

Bayesian analysis has become an indispensable tool across many different cosmological fields including the study of gravitational waves, the Cosmic Microwave Background and the 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn among other phenomena. The…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-19 Harry T. J. Bevins , William J. Handley , Pablo Lemos , Peter H. Sims , Eloy de Lera Acedo , Anastasia Fialkov , Justin Alsing

This paper develops a Bayesian computational platform at the interface between posterior sampling and optimization in models whose marginal likelihoods are difficult to evaluate. Inspired by adversarial optimization, namely Generative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Rockova

A new model independent method is presented for the analysis of pulsar timing data and the estimation of the spectral properties of an isotropic gravitational wave background (GWB). We show that by rephrasing the likelihood we are able to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-06-26 Lindley Lentati , Paul Alexander , Michael P. Hobson , Stephen Taylor , Jonathon Gair , Sreekumar T. Balan , Rutger van Haasteren

We develop an ultrawideband (UWB) inverse scattering technique for reconstructing continuous random media based on Bayesian compressive sensing. In addition to providing maximum a posteriori estimates of the unknown weights, Bayesian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-27 A. E. Fouda , F. L. Teixeira

Weak lensing mass-mapping is a useful tool to access the full distribution of dark matter on the sky, but because of intrinsic galaxy ellipticies and finite fields/missing data, the recovery of dark matter maps constitutes a challenging…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-05 Benjamin Remy , Francois Lanusse , Niall Jeffrey , Jia Liu , Jean-Luc Starck , Ken Osato , Tim Schrabback

Many inference problems involve inferring the number $N$ of components in some region, along with their properties $\{\mathbf{x}_i\}_{i=1}^N$, from a dataset $\mathcal{D}$. A common statistical example is finite mixture modelling. In the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-01-15 Brendon J. Brewer

An efficient algorithm is proposed for Bayesian model calibration, which is commonly used to estimate the model parameters of non-linear, computationally expensive models using measurement data. The approach is based on Bayesian statistics:…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-06 L. M. M. van den Bos , B. Sanderse , W. A. A. M. Bierbooms , G. J. W. van Bussel

The detection of galactic binaries as sources of gravitational waves promises an unprecedented wealth of information about these systems, but also raises several challenges in signal processing. In particular the large number of expected…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-11-25 A. Blelly , J. Bobin , H. Moutarde

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

An isotropic stochastic background of nanohertz gravitational waves creates excess residual power in pulsar-timing-array datasets, with characteristic inter-pulsar correlations described by the Hellings-Downs function. These correlations…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-05-25 Sophie Hourihane , Patrick Meyers , Aaron Johnson , Katerina Chatziioannou , Michele Vallisneri

This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-06 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson