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The direct detection of gravitational waves (GWs) by LIGO has strikingly confirmed general relativity (GR), but testing GR via GWs requires estimating parameterized post-Einsteinian (ppE) deviation parameters in waveform models. Traditional…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-03 Yong-Xin Zhang , Tian-Yang Sun , Chun-Yu Xiong , Song-Tao Liu , Yu-Xin Wang , Shang-Jie Jin , Jing-Fei Zhang , Xin Zhang

In this paper, we present a novel approach to accelerate the Bayesian inference process, focusing specifically on the nested sampling algorithms. Bayesian inference plays a crucial role in cosmological parameter estimation, providing a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-17 Isidro Gómez-Vargas , J. Alberto Vázquez

Radial velocity (RV) planet searches are increasingly finding planets with small velocity amplitudes, with long orbital periods, or in multiple planet systems. Bayesian inference has the potential to improve the interpretation of existing…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Eric B. Ford , Philip C. Gregory

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Generative models and those with computationally intractable likelihoods are widely used to describe complex systems in the natural sciences, social sciences, and engineering. Fitting these models to data requires likelihood-free inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Rui Zhang , Oksana A. Chkrebtii , Dongbin Xiu

We combine amortized neural posterior estimation with importance sampling for fast and accurate gravitational-wave inference. We first generate a rapid proposal for the Bayesian posterior using neural networks, and then attach importance…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-05-31 Maximilian Dax , Stephen R. Green , Jonathan Gair , Michael Pürrer , Jonas Wildberger , Jakob H. Macke , Alessandra Buonanno , Bernhard Schölkopf

We propose a novel method to test the consistency of the multipole moments of compact binary systems with the predictions of General Relativity (GR). The multipole moments of a compact binary system, known in terms of symmetric and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-01-16 Shilpa Kastha , Anuradha Gupta , K. G. Arun , B. S. Sathyaprakash , Chris Van Den Broeck

We present a robust and efficient methodology for parameter estimation of gravitational waves generated during the post-merger phase of binary neutron star mergers. Our approach leverages an analytic waveform model combined with empirical…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-13 Stamatis Vretinaris , Georgios Vretinaris , Christos Mermigkas , Minas Karamanis , Nikolaos Stergioulas

Third-generation (3G) gravitational-wave detectors will observe thousands of coalescing neutron star binaries with unprecedented fidelity. Extracting the highest precision science from these signals is expected to be challenging owing to…

Bayesian models often involve a small set of hyperparameters determined by maximizing the marginal likelihood. Bayesian optimization is a popular iterative method where a Gaussian process posterior of the underlying function is sequentially…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-18 Oskar Gustafsson , Mattias Villani , Pär Stockhammar

The estimation of the polarization $P$ of extragalactic compact sources in Cosmic Microwave Background images is a very important task in order to clean these images for cosmological purposes -- as, for example, to constrain the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-07 D. Herranz , F. Argüeso , L. Toffolatti , A. Manjón-García , M. López-Caniego

Gravitational waves from compact binaries measured by the LIGO and Virgo detectors are routinely analyzed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithms. Because the evaluation of the likelihood function requires evaluating millions of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-23 Arnaud Delaunoy , Antoine Wehenkel , Tanja Hinderer , Samaya Nissanke , Christoph Weniger , Andrew R. Williamson , Gilles Louppe

This paper presents an efficient Bayesian framework for solving nonlinear, high-dimensional model calibration problems. It is based on a Variational Bayesian formulation that aims at approximating the exact posterior by means of solving an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-02 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Significant human and observational resources have been dedicated to electromagnetic followup of gravitational-wave events detected by Advanced LIGO and Virgo. As the sensitivity of LIGO and Virgo improves, the rate of sources detected will…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-16 Daniel Finstad , Duncan A. Brown

The interpretation of cosmological observables requires the use of increasingly sophisticated theoretical models. Since these models are becoming computationally very expensive and display non-trivial uncertainties, the use of standard…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 Marcos Pellejero-Ibañez , Raul E. Angulo , Giovanni Aricó , Matteo Zennaro , Sergio Contreras , Jens Stücker

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2012-12-10 Y. Fan , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

The analysis of gravitational wave data involves many model selection problems. The most important example is the detection problem of selecting between the data being consistent with instrument noise alone, or instrument noise and a…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Neil J. Cornish , Tyson B. Littenberg

Modern simulation-based inference techniques use neural networks to solve inverse problems efficiently. One notable strategy is neural posterior estimation (NPE), wherein a neural network parameterizes a distribution to approximate the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-06 Alex Kolmus , Justin Janquart , Tomasz Baka , Twan van Laarhoven , Chris Van Den Broeck , Tom Heskes

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will observe gravitational-wave signals from a wide range of sources, including massive black hole binaries. Although numerous techniques have been developed to perform Bayesian inference for…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-08-26 Charlie Hoy , Connor Weaving , Laura K. Nuttall , Ian Harry

Bayesian inference for complex models with an intractable likelihood can be tackled using algorithms performing many calls to computer simulators. These approaches are collectively known as "simulation-based inference" (SBI). Recent SBI…

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