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We propose a monitoring strategy for efficient and robust estimation of disease prevalence and case numbers within closed and enumerated populations such as schools, workplaces, or retirement communities. The proposed design relies largely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Robert H. Lyles , Yuzi Zhang , Lin Ge , Lance A. Waller

Advances in data collecting technologies in genomics have significantly increased the need for tools designed to study the genetic basis of many diseases. Effective statistical methods should excel in both prediction accuracy and biomarker…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Anthony-Alexander Christidis , Stefan Van Aelst , Ruben Zamar

The model interpretation is essential in many application scenarios and to build a classification model with a ease of model interpretation may provide useful information for further studies and improvement. It is common to encounter with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-07 Wan-Ping Nicole Chen , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

We develop a new classification framework based on the theory of coherent risk measures and systemic risk. The proposed approach is suitable for multi-class problems when the data is noisy, scarce (relative to the dimension of the problem),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Darinka Dentcheva , Xiangyu Tian

There are many sources of data giving information about the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the population, but all have major drawbacks, including biases and delayed reporting. For example, the number of confirmed cases largely…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-08 Nicholas J. Irons , Adrian E. Raftery

We develop a statistical model for the testing of disease prevalence in a population. The model assumes a binary test result, positive or negative, but allows for biases in sample selection and both type I (false positive) and type II…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-28 Lucas Böttcher , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

With medical tests becoming increasingly available, concerns about over-testing and over-treatment dramatically increase. Hence, it is important to understand the influence of testing on treatment selection in general practice. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Yun Li , Irina Bondarenko , Michael R. Elliott , Timothy P. Hofer , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Binary observations are often repeated to improve data quality, creating technical replicates. Several scoring methods are commonly used to infer the actual individual state and obtain a probability for each state. The common practice of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-24 Manuela Royer-Carenzi , Hadrien Lorenzo , Pierre Pudlo

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we consider a statistical classification task in a sequential setting where test samples arrive sequentially. In addition, the generating distributions are unknown and only a set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mahdi Haghifam , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Ashish Khisti

Predictive uncertainty-a model's self awareness regarding its accuracy on an input-is key for both building robust models via training interventions and for test-time applications such as selective classification. We propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Nishant Jain , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Pradeep Shenoy

In this paper we propose a nonparametric graphical test based on optimal matching, for assessing the equality of multiple unknown multivariate probability distributions. Our procedure pools the data from the different classes to create a…

Class imbalanced datasets are common in real-world applications that range from credit card fraud detection to rare disease diagnostics. Several popular classification algorithms assume that classes are approximately balanced, and hence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-10 Val Andrei Fajardo , David Findlay , Roshanak Houmanfar , Charu Jaiswal , Jiaxi Liang , Honglei Xie

We consider high-dimensional multiclass classification by sparse multinomial logistic regression. Unlike binary classification, in the multiclass setup one can think about an entire spectrum of possible notions of sparsity associated with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Tomer Levy , Felix Abramovich

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

We study the problem of multi-class classification under system-level constraints expressible as linear functionals over randomized classifiers. We propose a post-processing approach that adjusts a given base classifier to satisfy general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Evgenii Chzhen , Mohamed Hebiri , Gayane Taturyan

Set classification problems arise when classification tasks are based on sets of observations as opposed to individual observations. In set classification, a classification rule is trained with $N$ sets of observations, where each set is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-08 Sungkyu Jung , Xingye Qiao

In various situations one is given only the predictions of multiple classifiers over a large unlabeled test data. This scenario raises the following questions: Without any labeled data and without any a-priori knowledge about the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-31 Ariel Jaffe , Boaz Nadler , Yuval Kluger

Data rebalancing techniques, including oversampling and undersampling, are a common approach to addressing the challenges of imbalanced data. To tackle unresolved problems related to both oversampling and undersampling, we propose a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Karen Medlin , Sven Leyffer , Krishnan Raghavan

Governments and public health authorities use seroprevalence studies to guide responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Seroprevalence surveys estimate the proportion of individuals who have detectable SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. However, serologic…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-11 Samuel P. Rosin , Bonnie E. Shook-Sa , Stephen R. Cole , Michael G. Hudgens

Probabilities in the multiverse can be calculated by assuming that we are typical representatives in a given reference class. But is this class well defined? What should be included in the ensemble in which we are supposed to be typical?…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Jaume Garriga , Alexander Vilenkin