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We consider a stochastic tournament game in which each player is rewarded based on her rank in terms of the completion time of her own task and is subject to cost of effort. When players are homogeneous and the rewards are purely rank…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Jakša Cvitanić , Yuchong Zhang

We develop a hierarchical Bayesian dynamic game for competitive inventory and pricing under incomplete information. Two firms repeatedly choose order quantities and prices while facing two layers of uncertainty: unknown market demand and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Debashis Chatterjee

We consider a multi-player non-zero-sum turn-based game (abbreviated as multi-player game) on a finite directed graph. A secure equilibrium (SE) is a strategy profile in which no player has the incentive to deviate from the strategy because…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Hiroki Mizuno , Yoshiaki Takata , Hiroyuki Seki

We construct subgame-perfect equilibria with mixed strategies for symmetric stochastic timing games with arbitrary strategic incentives. The strategies are qualitatively different for local first- or second-mover advantages, which we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Jan-Henrik Steg

Quantifying uncertainties in collective human behavior and decision making is crucial for ensuring public health and safety, enabling effective disaster response, informing the design of transportation and communication networks, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-02 Kimberly J. Schlesinger , Chantal Nguyen , Imtiaz Ali , Jean M. Carlson

We study a problem of optimal irreversible investment and emission reduction formulated as a nonzero-sum dynamic game between an investor with environmental preferences and a firm. The game is set in continuous time on an infinite-time…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Tiziano De Angelis , Caio César Graciani Rodrigues , Peter Tankov

An optimal control problem is considered for a stochastic differential equation containing a state-dependent regime switching, with a recursive cost functional. Due to the non-exponential discounting in the cost functional, the problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Hongwei Mei , Jiongmin Yong

This paper provides a general characterization of subgame perfect equilibria for strategic timing problems, where two firms have the (real) option to make an irreversible investment. Profit streams are uncertain and depend on the market…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-23 Jan-Henrik Steg

We propose a new dynamics for equilibrium selection of finite player discrete strategy games. The dynamics is motivated by optimal transportation, and models individual players' myopicity, greedy and uncertainty when making decisions. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-26 Shui-Nee Chow , Wuchen Li , Jun Lu , Haomin Zhou

In two-player zero-sum stochastic games, where two competing players make decisions under uncertainty, a pair of optimal strategies is traditionally described by Nash equilibrium and computed under the assumption that the players have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Yagiz Savas , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Takashi Tanaka , Ufuk Topcu

We study a stochastic game where one player tries to find a strategy such that the state process reaches a target of controlled-loss-type, no matter which action is chosen by the other player. We provide, in a general setup, a relaxed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Bruno Bouchard , Ludovic Moreau , Marcel Nutz

This work contains the mathematical exploration of a few prototypical games in which central concepts from statistics and probability theory naturally emerge. The first two kinds of games are termed Fisher and Bayesian games, which are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Jozsef Konczer

We investigate the increasingly important and common game-solving setting where we do not have an explicit description of the game but only oracle access to it through gameplay, such as in financial or military simulations and computer…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Carlos Martin , Tuomas Sandholm

We consider the dynamics, existence and stability of the equilibrium states for large populations of individuals who can play various types of non--cooperative games. The players imitate the most attractive strategies, and the choice is…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-04-02 Tadeusz Platkowski , Jan Zakrzewski

In the paper it is proven that the two-players turn-based stochastic game "Risk or Safety" has a unique solution. Both players need to play the same strategy if they want to maximize their winning chances. An analytical method based on the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Rüdiger Jehn

We present a subjective equilibrium notion (called "subjective equilibrium under beliefs of exogenous uncertainty (SEBEU)" for stochastic dynamic games in which each player chooses her decisions under the (incorrect) belief that a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Gürdal Arslan , Serdar Yüksel

In this study, we analyse the global stability of the equilibrium in a departure time choice problem using a game-theoretic approach that deals with atomic users. We first formulate the departure time choice problem as a strategic game in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-21 Koki Satsukawa , Kentaro Wada , Takamasa Iryo

This paper studies a war of attrition game in the setting of public good provision that combines three elements: (i) multiple players, (ii) incomplete information, and (iii) ex-ante asymmetry. In the unique equilibrium, asymmetry leads to a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-27 Hongcheng Li

We study learning dynamics induced by strategic agents who repeatedly play a game with an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In this dynamics, a belief estimate of the parameter is repeatedly updated given players' strategies and realized…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

We employ a natural method from the perspective of the optimal stopping theory to analyze entry-exit decisions with implementation delay of a project, and provide closed expressions for optimal entry decision times, optimal exit decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Yong-Chao Zhang