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In this paper we consider the simulation-based Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) models. Extending the highly efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo mixture sampler for the SV model proposed in Kim et al. (1998) and Omori…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-21 Daichi Hiraki , Siddhartha Chib , Yasuhiro Omori

We study the Lp-integrated risk of some classical estimators of the density, when the observations are drawn from a strictly stationary sequence. The results apply to a large class of sequences, which can be non-mixing in the sense of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-18 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

We develop a GMM approach for estimation of log-normal stochastic volatility models driven by a fractional Brownian motion with unrestricted Hurst exponent. We show that a parameter estimator based on the integrated variance is consistent…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Anine E. Bolko , Kim Christensen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Bezirgen Veliyev

Let $(X_t)_{t \ge 0}$ be solution of a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation. Our aim is to study the convergence rate for the estimation of the invariant density in intermediate regime, assuming that a discrete observation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

A new maximum likelihood method for deconvoluting a continuous density with a positive lower bound on a known compact support in additive measurement error models with known error distribution using the approximate Bernstein type polynomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 Zhong Guan

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

This paper provides a new methodology to analyze unobserved heterogeneity when observed characteristics are modeled nonlinearly. The proposed model builds on varying random coefficients (VRC) that are determined by nonlinear functions of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-05 Christoph Breunig

The purpose of the present work is to construct estimators for the random effects in a fractional diffusion model using a hybrid estimation method where we combine parametric and nonparametric thechniques. We precisely consider $n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Nesrine Chebli , Hamdi Fathallah , Yousri Slaoui

We study a new parametric approach for hidden discrete-time diffusion models. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution and leads to estimate a large class of stochastic models with nonlinear drift and nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-01 Salima El Kolei , Florian Pelgrin

We propose nonparametric estimators of the occupation measure and the occupation density of the diffusion coefficient (stochastic volatility) of a discretely observed It\^{o} semimartingale on a fixed interval when the mesh of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Jia Li , Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

It is a market practice to express market-implied volatilities in some parametric form. The most popular parametrizations are based on or inspired by an underlying stochastic model, like the Heston model (SVI method) or the SABR model (SABR…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Nicola F. Zaugg , Leonardo Perotti , Lech A. Grzelak

We consider the nonparametric estimation of the value of a quadratic functional evaluated at the density of a strictly positive random variable $X$ based on an iid. sample from an observation $Y$ of $X$ corrupted by an independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Bianca Neubert , Fabienne Comte , Jan Johannes

We propose model-free (nonparametric) estimators of the volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency observations of short-dated options. At each point in time, we integrate available options into estimates of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-24 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We study the problem of the non-parametric estimation for the density $\pi$ of the stationary distribution of a stochastic two-dimensional damping Hamiltonian system $(Z_t)_{t\in[0,T]}=(X_t,Y_t)_{t \in [0,T]}$. From the continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Sylvain Delattre , Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

The estimation of entropy rates for stationary discrete-valued stochastic processes is a well studied problem in information theory. However, estimating the entropy rate for stationary continuous-valued stochastic processes has not received…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

The nonparametric volatility estimation problem of a scalar diffusion process observed at equidistant time points is addressed. Using the spectral representation of the volatility in terms of the invariant density and an eigenpair of the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-01 Jakub Chorowski

We introduce a nonparametric spectral density estimator for continuous-time and continuous-space processes measured at fully irregular locations. Our estimator is constructed using a weighted nonuniform Fourier sum whose weights yield a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Christopher J. Geoga , Paul G. Beckman

With the availability of high frequency financial data, nonparametric estimation of volatility of an asset return process becomes feasible. A major problem is how to estimate the volatility consistently and efficiently, when the observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lan Zhang

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

In this article, the infinite series form of the probability densities of tempered stable and inverse tempered stable subordinators are obtained using Mellin transform. Further, the densities of the products and quotients of stable and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Neha Gupta , Arun Kumar