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We propose a new dynamic SIR model that, in contrast with the available model on time scales, is biological relevant. For the new SIR model we obtain an explicit solution, we prove the asymptotic stability of the extinction and disease-free…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-14 Márcia Lemos-Silva , Sandra Vaz , Delfim F. M. Torres

In the present paper, we are concerned with an SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion model governed by mass action infection mechanism and linear birth-death growth with no flux boundary condition. By performing qualitative analysis, we study the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Huicong Li , Rui Peng , Zhi-An Wang

We present a deterministic mathematical model for malaria transmission with waning immunity. The model consists of five non-linear system of differential equations. We used next generation matrix to derive the basic reproduction number…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-07 Miliyon Tilahun

Most previous studies of epidemic dynamics on complex networks suppose that the disease will eventually stabilize at either a disease-free state or an endemic one. In reality, however, some epidemics always exhibit sporadic and recurrent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Michael Small , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu

In recent years, numerous advances have been made in understanding how epidemic dynamics is affected by changes in individual behaviours. We propose an SIS-based compartmental model to tackle the simultaneous and coupled evolution of an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-04 Giulia de Meijere , Hugo Martin

This paper presents an age-structured, non-autonomous logistic model describing the aquatic and adult stages of the dynamics of malaria-vector mosquitoes. We propose a biological control strategy targeting the aquatic compartment and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Marius Bargo , Yacouba Simpore

Considering the propagation characteristics of COVID-19 in different regions, the dynamics analysis and numerical demonstration of long-term and short-term models of COVID-19 are carried out, respectively. The long-term model is devoted to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Songbai Guo , Yuling Xue , Xiliang Li , Zuohuan Zheng

We propose a mathematical model to analyze the effects of anti-infection behavior on the equilibrium states of an infectious disease. The anti-infection behavior is incorporated into a classical epidemiological SIR model, by considering the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-11 Andrés David Báez-Sánchez , Nara Bobko

We study an SAIRS-type epidemic model with vaccination, where the role of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals are explicitly considered in the transmission patterns of the disease. We provide a global stability analysis for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Stefania Ottaviano , Mattia Sensi , Sara Sottile

A retrovirus dynamic model is proposed. We pay attention to the case when viral pathogenicity is low and the infected cells are able to reproduce. Using Lyapunov function method we study stability properties of an inner equilibrium of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Andrei Korobeinikov , Alexander Rezounenko

A ternary reaction-diffusion model for early HIV infection dynamics, incorporating logistic growth of target cells, is introduced. According to in vitro and in vivo studies, random movement of target cells, infected cells, and virions and a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-21 Florinda Capone , Roberta De Luca , Vincenzo Luongo

We introduce a nonlinear structured population model with diffusion in the state space. Individuals are structured with respect to a continuous variable which represents a pathogen load. The class of uninfected individuals constitutes a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Angel Calsina , Jozsef Z. Farkas

We investigate the global dynamics of a general Kermack-McKendrick-type epidemic model formulated in terms of a system of renewal equations. Specifically, we consider a renewal model for which both the force of infection and the infected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-04 Michael T. Meehan , Daniel G. Cocks , Johannes Müller , Emma S. McBryde

In this paper, we propose a Spatial Robust Mixture Regression model to investigate the relationship between a response variable and a set of explanatory variables over the spatial domain, assuming that the relationships may exhibit complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-30 Wennan Chang , Pengtao Dang , Changlin Wan , Xiaoyu Lu , Yue Fang , Tong Zhao , Yong Zang , Bo Li , Chi Zhang , Sha Cao

Two versions of the susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic model, which have different transmission rules, are analysed. Both models are considered on a weighted network to simulate a mitigation in the connection between the individuals.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-10 C. Dias , M. O. Hase

The use of model experimental systems and mathematical models is important to further understanding of infectious disease dynamics and strategize disease mitigation. Gyrodactylids are helminth ectoparasites of teleost fish which have many…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-30 Christina P. Tadiri , Jude D. Kong , Gregor F. Fussmann , Marilyn E. Scott , Hao Wang

Reliable optimal control is challenging when the dynamics of a nonlinear system are unknown and only infrequent, noisy output measurements are available. This work addresses this setting of limited sensing by formulating a Bayesian prior…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-21 Robert Lefringhausen , Theodor Springer , Sandra Hirche

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

Neutral models, in which individual agents with equal fitness undergo a birth-death-mutation process, are very popular in population genetics and community ecology. Usually these models are applied to populations and communities with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-10 Matan Danino , Yahav Shem-Tov , Nadav M. Shnerb

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin