English

Global stability of SAIRS epidemic models

Dynamical Systems 2021-12-30 v1

Abstract

We study an SAIRS-type epidemic model with vaccination, where the role of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals are explicitly considered in the transmission patterns of the disease. We provide a global stability analysis for the model. We determine the value of the basic reproduction number R0\mathcal{R}_0 and prove that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R0<1\mathcal{R}_0<1 and unstable if R0>1\mathcal{R}_0>1, condition under which a positive endemic equilibrium exists. We investigate the global stability of the endemic equilibrium for some variations of the original model under study and answer to an open problem proposed in Ansumali et al. \cite{ansumali2020modelling}. In the case of the SAIRS model without vaccination, we prove the global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium also when R0=1\mathcal{R}_0=1. We provide a thorough numerical exploration of our model, to validate our analytical results.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2109.05122,
  title  = {Global stability of SAIRS epidemic models},
  author = {Stefania Ottaviano and Mattia Sensi and Sara Sottile},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2109.05122},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

29 page, 7 figures