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It has been hypothesized that liquid polyamorphism, the existence of multiple amorphous states in a single component substance, may be caused by molecular or supramolecular interconversion. A simple microscopic model [Caupin and Anisimov,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-09-19 Thomas J. Longo , Sergey V. Buldyrev , Mikhail A. Anisimov , Frédéric Caupin

In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Rui Luo , Weinan Zhang , Xiaojun Xu , Jun Wang

In this paper we provide evidence that financial option markets for equity indices give rise to non-trivial dependency structures between its constituents. Thus, if the individual constituent distributions of an equity index are inferred…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-22 Alex Langnau

We introduce a new class of local volatility models. Within this framework, we obtain expressions for both (i) the price of any European option and (ii) the induced implied volatility smile. As an illustration of our framework, we perform…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-12 Matthew Lorig

Several matrix variate hypergeometric type distributions are derived. The compound distributions of left-spherical matrix variate elliptical distributions and inverted hypergeometric type distributions with matrix arguments are then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-18 Jose A. Diaz-Garcia , R. Gutierrez-Jaimez

This paper discusses and analyzes a class of likelihood models which are based on two distributional innovations in financial models for stock returns. That is, the notion that the marginal distribution of aggregate returns of log-stock…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lancelot F. James , John W. Lau

This paper revisits the fractional cointegrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized volatility. We argue that the concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV) should be used instead of the popular…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-15 Jozef Barunik , Michaela Barunikova

We propose a new model for the forecasting of both the implied volatility surfaces and the underlying asset price. In the spirit of Guyon and Lekeufack (2023) who are interested in the dependence of volatility indices (e.g. the VIX) on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Hervé Andrès , Alexandre Boumezoued , Benjamin Jourdain

A new paradigm recently emerged in financial modelling: rough (stochastic) volatility, first observed by Gatheral et al. in high-frequency data, subsequently derived within market microstructure models, also turned out to capture…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-23 Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Paul Gassiat , Joerg Martin , Benjamin Stemper

Recently, maximal valence model has been proposed to model liquid-liquid phase transition induced by polymerization in sulfur. In this paper we present a simple generic model to describe liquid polyamorphism in single-component fluids using…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-03-15 Nikolay A. Shumovskyi , Sergey V. Buldyrev

We present an explicit hedging strategy, which enables to prove arbitrageness of market incorporating at least two assets depending on the same random factor. The implied Black-Scholes volatility, computed taking into account the form of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-01 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

For quantitative trading risk management purposes, we present a novel idea: the realized local volatility surface. Concisely, it stands for the conditional expected volatility when sudden market behaviors of the underlying occur. One is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-01 Yuming Ma , Shintaro Sengoku , Kazuhide Nakata

We consider a stochastic volatility model which captures relevant stylized facts of financial series, including the multi-scaling of moments. The volatility evolves according to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with super-linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Francesco Caravenna , Jacopo Corbetta

Numerical simulations on a 2-dimensional model system showed that voids are induced primarily due to shape anisotropy in binary mixtures of interacting disks. The results of such a simple model account for the key features seen in a variety…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Gauri R. Pradhan , Sagar A. Pandit , Anil D. Gangal , V. Sitaramam

We present a new volatility model, simple to implement, that includes a leverage effect whose return-volatility correlation function fits to empirical observations. This model is able to capture both the "retarded effect" induced by the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-03 Sebastien Valeyre , Denis Grebenkov , Sofiane Aboura , Qian Liu

Multiplicative random cascade model naturally reproduces the intermittency or multifractality, which is frequently shown among hierarchical complex systems such as turbulence and financial markets. As described herein, we investigate the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-05 Jun-ichi Maskawa , Koji Kuroda , Joshin Murai

We present a class of L\'evy processes for modelling financial market fluctuations: Bilateral Gamma processes. Our starting point is to explore the properties of bilateral Gamma distributions, and then we turn to their associated L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Uwe Küchler , Stefan Tappe

Implied volatility is at the very core of modern finance, notwithstanding standard option pricing models continue to derive option prices starting from the joint dynamics of the underlying asset price and the spot volatility. These models…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-14 Claude Martini , Iacopo Raffaelli

We present a stochastic volatility market model where volatility is correlated with return and is represented by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. With this model we exactly measure the leverage effect and other stylized facts, such as mean…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

For any strictly positive martingale $S = \exp(X)$ for which $X$ has a characteristic function, we provide an expansion for the implied volatility. This expansion is explicit in the sense that it involves no integrals, but only polynomials…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-26 Antoine Jacquier , Matthew Lorig