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Accurate prediction of wind power is essential for the grid integration of this intermittent renewable source and aiding grid planners in forecasting available wind capacity. Spatial differences lead to discrepancies in climatological data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Md Saiful Islam Sajol , Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Jubair Yusuf

The application of wind power interval prediction for power systems attempts to give more comprehensive support to dispatchers and operators of the grid. Lower upper bound estimation (LUBE) method is widely applied in interval prediction.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-20 Chaoshun Li , Geng Tang , Xiaoming Xue , Xinbiao Chen , Ruoheng Wang , Chu Zhang

Heat stress has harmful effects that impact communities across the Unitedt States, particularly when high temperatures are accompanied by high humidity. The combined impact of temperature and humidity can be summarized by the heat index…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-23 Yushan Han , Calen Randall

A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-13 Sophie Giffard-Roisin , Mo Yang , Guillaume Charpiat , Christina Kumler-Bonfanti , Balázs Kégl , Claire Monteleoni

Battery energy storage systems can be used for peak demand reduction in power systems, leading to significant economic benefits. Two practical challenges are 1) accurately determining the peak load days and hours and 2) quantifying and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Tao Fu , Huifen Zhou , Xu Ma , Z. Jason Hou , Di Wu

Traditional time series forecasting methods optimize for accuracy alone. This objective neglects temporal consistency, in other words, how consistently a model predicts the same future event as the forecast origin changes. We introduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Chutian Ma , Grigorii Pomazkin , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

This paper introduces an open-source and reproducible implementation of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) Networks for time series forecasting. We evaluated LSTM and GRU networks because of their performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Gissel Velarde , Pedro Branez , Alejandro Bueno , Rodrigo Heredia , Mateo Lopez-Ledezma

Accurate and reliable solar flare predictions are essential to mitigate potential impacts on critical infrastructure. However, the current performance of solar flare forecasting is insufficient. In this study, we address the task of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Yusuke Takagi , Shunya Nagashima , Komei Sugiura

Multi-step time-series prediction is an essential supportive step for decision-makers in several industrial areas. Artificial intelligence techniques, which use a neural network component in various forms, have recently frequently been used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Tony Salloom , Okyay Kaynak , Xinbo Yub , Wei He

In high-renewable power systems, active-power disturbances are becoming larger and exhibit increasingly diverse time scales, which complicates frequency stability assessment under unanticipated events. This paper presents a response-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-27 Jinhui Chen , Huadong Sun , Ping Wu , Baocai Wang , Bing Zhao

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

The problem of adversarial robustness has been studied extensively for neural networks. However, for boosted decision trees and decision stumps there are almost no results, even though they are widely used in practice (e.g. XGBoost) due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Maksym Andriushchenko , Matthias Hein

Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) sensors, including accelerometers, gyroscopes, and magnetometers, are used to estimate the orientation of mobile devices. However, indoor magnetic fields are often distorted, causing the magnetometer's…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-17 Sikai Yang , Miaomiao Liu , Wan Du

To create early warning capabilities for upcoming Space Weather disturbances, we have selected a dataset of 61 emerging active regions, which allows us to identify characteristic features in the evolution of acoustic power density to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-25 Spiridon Kasapis , Irina N. Kitiashvili , Alexander G. Kosovichev , John T. Stefan , Bhairavi Apte

Time-Series (TS) exhibits pronounced non-stationarity. Consequently, most forecasting methods display compromised robustness to concept drift, despite the prevalent application of instance normalization. We tackle this challenge by first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Daojun Liang , Jing Chen , Xiao Wang , Yinglong Wang , Shuo Li

Disruption prediction and mitigation is of key importance in the development of sustainable tokamakreactors. Machine learning has become a key tool in this endeavour. In this paper multiple machinelearning models will be tested and…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2020-05-12 Joost Croonen , Jorge Amaya , Giovanni Lapenta

Distribution system state estimation (DSSE) is paramount for effective state monitoring and control. However, stochastic outputs of renewables and asynchronous streaming of multi-rate measurements in practical systems largely degrade the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-23 Ying Zhang , Junbo Zhao , Di Shi , Sungjoo Chung

When a territory is poorly instrumented, geostationary satellites data can be useful to predict global solar radiation. In this paper, we use geostationary satellites data to generate 2-D time series of solar radiation for the next hour.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-01-21 Cyril Voyant , Pierrick Haurant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

In the past few years, Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based weather forecasting methods have widely demonstrated strong competitiveness among the weather forecasting systems. However, these methods are insufficient for high-spatial-resolution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-18 Xujun Wei , Feng Zhang , Renhe Zhang , Wenwen Li , Cuiping Liu , Bin Guo , Jingwei Li , Haoyang Fu , Xu Tang