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We introduce a simple method to estimate the system parameters in continuous dynamical systems from the time series. In this method, we construct a modified system by introducing some constants (controlling constants) into the given…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

We develop a formal framework for the behavioral comparison of linear systems across different time domains. We accomplish this by introducing the notion of system interpolation, which determines whether the input-state trajectories of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Armin Pirastehzad , Bart Besselink

We propose an improved method for estimating partial differential equations and delay partial differential equations from data, using Bayesian optimization and the Bayesian information criterion to automatically find suitable…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-23 Oliver Mai , Tim W. Kroll , Uwe Thiele , Oliver Kamps

In ab initio molecular dynamics simulations of real-world problems, the simple Verlet method is still widely used for integrating the equations of motion, while more efficient algorithms are routinely used in classical molecular dynamics.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Eiji Tsuchida

Several integrate-to-threshold models with differing temporal integration mechanisms have been proposed to describe the accumulation of sensory evidence to a prescribed level prior to motor response in perceptual decision-making tasks. An…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2009-01-16 Xiang Zhou , KongFatt Wong-Lin , Philip Holmes

We address the problem of estimating the inputs of a dynamical system from measurements of the system's outputs. To this end, we introduce a novel estimation algorithm that explicitly trades off bias and variance to optimally reduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Sebastian Curi , Kfir Y. Levy , Andreas Krause

We propose practical extensions to Bayesian optimization for solving dynamic problems. We model dynamic objective functions using spatiotemporal Gaussian process priors which capture all the instances of the functions over time. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-12 Favour M. Nyikosa , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

Often the underlying system of differential equations driving a stochastic dynamical system is assumed to be known, with inference conditioned on this assumption. We present a Bayesian framework for discovering this system of differential…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-13 Kushagra Gupta , Dootika Vats , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

Recovering dynamical equations from observed noisy data is the central challenge of system identification. We develop a statistical mechanics approach to analyze sparse equation discovery algorithms, which typically balance data fit and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Andrei A. Klishin , Joseph Bakarji , J. Nathan Kutz , Krithika Manohar

We develop an interpolation-based framework for noisy linear systems with unknown system matrix with bounded norm (implying bounded growth or non-increasing energy), and bounded process noise energy. The proposed approach characterizes all…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-17 Martina Vanelli , Nima Monshizadeh , Julien M. Hendrickx

We explore the applicability of a stochastic time-evolution algorithm based on probabilistic angle interpolation. To simplify the pre-processing of the algorithm, we take the continuous-time limit, thereby explicitly eliminating Trotter…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Tomoya Hayata , Yuta Kikuchi

Given a large set of measurement sensor data, in order to identify a simple function that captures the essence of the data gathered by the sensors, we suggest representing the data by (spatial) functions, in particular by polynomials. Given…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2012-10-12 Hadassa Daltrophe , Shlomi Dolev , Zvi Lotker

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

Multivariate time series is a very active topic in the research community and many machine learning tasks are being used in order to extract information from this type of data. However, in real-world problems data has missing values, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Samuel Arcadinho , Paulo Mateus

This paper proposes a two-phase framework with a B\'{e}zier simplex-based interpolation method (TPB) for computationally expensive multi-objective optimization. The first phase in TPB aims to approximate a few Pareto optimal solutions by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Ryoji Tanabe , Youhei Akimoto , Ken Kobayashi , Hiroshi Umeki , Shinichi Shirakawa , Naoki Hamada

Data augmentation in time series forecasting plays a crucial role in enhancing model performance by introducing variability while maintaining the underlying temporal patterns. However, time series data offers fewer augmentation strategies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Dang Nha Nguyen , Hai Dang Nguyen , Khoa Tho Anh Nguyen

Progress on modern scientific questions regularly depends on using large-scale datasets to understand complex dynamical systems. An especially challenging case that has grown to prominence with advances in single-cell sequencing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-27 Aden Forrow

In view of the current availability and variety of measured data, there is an increasing demand for powerful signal processing tools that can cope successfully with the associated problems that often arise when data are being analysed. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-16 Tomislav Stankovski , Andrea Duggento , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

Traditional statistical estimation, or statistical inference in general, is static, in the sense that the estimate of the quantity of interest does not change the future evolution of the quantity. In some sequential estimation problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Aolin Xu

Neural networks and machine learning models for uncertainty quantification suffer from limited scalability and poor reliability compared to their deterministic counterparts. In industry-scale active learning settings, where generating a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Chanwook Park , Brian Kim , Jiachen Guo , Wing Kam Liu