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We present an operations-ready multi-model ensemble weather forecasting system which uses hybrid data-driven weather prediction models coupled with the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ocean model to predict global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-26 Jonathan A. Weyn , Divya Kumar , Jeremy Berman , Najeeb Kazmi , Sylwester Klocek , Pete Luferenko , Kit Thambiratnam

Due to the lack of information such as the space environment condition and resident space objects' (RSOs') body characteristics, current orbit predictions that are solely grounded on physics-based models may fail to achieve required…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-16 Hao Peng , Xiaoli Bai

A deep learning model is often considered a black-box model, as its internal workings tend to be opaque to the user. Because of the lack of transparency, it is challenging to understand the reasoning behind the model's predictions. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Adam O. Rawashdeh , Jason T. L. Wang , Katherine G. Herbert

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

A solar active region can significantly disrupt the Sun Earth space environment, often leading to severe space weather events such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections. As a consequence, the automatic classification of active region…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-24 Edoardo Legnaro , Sabrina Guastavino , Michele Piana , Anna Maria Massone

Given multi-model ensemble climate projections, the goal is to accurately and reliably predict future sea-level rise while lowering the uncertainty. This problem is important because sea-level rise affects millions of people in coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Subhankar Ghosh , Shuai An , Arun Sharma , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar , Aneesh Subramanian

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

Reliable prediction of the solar cycle is a formidable challenge, yet it is increasingly vital in our technology-dependent society as solar activity drives space weather. Various methods, including precursors, nonlinear curve fitting and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-20 Bidya Binay Karak

The application of machine learning in solar physics has the potential to greatly enhance our understanding of the complex processes that take place in the atmosphere of the Sun. By using techniques such as deep learning, we are now in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-28 A. Asensio Ramos , M. C. M. Cheung , I. Chifu , R. Gafeira

Current operational forecasts of solar eruptions are made by human experts using a combination of qualitative shape-based classification systems and historical data about flaring frequencies. In the past decade, there has been a great deal…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-02 V. Deshmukh , T. E. Berger , E. Bradley , J. D. Meiss

To create early warning capabilities for upcoming Space Weather disturbances, we have selected a dataset of 61 emerging active regions, which allows us to identify characteristic features in the evolution of acoustic power density to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-25 Spiridon Kasapis , Irina N. Kitiashvili , Alexander G. Kosovichev , John T. Stefan , Bhairavi Apte

We present a comparative study of transformer-based architectures for solar flare forecasting using heterogeneous data modalities, including images, video sequences, and time-series observations. Our analysis evaluates three recent…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-05 S. Riggi , P. Romano , A. Pilzer , U. Becciani

Digital textbooks are widely used in various educational contexts, such as university courses and online lectures. Such textbooks yield learning log data that have been used in numerous educational data mining (EDM) studies for student…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Shunsuke Yoneda , Valdemar Švábenský , Gen Li , Daisuke Deguchi , Atsushi Shimada

We present a Python tool to generate a standard dataset from solar images that allows for user-defined selection criteria and a range of pre-processing steps. Our Python tool works with all image products from both the Solar and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-17 Carl Shneider , Andong Hu , Ajay K. Tiwari , Monica G. Bobra , Karl Battams , Jannis Teunissen , Enrico Camporeale

Accurate prediction of mechanical properties of steel during hot rolling processes, such as Thin Slab Direct Rolling (TSDR), remains challenging due to complex interactions among chemical compositions, processing parameters, and resultant…

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

In industrial systems, certain process variables that need to be monitored for detecting faults are often difficult or impossible to measure. Soft sensor techniques are widely used to estimate such difficult-to-measure process variables…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-26 Shun Takeuchi , Takuya Nishino , Takahiro Saito , Isamu Watanabe

Solar active regions (ARs) are the primary drivers of space weather events, making their early prediction crucial for operational forecasting systems. We develop machine learning models capable of predicting the evolution of magnetic flux…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 Eren Dogan , Spiridon Kasapis , Sarang Patil , Jonas Tirona , John Stefan , Irina Kitiashvili , Mengjia Xu , Alexander Kosovichev

With climate change expected to exacerbate fire weather conditions, the accurate anticipation of wildfires on a global scale becomes increasingly crucial for disaster mitigation. In this study, we utilize SeasFire, a comprehensive global…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Dimitrios Michail , Lefki-Ioanna Panagiotou , Charalampos Davalas , Ioannis Prapas , Spyros Kondylatos , Nikolaos Ioannis Bountos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Akylas Stratigakos , Panagiotis Andrianesis