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Global warming made the Arctic available for marine operations and created demand for reliable operational sea ice forecasts to make them safe. While ocean-ice numerical models are highly computationally intensive, relatively lightweight…

Predictive autoscaling (autoscaling with workload forecasting) is an important mechanism that supports autonomous adjustment of computing resources in accordance with fluctuating workload demands in the Cloud. In recent works, Reinforcement…

Utilizing solar energy to meet space heating and domestic hot water demand is very efficient (in terms of environmental footprint as well as cost), but in order to ensure that user demand is entirely covered throughout the year needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tatiana Boura , Natalia Koliou , George Meramveliotakis , Stasinos Konstantopoulos , George Kosmadakis

We analyze the relationship between the flare X-ray peak flux, and characteristics of the Polarity Inversion Line (PIL) and Active Regions (AR), derived from line-of-sight (LOS) magnetograms. The PIL detection algorithm based on a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-29 Viacheslav M Sadykov , Alexander G Kosovichev

A number of methods of flare prediction rely on classification of physical characteristics of an active region, in particular optical classification of sunspots, and historical rates of flaring for a given classification. However these…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. S. Wheatland

This paper presents a meta-learning based, automatic distribution system load forecasting model selection framework. The framework includes the following processes: feature extraction, candidate model labeling, offline training, and online…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-19 Yiyan Li , Si Zhang , Rongxing Hu , Ning Lu

We develop a mixed Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) regression model to predict the maximum solar flare intensity within a 24-hour time window 0$\sim$24, 6$\sim$30, 12$\sim$36 and 24$\sim$48 hours ahead of time using 6, 12, 24 and 48 hours of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-26 Zhenbang Jiao , Hu Sun , Xiantong Wang , Ward Manchester , Tamas Gombosi , Alfred Hero , Yang Chen

The prediction of solar flares is of practical and scientific interest; however, many machine learning methods used for this prediction task do not provide the physical explanations behind a model's performance. We made use of two recently…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-08 Brandon Panos , Lucia Kleint , Jonas Zbinden

We showcase a hybrid modeling framework which embeds machine learning (ML) inference into the GFDL SPEAR climate model, for online sea ice bias correction during a set of global fully-coupled 1-year retrospective forecasts. We compare two…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-05 William Gregory , Mitchell Bushuk , Yong-Fei Zhang , Alistair Adcroft , Laure Zanna , Colleen McHugh , Liwei Jia

The continuous observation of the magnetic field by Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO)/Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) produces numerous image sequences in time and space. These sequences provide data support for predicting the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-23 Liang Bai , Yi Bi , Bo Yang , Jun-Chao Hong , Zhe Xu , Zhen-Hong Shang , Hui Liu , Hai-Sheng Ji , Kai-Fan Ji

Accurate prediction of spatially dependent functional data is critical for various engineering and scientific applications. In this study, a spatial functional deep neural network model was developed with a novel non-linear modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-18 Merve Basaran , Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang , Zaher Mundher Yaseen

Recent developments in AI techniques for space applications mirror the success achieved in terrestrial applications. Machine learning, which excels in data rich environments, is particularly well suited to space-based computer vision…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-05 Michael Herman , Olivia J. Pinon Fischer , Dimitri N. Mavris

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

The existing flare prediction primarily relies on photospheric magnetic field parameters from the entire active region (AR), such as Space-Weather HMI Activity Region Patches (SHARP) parameters. However, these parameters may not capture the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-28 Xuebao Li , Xuefeng Li , Yanfang Zheng , Ting Li , Pengchao Yan , Hongwei Ye , Shunhuang Zhang , Xiaotian Wang , Yongshang Lv , Xusheng Huang

Physics-based and data-driven models for remaining useful lifetime (RUL) prediction typically suffer from two major challenges that limit their applicability to complex real-world domains: (1) incompleteness of physics-based models and (2)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-28 Manuel Arias Chao , Chetan Kulkarni , Kai Goebel , Olga Fink

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) temperature forecasts, spanning several weeks to a few months, are critically needed in agriculture practice, energy planning, and extreme-weather induced risk management, yet their reliability varies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Elnaz Bashir , Jiali Wang , Lin Yan

Solar flares not only pose risks to outer space technologies and astronauts' well being, but also cause disruptions on earth to our hight-tech, interconnected infrastructure our lives highly depend on. While a number of machine-learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Junzhi Wen , Md Reazul Islam , Azim Ahmadzadeh , Rafal A. Angryk

Devices located in remote regions often lack coverage from well-developed terrestrial communication infrastructure. This not only prevents them from experiencing high quality communication services but also hinders the delivery of machine…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Dong-Jun Han , Wenzhi Fang , Seyyedali Hosseinalipour , Mung Chiang , Christopher G. Brinton

Addressing complex meteorological processes at a fine spatial resolution requires substantial computational resources. To accelerate meteorological simulations, researchers have utilized neural networks to downscale meteorological variables…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 Jing Hu , Honghu Zhang , Peng Zheng , Jialin Mu , Xiaomeng Huang , Xi Wu