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We describe a unified framework within which we can build survival models. The motivation for this work comes from a study on the prediction of relapse among breast cancer patients treated at the Curie Institute in Paris, France. Our focus…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-28 Cécile Chauvel , John O'Quigley

Research on decision support applications in healthcare, such as those related to diagnosis, prediction, treatment planning, etc., have seen enormously increased interest recently. This development is thanks to the increase in data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Jussi Tohka , Mark van Gils

Prediction models need reliable predictive performance as they inform clinical decisions, aiding in diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment planning. The predictive performance of these models is typically assessed through discrimination and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-25 Wouter A. C. van Amsterdam

Causal machine learning (ML) offers flexible, data-driven methods for predicting treatment outcomes including efficacy and toxicity, thereby supporting the assessment and safety of drugs. A key benefit of causal ML is that it allows for…

Binary classification models which can assign probabilities to categories such as "the tissue is 75% likely to be tumorous" or "the chemical is 25% likely to be toxic" are well understood statistically, but their utility as an input to…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-05 Damjan Krstajic , Ljubomir Buturovic , Simon Thomas , David E Leahy

The research area of algorithms with predictions has seen recent success showing how to incorporate machine learning into algorithm design to improve performance when the predictions are correct, while retaining worst-case guarantees when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Michael Dinitz , Sungjin Im , Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , Sergei Vassilvitskii

The goal of causal inference is to understand the outcome of alternative courses of action. However, all causal inference requires assumptions. Such assumptions can be more influential than in typical tasks for probabilistic modeling, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Dustin Tran , Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Susan Athey , David M. Blei

Over the last decades, many prognostic models based on artificial intelligence techniques have been used to provide detailed predictions in healthcare. Unfortunately, the real-world observational data used to train and validate these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Alice Bernasconi , Alessio Zanga , Peter J. F. Lucas , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

Predicting future outcomes is a prevalent application of machine learning in social impact domains. Examples range from predicting student success in education to predicting disease risk in healthcare. Practitioners recognize that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-11 Lydia T. Liu , Solon Barocas , Jon Kleinberg , Karen Levy

Motivation: Gene selection has become a common task in most gene expression studies. The objective of such research is often to identify the smallest possible set of genes that can still achieve good predictive performance. The problem of…

The use of machine learning systems in clinical routine is still hampered by the necessity of a medical device certification and/or by difficulty to implement these systems in a clinic's quality management system. In this context, the key…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-10-18 Lorenzo Mercolli , Axel Rominger , Kuangyu Shi

Scientific machine learning (SciML) models are transforming many scientific disciplines. However, the development of good modeling practices to increase the trustworthiness of SciML has lagged behind its application, limiting its potential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 John D. Jakeman , Lorena A. Barba , Joaquim R. R. A. Martins , Thomas O'Leary-Roseberry

Aligning the decision-making process of machine learning algorithms with that of experienced radiologists is crucial for reliable diagnosis. While existing methods have attempted to align their diagnosis behaviors to those of radiologists…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Mingzhou Liu , Ching-Wen Lee , Xinwei Sun , Yu Qiao , Yizhou Wang

As machine learning (ML)-based decision support tools proliferate in clinical practice, understanding how clinicians integrate personalized ML predictions alongside randomized controlled trial (RCT) evidence is critical. We designed a…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Zeshan Hussain , Barbara D. Lam , Fernando A. Acosta-Perez , Irbaz Bin Riaz , Maia Jacobs , Andrew J. Yee , David Sontag

The ultimate purpose of most computational models is to make predictions, commonly in support of some decision-making process (e.g., for design or operation of some system). The quantities that need to be predicted (the quantities of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-19 Todd A. Oliver , Gabriel Terejanu , Christopher S. Simmons , Robert D. Moser

Counterfactual prediction methods are required when a model will be deployed in a setting where treatment policies differ from the setting where the model was developed, or when a model provides predictions under hypothetical interventions…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Christopher B. Boyer , Issa J. Dahabreh , Jon A. Steingrimsson

Many safety failures in machine learning arise when models are used to assign predictions to people (often in settings like lending, hiring, or content moderation) without accounting for how individuals can change their inputs. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Seung Hyun Cheon , Meredith Stewart , Bogdan Kulynych , Tsui-Wei Weng , Berk Ustun

Accurate prediction of outcomes is crucial for clinical decision-making and personalized patient care. Supervised machine learning algorithms, which are commonly used for outcome prediction in the medical domain, optimize for predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Nithya Bhasker , Fiona R. Kolbinger , Susu Hu , Gitta Kutyniok , Stefanie Speidel

Numerical predictions of quantities of interest measured within physical systems rely on the use of mathematical models that should be validated, or at best, not invalidated. Model validation usually involves the comparison of experimental…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Antonin Paquette-Rufiange , Serge Prudhomme , Marc Laforest

Designing effective model-based reinforcement learning algorithms is difficult because the ease of data generation must be weighed against the bias of model-generated data. In this paper, we study the role of model usage in policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Michael Janner , Justin Fu , Marvin Zhang , Sergey Levine