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It is often known, from modelling studies, that a certain mode of climate tipping (of the oceanic thermohaline circulation, for example) is governed by an underlying fold bifurcation. For such a case we present a scheme of analysis that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-12-15 J. M. T. Thompson , Jan Sieber

Non-autonomous dynamical systems help us to understand the implications of real systems which are in contact with their environment as it actually occurs in nature. Here, we focus on systems where a parameter changes with time at small but…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-09-24 Julia Cantisán , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

A dynamical system that undergoes a supercritical Hopf's bifurcation is perturbed by a multiplicative Brownian motion that scales with a small parameter $\epsilon$. The random fluctuations of the system at the critical point are studied…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Michele Aleandri , Paolo Dai Pra

A tipping point can be defined as an abrupt shift in the properties or behaviour of a system. Tipping points in complex systems from a wide variety of scientific disciplines have been compared to phase transitions in physics, but consistent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-28 Marieke M. Glazenburg , Luca Consoli , Alix McCollam

Using in a simple way the theory of non linear dynamical systems, we show that increasing climatic instabilities may be a qualitative warning sign for the occurrence of a nearby bifurcation, yielding a discontinuous and sudden climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-09-19 Francois Louchet

We identify the phase of a cycle as a new critical factor for tipping points (critical transitions) in cyclic systems subject to time-varying external conditions. As an example, we consider how contemporary climate variability induces…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Hassan Alkhayuon , Rebecca C. Tyson , Sebastian Wieczorek

Tipping points are critical thresholds of parameters where tiny perturbations can lead to abrupt and large qualitative changes in the systems. Many real-world systems that exhibit tipping behavior can be represented as networks of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-10 Richita Ghosh , Manish Dev Shrimali

Tipping points occur in diverse systems in various disciplines such as ecology, climate science, economy or engineering. Tipping points are critical thresholds in system parameters or state variables at which a tiny perturbation can lead to…

The early detection of tipping points, which describe a rapid departure from a stable state, is an important theoretical and practical challenge. Tipping points are most commonly associated with the disappearance of steady-state or periodic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Andrew Keane , Bernd Krauskopf , Timothy M. Lenton

Recent work has highlighted the utility of methods for early warning signal detection in dynamic systems approaching critical tipping thresholds. Often these tipping points resemble local bifurcations, whose low dimensional dynamics can…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-08-08 Daniel Dylewsky , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Tipping points characterize situations where a regulated system may experience a sudden and irreversible change and are generally associated with a random state of the system below which the change materializes. In this paper, we study a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Jean-Paul Décamps , Fabien Gensbittel , Thomas Mariotti , Stéphane Villeneuve

Tipping elements in the Earth System receive increased scientific attention over the recent years due to their nonlinear behavior and the risks of abrupt state changes. While being stable over a large range of parameters, a tipping element…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-25 Jan Kohler , Nico Wunderling , Jonathan F. Donges , Jürgen Vollmer

This paper is a preliminary work to address the problem of dynamical systems with parameters varying in time. An idea to predict their behaviour is proposed. These systems are called \emph{transient systems}, and are distinguished from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-04 Ugo Galvanetto , Luca Magri

This study explores the connection between disinformation, defined as deliberate spread of false information, and rate-induced tipping (R-tipping), a phenomenon where systems undergo sudden changes due to rapid shifts in ex-ternal forces.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Arindam Kumar Paul , M. Haider Ali Biswas

Tipping points have been shown to be ubiquitous, both in models and empirically in a range of physical and biological systems. The question of how tipping points cascade through systems has been less well studied and is an important one. A…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Abhishek Mallela , Alan Hastings

The future behavioural fate of a forced nonlinear system can depend sensitively on the forcing profile as well as natural fluctuations within the system. This is especially the case for rate-induced tipping, where the forcing pushes the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Paul D. L. Ritchie , Sneha Kachhara , Peter Ashwin

Dynamical systems across the sciences, from electrical circuits to ecological networks, undergo qualitative and often catastrophic changes in behavior, called bifurcations, when their underlying parameters cross a threshold. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Noa Moriel , Matthew Ricci , Mor Nitzan

We study a dynamical counterpart of bifurcation to invariant torus for a system of interconnected fast phase variables and slowly varying parameters. We show that in such a system, due to the slow evolution of parameters, there arise…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-08-28 A. M. Samoilenko , I. O. Parasyuk , B. V. Repeta

We study a two-dimensional low-dissipation dynamical system with a control parameter that is swept linearly in time across a transcritical bifurcation. We investigate the relaxation time of a perturbation applied to a variable of the system…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2020-09-30 M. Marconi , C. Metayer , A. Acquaviva , J. M. Boyer , A. Gomel , T. Quiniou , C. Masoller , M. Giudici , J. R. Tredicce

Based on suggested interactions of potential tipping elements in the Earth's climate and in ecological systems, tipping cascades as possible dynamics are increasingly discussed and studied as their activation would impose a considerable…