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When parameters of a dynamical system change sufficiently fast, critical transitions can take place even in the absence of bifurcations. This phenomenon is known as rate-induced tipping and has been reported in a variety of systems, from…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-26 Jason Qianchuan Wang , Yi Zheng , Eduardo G. Altmann

In an ecosystem, environmental changes as a result of natural and human processes can cause some key parameters of the system to change with time. Depending on how fast such a parameter changes, a tipping point can occur. Existing works on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-16 Shirin Panahi , Younghae Do , Alan Hastings , Ying-Cheng Lai

Complex systems exhibiting critical transitions when one of their governing parameters varies are ubiquitous in nature and in engineering applications. Despite a vast literature focusing on this topic, there are few studies dealing with the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-03-08 Giacomo Bonciolini , Dominik Ebi , Edouard Boujo , Nicolas Noiray

Sudden and abrupt changes can occur in a nonlinear system within many fields of science when such a system crosses a tipping point and rapid changes of the system occur in response to slow changes in an external forcing. These can occur…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Paul D. L. Ritchie , Robbin Bastiaansen , Anna S. von der Heydt , Peter Ashwin

We analyze rate-dependent tipping in a fast/slow system with an equilibrium near the fold of a critical manifiold. We find a Hopf bifurcation as the rate parameter increases in the reduced co-moving system. This implies the growth of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Jonathan Hahn

Tipping points are one of the hot topics in modern physics of complex systems. But what is a tipping point? A generic definition declares it as ``a state of the system where a small change in its parameters can lead to a significant change…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-25 Alan Hastings , Sergei Petrovskii , Valerio Lucarini , Andrew Morozov

Tipping points associated with bifurcations (B-tipping) or induced by noise (N-tipping) are recognized mechanisms that may potentially lead to sudden climate change. We focus here a novel class of tipping points, where a sufficiently rapid…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Peter Ashwin , Sebastian Wieczorek , Renato Vitolo , Peter Cox

Rate-induced tipping is an instability that occurs in a system when its time-dependent rate parameter becomes larger than a threshold value. We investigate a Pearson diffusion process, a diffusion process having solutions staying in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Hidekazu Yoshioka

A variation in the environment of a system, such as the temperature, the concentration of a chemical solution or the appearance of a magnetic field, may lead to a drift in one of the parameters. If the parameter crosses a bifurcation point,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-08-16 Julia Cantisán , Serhiy Yanchuk , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán , Jürgen Kurths

Rate-induced tipping occurs when a ramp parameter changes rapidly enough to cause the system to tip between co-existing, attracting states. We show that the addition of noise to the system can cause it to tip well below the critical rate at…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Katherine Slyman , Christopher K. Jones

Nonlinear dynamical systems may be exposed to tipping points, critical thresholds at which small changes in the external inputs or in the systems parameters abruptly shift the system to an alternative state with a contrasting dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-10-07 Everton S. Medeiros , Iberê L. Caldas , Murilo S. Baptista , Ulrike Feudel

We discuss tipping phenomena (critical transitions) in nonautonomous systems using an example of a bistable ecosystem model with environmental changes represented by time-varying parameters [Scheffer et al., Ecosystems, 11 (2008), pp.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Paul E. O'Keeffe , Sebastian Wieczorek

A dynamical system is said to undergo rate-induced tipping when it fails to track its quasi-equilibrium state due to an above-critical-rate change of system parameters. We study a prototypical model for rate-induced tipping, the saddle-node…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Paul Ritchie , Jan Sieber

We discuss the nonlinear phenomena of irreversible tipping for non-autonomous systems where time-varying inputs correspond to a smooth "parameter shift" from one asymptotic value to another. We express tipping in terms of pullback…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Peter Ashwin , Clare Perryman , Sebastian Wieczorek

Rate-induced tipping (R-tipping) occurs when a ramp parameter changes rapidly enough to cause the system to tip between co-existing, attracting states, while noise-induced tipping (N-tipping) occurs when there are random transitions between…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-02 Katherine Slyman , Emmanuel Fleurantin , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

We consider the effect on tipping from an additive periodic forcing in a canonical model with a saddle node bifurcation and a slowly varying bifurcation parameter. Here tipping refers to the dramatic change in dynamical behavior…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Jielin Zhu , Rachel Kuske , Thomas Erneux

Tipping is a phenomenon in multistable systems where small changes in inputs cause huge changes in outputs. When the parameter varies within a certain time scale, the rate will affect the tipping behaviors. These behaviors are undesirable…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-10-12 Xiaoyu Zhang , Yong Xu , Qi Liu , Jürgen Kurths

Nonlinear dynamical systems subjected to a combination of noise and time-varying forcing can exhibit sudden changes, critical transitions or tipping points where large or rapid dynamic effects arise from changes in a parameter that are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-21 Peter Ashwin , Julian Newman , Raphael Römer

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

We propose an approximation for the probability of tipping when the speed of parameter change and additive white noise interact to cause tipping. Our approximation is valid for small to moderate drift speeds and helps to estimate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-12-14 Paul Ritchie , Jan Sieber
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