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Models for which the likelihood function can be evaluated only up to a parameter-dependent unknown normalising constant, such as Markov random field models, are used widely in computer science, statistical physics, spatial statistics, and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-12 Richard G. Everitt , Adam M. Johansen , Ellen Rowing , Melina Evdemon-Hogan

In statistical modeling of computer experiments sometimes prior information is available about the underlying function. For example, the physical system simulated by the computer code may be known to be monotone with respect to some or all…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-17 Shirin Golchi , Derek R. Bingham , Hugh Chipman , David A. Campbell

In this paper, we examine the distribution and convergence properties of the estimation error $W = X - \hat{X}(Y)$, where $\hat{X}(Y)$ is the Bayesian estimator of a random variable $X$ from a noisy observation $Y = X +\sigma Z$ where…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Luca Barletta , Alex Dytso , Shlomo Shamai

Bayesian estimation is a vital tool in robotics as it allows systems to update the robot state belief using incomplete information from noisy sensors. To render the state estimation problem tractable, many systems assume that the motion and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Miguel Saavedra-Ruiz , Steven A. Parkison , Ria Arora , James Richard Forbes , Liam Paull

In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to partially-observed stochastic processes that start from a set B0 and are stopped or killed at the first hitting time of a known set A. Such processes occur naturally…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-19 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

We consider the problem of signal estimation (denoising) from a statistical-mechanical perspective, in continuation to a recent work on the analysis of mean-square error (MSE) estimation using a direct relationship between optimum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-06-04 Wasim Huleihel , Neri Merhav

In this article we consider Bayesian estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. This problem features several obstacles to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-23 Ajay Jasra , Amin Wu

This paper considers the Liu estimator in the multinomial logistic regression model. We propose some different estimators of the biasing parameter. The mean square error (MSE) is considered as the performance criterion. In order to compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Yasin Asar , Murat Erişoğlu

This paper introduces and reviews some of the principles and methods used in Bayesian reliability. It specifically discusses methods used in the analysis of success/no-success data and then reminds the reader of a simple Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Carsten H. Botts

Two approaches to hypothesis testing, e-value testing and Bayes risk minimisation, both invoke Markov's inequality to control error probabilities. They differ in which distribution certifies the unit-moment condition: the null for Type I…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

We discuss an approach for deriving robust posterior distributions from $M$-estimating functions using Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods. In particular, we use $M$-estimating functions to construct suitable summary statistics…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-13 Erlis Ruli , Nicola Sartori , Laura Ventura

We propose a Bayesian approach to estimating parameters in multiclass functional models. Unordered multinomial probit, ordered multinomial probit and multinomial logistic models are considered. We use finite random series priors based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-03 Xiuqi Li , Subhashis Ghosal

We study Bayesian methods for large-scale linear inverse problems, focusing on the challenging task of hyperparameter estimation. Typical hierarchical Bayesian formulations that follow a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach are possible for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Khalil A Hall-Hooper , Arvind K Saibaba , Julianne Chung , Scot M Miller

Some improved estimators of the location parameters of several exponential distributions with ordered restriction are derived and compared numerically using Monte Carlo simulations. Note that the two-parameter exponential distribution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Shrajal Bajpai , Lakshmi Kanta Patra , Suchandan Kayal

The Unit Weibull distribution with parameters $\alpha$ and $\beta$ is considered to study in the context of dual generalized order statistics. For the analysis purpose, Bayes estimators based on symmetric and asymmetric loss functions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Qazi J. Azhad , Abdul Nasir Khan , Bhagwati Devi , Jahangir Sabbir Khan , Ayush Tripathi

Towards understanding the fundamental limits of estimation from data of varied quality, we study the problem of estimating a mean parameter from heteroskedastic Gaussian observations where the variances are unknown and may vary arbitrarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Yanjun Han , Abhishek Shetty , Jacob Shkrob

Precisely estimating out-of-sample upper quantiles is very important in risk assessment and in engineering practice for structural design to prevent a greater disaster. For this purpose, the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution has…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Yonggwan Shin , Yire Shin , Jihong Park , Jeong-Soo Park

We present both offline and online maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) techniques for inferring the static parameters of a multiple target tracking (MTT) model with linear Gaussian dynamics. We present the batch and online versions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-09 Sinan Yildirim , Lan Jiang , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Tom Dean

This paper aims at assessing the power system reliability by estimating loss of load (LOL) index using mutual information based Bayesian approach. Reliability analysis is a key component in the design, analysis and tuning of complex…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Swasti R. Khuntia , Jose L. Rueda , Mart A. M. M. van der Meijden