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Related papers: Online Decision Making for Trading Wind Energy

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This paper develops a feature-driven model for hybrid power plants, enabling them to exploit available contextual information such as historical forecasts of wind power, and make optimal wind power and hydrogen trading decisions in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-01 Emil Helgren , Jalal Kazempour , Lesia Mitridati

We consider a sequential decision making process, such as renewable energy trading or electrical production scheduling, whose outcome depends on the future realization of a random factor, such as a meteorological variable. We assume that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-01 Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

We study the optimal trading policies for a wind energy producer who aims to sell the future production in the open forward, spot, intraday and adjustment markets, and who has access to imperfect dynamically updated forecasts of the future…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-17 Zongjun Tan , Peter Tankov

Inspired from recent insights into the common ground of machine learning, optimization and decision-making, this paper proposes an easy-to-implement, but effective procedure to enhance both the quality of renewable energy forecasts and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Miguel Á. Muñoz , Juan M. Morales , Salvador Pineda

This paper develops learning-augmented algorithms for energy trading in volatile electricity markets. The basic problem is to sell (or buy) $k$ units of energy for the highest revenue (lowest cost) over uncertain time-varying prices, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Russell Lee , Bo Sun , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , John C. S. Lui

Wind power producers (WPPs) participating in short-term power markets face significant imbalance costs due to their non-dispatchable and variable production. While some WPPs have a large enough market share to influence prices with their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Shobhit Singhal , Marta Fochesato , Liviu Aolaritei , Florian Dörfler

This paper proposes a regression market for wind agents to monetize data traded among themselves for wind power forecasting. Existing literature on data markets often treats data disclosure as a binary choice or modulates the data quality…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-04 Liyang Han , Pierre Pinson , Jalal Kazempour

An increasing share of energy is produced from renewable sources by many small producers. The efficiency of those sources is volatile and, to some extent, random, exacerbating the problem of energy market balancing. In many countries, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Łukasz Lepak , Paweł Wawrzyński

We investigate the problem of market mechanism design for wind energy. We consider a dynamic two-step model with one strategic seller with wind generation and one buyer, who trade energy through a mechanism determined by a designer. The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-02 Hamidreza Tavafoghi , Demosthenis Teneketzis

Obtaining accurate probabilistic energy forecasts and making effective decisions amid diverse uncertainties are routine challenges in future energy systems. This paper presents the winning solution of team GEB, which ranked 3rd in trading,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Chuanqing Pu , Feilong Fan , Nengling Tai , Songyuan Liu , Jinming Yu

We develop a bidding strategy for a hybrid power plant combining co-located wind turbines and an electrolyzer, constructing a price-quantity bidding curve for the day-ahead electricity market while optimally scheduling hydrogen production.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-27 Yannick Heiser , Farzaneh Pourahmadi , Jalal Kazempour

Online decision-making in the presence of uncertain future information is abundant in many problem domains. In the critical problem of energy generation scheduling for microgrids, one needs to decide when to switch energy supply between a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-20 Ali Menati , Sid Chi-Kin Chau , Minghua Chen

This paper studies an adaptive approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting (WPF) including offline and online learning procedures. In the offline learning stage, a base forecast model is trained via inner and outer loop updates of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-17 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Hongbin Sun

We develop an online gradient algorithm for optimizing the performance of product-form networks through online adjustment of control parameters. The use of standard algorithms for finding optimal parameter settings is hampered by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Jaron Sanders , Sem C. Borst , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

Wind energy has emerged as one of the most vital and economically viable forms of renewable energy. The integration of wind energy sources into power grids across the globe has been increasing substantially, largely due to the higher levels…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Narin Nemati , Amin Ahmadi Kasani

This paper proposes online algorithms for dynamic matching markets in power distribution systems, which at any real-time operation instance decides about matching -- or delaying the supply of -- flexible loads with available renewable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-17 Deepan Muthirayan , Masood Parvania , Pramod P. Khargonekar

In this paper we propose a novel adaptive online optimization algorithm tailored to the management of microgrids with high renewable energy penetration, which can be formulated as a constrained, online optimization problem. The proposed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Wouter J. A. van Weerelt , Angela Fontan , Nicola Bastianello

Virtual bidding plays an important role in two-settlement electric power markets, as it can reduce discrepancies between day-ahead and real-time markets. Renewable energy penetration increases volatility in electricity prices, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Xuesong Wang , Sharaf K. Magableh , Oraib Dawaghreh , Caisheng Wang , Jiaxuan Gong , Zhongyang Zhao , Michael H. Liao

Accurate prediction of wind power is essential for the grid integration of this intermittent renewable source and aiding grid planners in forecasting available wind capacity. Spatial differences lead to discrepancies in climatological data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Md Saiful Islam Sajol , Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Jubair Yusuf

Due to the limited predictability of wind power and other stochastic generation, trading this energy in competitive electricity markets is challenging. This paper derives revenue-maximising and risk-constrained strategies for stochastic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-31 Jethro Browell
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