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The increasing integration of variable renewable energy sources such as wind and solar will require new methods of managing generation uncertainty. Existing practices of uncertainty management for these resources largely focuses around…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-02 Daniel Shen , Marija Ilic

This paper formulates a time-varying social-welfare maximization problem for distribution grids with distributed energy resources (DERs) and develops online distributed algorithms to identify (and track) its solutions. In the considered…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Xinyang Zhou , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Lijun Chen , Andrea Simonetto

Modeling wind speed is one of the key element when dealing with the production of energy through wind turbines. A good model can be used for forecasting, site evaluation, turbines design and many other purposes. In this work we are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-12 G. D'Amico , F. Petroni , F. Prattico

Most methods for decision-theoretic online learning are based on the Hedge algorithm, which takes a parameter called the learning rate. In most previous analyses the learning rate was carefully tuned to obtain optimal worst-case…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-04 Tim van Erven , Peter Grünwald , Wouter M. Koolen , Steven de Rooij

Nowadays, wind power is considered as one of the most widely used renewable energy applications due to its efficient energy use and low pollution. In order to maintain high integration of wind power into the electricity market, efficient…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-16 Ephrem Admasu Yekun , Alem Haddush Fitwi , S. Karpaga Selvi , Anubhav Kumar

Traditional bulk load flexibility options, such as load shifting and load curtailment, for managing uncertainty in power markets limit the diversity of options and ignore the preferences of the individual loads, thus reducing efficiency and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-20 Majid Majidi , Deepan Muthirayan , Masood Parvania , Pramod P. Khargonekar

In power markets, Green Power Purchase Agreements have become an important contractual tool of the energy transition from fossil fuels to renewable sources such as wind or solar radiation. Trading Green PPAs exposes agents to price risks…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-18 Richard Biegler-König , Daniel Oeltz

Among the many challenges of integrating renewable energy sources into the existing power grid, is the challenge of integrating renewable energy generators into the power systems economy. Electricity markets currently are run in a way that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-06-12 Wenyuan Tang , Rahul Jain

Peer-to-peer(P2P) energy trading may increase efficiency and reduce costs, but introduces significant challenges for network operators such as maintaining grid reliability, accounting for network losses, and redistributing costs equitably.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-01 Varsha N. Behrunani , Philipp Heer , Roy S. Smith , John Lygeros

This paper studies risk in a stochastic auction which facilitates the integration of renewable generation in electricity markets. We model market participants who are risk averse and reflect their risk aversion through coherent risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Ryan Cory-Wright , Golbon Zakeri

We consider the problem of online active learning to collect data for regression modeling. Specifically, we consider a decision maker with a limited experimentation budget who must efficiently learn an underlying linear population model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-22 Carlos Riquelme , Ramesh Johari , Baosen Zhang

In environments with increasing uncertainty, such as smart grid applications based on renewable energy, planning can benefit from incorporating forecasts about the uncertainty and from systematically evaluating the utility of the forecast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-16 Konstantinos Gatsis , Ufuk Topcu , George J. Pappas

New methods are proposed for adjusting probabilistic forecasts to ensure coherence with the aggregation constraints inherent in temporal hierarchies. The different approaches nested within this framework include methods that exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-18 Jooyoung Jeon , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Fotios Petropoulos

Energy efficient navigation constitutes an important challenge in electric vehicles, due to their limited battery capacity. We employ a Bayesian approach to model the energy consumption at road segments for efficient navigation. In order to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Niklas Åkerblom , Yuxin Chen , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

Wind power forecasting is essential to power system operation and electricity markets. As abundant data became available thanks to the deployment of measurement infrastructures and the democratization of meteorological modelling, extensive…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

We propose a novel method to improve estimation of asset returns for portfolio optimization. This approach first performs a monthly directional market forecast using an online decision tree. The decision tree is trained on a novel set of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Nolan Alexander , William Scherer

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

The problem of probabilistic forecasting and online simulation of real-time electricity market with stochastic generation and demand is considered. By exploiting the parametric structure of the direct current optimal power flow, a new…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-28 Weisi Deng , Yuting Ji , Lang Tong

The increase in renewable energy on the consumer side gives place to new dynamics in the energy grids. Participants in a microgrid can produce energy and trade it with their peers (peer-to-peer) with the permission of the energy provider.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Nicolas Avila , Shahad Hardan , Elnura Zhalieva , Moayad Aloqaily , Mohsen Guizani

This paper considers utility optimal power control for energy harvesting wireless devices with a finite capacity battery. The distribution information of the underlying wireless environment and harvestable energy is unknown and only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Hao Yu , Michael J. Neely
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