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In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic error distributions of symplectic methods for stochastic Hamiltonian systems and further provide Hamiltonian-specific analysis that clarifies the superiority of symplectic methods. Our…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Chuchu Chen , Xinyu Chen , Jialin Hong , Yuqian Miao

U-statistics of spatial point processes given by a density with respect to a Poisson process are investigated. In the first half of the paper general relations are derived for the moments of the functionals using kernels from the Wiener-Ito…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Viktor Benes , Marketa Zikmundova

Random fields are useful mathematical tools for representing natural phenomena with complex dependence structures in space and/or time. In particular, the Gaussian random field is commonly used due to its attractive properties and…

Count data appears in various disciplines. In this work, a new method to analyze time series count data has been proposed. The method assumes exponentially decaying covariance structure, a special class of the Mat\'ern covariance function,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-19 Soudeep Deb

We prove regenerative properties for the linear Hawkes process under minimal assumptions on the transfer function, which may have unbounded support. These results are applicable to sliding window statistical estimators. We exploit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Carl Graham

This note aims at presenting several new theoretical results for the compound Poisson point process, which follows the work of Zhang \emph{et al.} [Insurance~Math.~Econom.~59(2014), 325-336]. The first part provides a new characterization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Huiming Zhang , Xiaoxu Wu

We consider a sequence of systems of Hawkes processes having mean field interactions in a diffusive regime. The stochastic intensity of each process is a solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by N independent Poisson random…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Xavier Erny , Eva Löcherbach , Dasha Loukianova

This survey is a preliminary version of a chapter of the forthcoming book "Stochastic Analysis for Poisson Point Processes: Malliavin Calculus, Wiener-It\^o Chaos Expansions and Stochastic Geometry" edited by Giovanni Peccati and Matthias…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Günter Last

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the covariation of two diffusion processes when observations are subject to non-synchronicity. Building on recent papers \cite{Hay-Yos03, Hay-Yos04}, we derive second-order asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Arnak Dalalyan , Nakahiro Yoshida

Hawkes processes are a class of simple point processes whose intensity depends on the past history, and is in general non-Markovian. Limit theorems for Hawkes processes in various asymptotic regimes have been studied in the literature. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Hawkes processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic process that have been applied in diverse areas, from earthquake modelling to financial analysis. They are point processes whose defining characteristic is that they…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Patrick J. Laub , Thomas Taimre , Philip K. Pollett

In this chapter we present a new approach to the study of manifestations of chaos in real complex system. Recently we have achieved the following result. In real complex systems the informational measure of chaotic chatacter (IMC) can serve…

Medical Physics · Physics 2016-08-16 Renat M. Yulmetyev , Sergey A. Demin , Peter Hänggi

Understanding the interplay of order and disorder in chaotic systems is a central challenge in modern quantitative science. We present a universal, data-driven decomposition of chaos as an intermittently forced linear system. This work…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-05 Steven L. Brunton , Bingni W. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor , Eurika Kaiser , J. Nathan Kutz

We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

This paper introduces the class of multidimensional self-exciting processes with dependencies (MSPD), which is a unifying writing for a large class of processes: counting, loss, intensity, and also shifted processes. The framework takes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Caroline Hillairet , Thomas Peyrat , Anthony Réveillac

Berliner (Likelihood and Bayesian prediction for chaotic systems, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 1991) identified a number of difficulties in using the likelihood function within the Bayesian paradigm which arise both for state estimation and for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-30 Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

Hawkes Processes capture self-excitation and mutual-excitation between events when the arrival of an event makes future events more likely to happen. Identification of such temporal covariance can reveal the underlying structure to better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Rafael Lima , Jaesik Choi

We are dealing in this work with such formal and conceptual extensions of nonrelativistic quantum mechanics (QM) which contain QM with its standard formalism and interpretation as a subtheory. QM is here primarily equivalently reformulated…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-07-25 Pavel Bóna

The Poisson compound decision problem is a long-standing problem in statistics, where empirical Bayes methodologies are commonly used to estimate Poisson's means in static or batch domains. In this paper, we study the Poisson compound…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini

Hawkes processes are point process models that have been used to capture self-excitatory behavior in social interactions, neural activity, earthquakes and viral epidemics. They can model the occurrence of the times and locations of events.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Xenia Miscouridou , Samir Bhatt , George Mohler , Seth Flaxman , Swapnil Mishra
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