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The rapid integration of variable energy sources (VRES) into power grids increases variability and uncertainty of the net demand, making the power system operation challenging. Operating reserve is used by system operators to manage and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-24 Napoleon Costilla-Enriquez , Miguel Ortega-Vazquez , Aidan Tuohy , Amber Motley , Rebecca Webb

This study investigates the economic and reliability benefits of improved offshore wind forecasting for grid operations along the U.S. East Coast. We introduce and evaluate a state-of-the-art, machine-learning-based offshore wind…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-22 Khaled Bin Walid , Feng Ye , Jiaxiang Ji , Ahmed Aziz Ezzat , Travis Miles , Yazhou Leo Jiang

In this paper, we address the long-term system's requirement reserve sizing due to the high-level of variable renewable energy (VRE) sources penetration, inside the expansion planning model. The increase in the insertion of this kind of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Alessandro Soares , Ricardo Perez , Weslly Morais , Silvio Binato

In this paper, we suggest that reserves must be computed dynamically to account for wind power volatility. We formalize the notion of dynamic reserves in support of sequential Day-Ahead-Market (DAM) and Real-Time-Market (RTM) clearing and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-21 Marija Ilic , Dongwei Zhao

Over the past years, the share of electricity production from wind power plants has increased to significant levels in several power systems across Europe and the United States. In order to cope with the fluctuating and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Line Roald , Sidhant Misra , Michael Chertkov , Scott Backhaus , Göran Andersson

The deepening penetration of renewables in power systems has contributed to the increasing needs for generation scheduling flexibility. Specifically, for short-term operations, flexibility here indicates that sufficient ramp capacities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-14 Runze Chen , Jianhui Wang , Audun Botterud , Hongbin Sun

With more renewable energy sources (RES) integrated into the power system, the intermittency of RES places a heavy burden on the system. The uncertainty of RES is traditionally handled by controllable generators to balance the real time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-25 Tian Liu , Su Wang , Danny H. K. Tsang

With the fast growth of wind power penetration, power systems need additional flexibility to cope with wind power ramping. Several electricity markets have established requirements for flexible ramping capacity (FRC) reserves. This paper…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-05 Zhiwen Wang , Chen Shen , Feng Liu , Jianhui Wang , Xiangyu Wu

The transition from conventional methods of energy production to renewable energy production necessitates better prediction models of the upcoming supply of renewable energy. In wind power production, error in forecasting production is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Alagappan Swaminathan , Venkatakrishnan Sutharsan , Tamilselvi Selvaraj

This paper introduces the concept of affine reserve policies for accommodating large, fluctuating renewable infeeds in power systems. The approach uses robust optimization with recourse to determine operating rules for power system entities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-07-15 Joseph Warrington , Paul Goulart , Sebastien Mariethoz , Manfred Morari

This paper proposes a novel approach for optimal energy and reserve scheduling of wind farms by explicitly modelling wake interactions to enhance market participation and operational efficiency. Conventional methods often neglect wake…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-14 Marin Mabboux-Fort , Majid Bastankhah , Peter C Matthews , Mokhtar Bozorg

Long-duration energy storage (LDES) is a key component for fully renewable, sector-coupled energy systems based on wind and solar. While capacity expansion planning has begun to take into account interannual weather variability, it often…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-11 Felix Schmidt

In power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-05 Zhiwen Wang , Chen Shen , Feng Liu

Wind power is playing an increasingly important role in electricity markets. However, it's inherent variability and uncertainty cause operational challenges and costs as more operating reserves are needed to maintain system reliability.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Yishen Wang , Zhi Zhou , Cong Liu , Audun Botterud

We study a smart grid with wind power and battery storage. Traditionally, day-ahead planning aims to balance demand and wind power, yet actual wind conditions often deviate from forecasts. Short-term flexibility in storage and generation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Arnd Hartmanns , Nils Jansen , Marnix Suilen

Accommodating the uncertain and variable renewable energy sources (VRES) in electricity markets requires sophisticated and scalable tools to achieve market efficiency. To account for the uncertain imbalance costs in the real-time market…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-17 Dongwei Zhao , Vladimir Dvorkin , Stefanos Delikaraoglou , Alberto J. Lamadrid L. , Audun Botterud

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

We propose an enhancement to wholesale electricity markets whereby the exposure of consumers to increasingly large and volatile consumer payments arising as a byproduct of volatile real-time net loads -- i.e., loads minus renewable outputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Daniel Bienstock , Yury Dvorkin , Cheng Guo , Robert Mieth , Jiayi Wang

Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable due to their dependence on meteorological conditions.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski
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