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We study risk-aware linear policy approximations for the optimal operation of an energy system with stochastic wind power, storage, and limited fuel. The resulting problem is a sequential decision-making problem with rolling forecasts. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-19 Thomas Mortimer , Robert Mieth

This paper addresses the energy management of a grid-connected renewable generation plant coupled with a battery energy storage device in the capacity firming market, designed to promote renewable power generation facilities in small…

Renewable energy sources, especially wind energy, are to play a larger role in providing electricity to industrial and domestic consumers. This is already the case today for a number of European countries, closely followed by the US and…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Pierre Pinson

Wind energy's role in the global electric grid is set to expand significantly. New York State alone anticipates offshore wind farms (WFs) contributing 9GW by 2035. Integration of energy storage emerges as crucial for this advancement. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-08 Vinay A. Vaishampayan , Thilaharani Antony , Amirthagunaraj Yogarathnam

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change proposes different mitigation strategies to achieve the net emissions reductions that would be required to follow a pathway that limits global warming to 1.5{\deg}C with no or limited overshoot.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-10 Jonathan Dumas

The increasing integration of large-scale volatile and uncertain wind generation has brought great challenges to power system operations. In this paper, a risk-based admissibility assessment approach is proposed to quantitatively evaluate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-10-29 Cheng Wang , Feng Liu , Jianhui Wang , Wei Wei , Shengwei Mei

The output of renewable energy fluctuates significantly depending on weather conditions. We develop a unit commitment model to analyze requirements of the forecast output and its error for renewable energies. Our model obtains the time…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Yuichi Ikeda , Takashi Ikegami , Kazuto Kataoka , Kazuhiko Ogimoto

Wind power and other forms of renewable energy sources play an ever more important role in the energy supply of today's power grids. Forecasting renewable energy sources has therefore become essential in balancing the power grid. While a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig

The transition to sustainable Open Radio Access Network (O-RAN) architectures brings new challenges for resource management, especially in predicting the utilization of Physical Resource Block (PRB)s. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Vaishnavi Kasuluru , Luis Blanco , Cristian J. Vaca-Rubio , Engin Zeydan

Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Akylas Stratigakos , Panagiotis Andrianesis

We consider some crucial problems related to the secure and reliable operation of power systems with high renewable penetrations: how much reserve should we procure, how should reserve resources distribute among different locations, and how…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-19 Jiantao Shi , Ye Guo , Lang Tong , Wenchuan Wu , Hongbin Sun

This paper studies an adaptive approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting (WPF) including offline and online learning procedures. In the offline learning stage, a base forecast model is trained via inner and outer loop updates of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-17 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Hongbin Sun

As the penetration of variable renewable powergeneration increases in power systems around the world, systemsecurity is challenged. Ensuring that enough reserve capacity isavailable to balance the increased forecast errors introduced bywind…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Christian Øyn Naversen , Hossein Farahmand , Arild Helseth

Accurate power forecasting from renewable energy sources (RES) is crucial for integrating additional RES capacity into the power system and realizing sustainability goals. This work emphasizes the importance of integrating decentralized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Carla Goncalves , Ricardo J. Bessa , Tiago Teixeira , Joao Vinagre

The ever-growing use of wind energy makes necessary the optimization of turbine operations through pitch angle controllers and their maintenance with early fault detection. It is crucial to have accurate and robust models imitating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Alfonso Gijón , Ainhoa Pujana-Goitia , Eugenio Perea , Miguel Molina-Solana , Juan Gómez-Romero

Capacity expansion models used for policy support have increasingly represented both the variability and uncertainty of weather-dependent generation (wind and solar). However, although also uncertain, as demonstrated by the performance of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Kamran Forghani , Xiaoming Kan , Lina Reichenberg , Fredrik Hedenus

The stochastic differential equation (SDE)-based random process models of volatile renewable energy sources (RESs) jointly capture the evolving probability distribution and temporal correlation in continuous time. It has enabled recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Yiwei Qiu , Jin Lin , Zhipeng Zhou , Ningyi Dai , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

The integration of renewable energy sources (RES) into power grids presents significant challenges due to their intrinsic stochasticity and uncertainty, necessitating the development of new techniques for reliable and efficient forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 Hanyu Zhang , Reza Zandehshahvar , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck