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Stochastic filtering is defined as the estimation of a partially observed dynamical system. A massive scientific and computational effort is dedicated to the development of numerical methods for approximating the solution of the filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Dan Crisan , Kai Li

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models arise in numerous applications in statistics and signal processing. In this context, one of the most successful and popular approximation techniques is the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters

We propose a novel particle filter for convolutional-correlation visual trackers. Our method uses correlation response maps to estimate likelihood distributions and employs these likelihoods as proposal densities to sample particles.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Reza Jalil Mozhdehi , Henry Medeiros

In this paper, we consider a new framework for particle filtering under model uncertainty that operates beyond the scope of Markovian switching systems. Specifically, we develop a novel particle filtering algorithm that applies to general…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-11 Yousef El-Laham , Liu Yang , Petar M. Djuric , Monica F. Bugallo

Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of models that combine sequential Monte Carlo techniques with the flexibility of neural networks to perform state space inference. This paper concerns the case where the system may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 John-Joseph Brady , Yuhui Luo , Wenwu Wang , Victor Elvira , Yunpeng Li

In this paper we discuss new adaptive proposal strategies for sequential Monte Carlo algorithms--also known as particle filters--relying on criteria evaluating the quality of the proposed particles. The choice of the proposal distribution…

Computation · Statistics 2008-08-25 Julien Cornebise , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Particle filters are a widely used Monte Carlo based data assimilation technique that estimates the probability distribution of a system's state conditioned on observations through a collection of weights and particles. A known problem for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-29 Shay Gilpin , Michael Herty

Particle Flow Filters estimate the ``a posteriori" probability density function (PDF) by moving an ensemble of particles according to the likelihood. Particles are propagated under the system dynamics until a measurement becomes available…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Simone Servadio

Sequential learning in deep models often suffers from challenges such as catastrophic forgetting and loss of plasticity, largely due to the permutation dependence of gradient-based algorithms, where the order of training data impacts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Akhilan Boopathy , Aneesh Muppidi , Peggy Yang , Abhiram Iyer , William Yue , Ila Fiete

Sampling from the full posterior distribution of high-dimensional non-linear, non-Gaussian latent dynamical models presents significant computational challenges. While Particle Gibbs (also known as conditional sequential Monte Carlo) is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-05 Adrien Corenflos , Simo Särkkä

This paper focuses on the estimation of partially observed branching processes. First, the estimators from a frequentist perspective proposed in the literature are reviewed. The main objective of this paper is to present computational tools…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-21 Miguel González , Inés M. del Puerto , Manuel Serrano-Pastor

We consider situations where the applicability of sequential Monte Carlo particle filters is compromised due to the expensive evaluation of the particle weights. To alleviate this problem, we propose a new particle filter algorithm based on…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-24 Kari Heine , Daniel Burrows

In the following article we consider the numerical approximation of the non-linear filter in continuous-time, where the observations and signal follow diffusion processes. Given access to high-frequency, but discrete-time observations, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu , Jeremy Heng

In this tutorial we consider the non-linear Bayesian filtering of static parameters in a time-dependent model. We outline the theoretical background and discuss appropriate solvers. We focus on particle-based filters and present Sequential…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-26 Matthieu Bulté , Jonas Latz , Elisabeth Ullmann

Particle filter (PF) sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are very attractive for the estimation of parameters of time dependent systems where the data is either not all available at once, or the range of time constants is wide enough to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-25 Andrea Arnold , Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

Implicit particle filters for data assimilation generate high-probability samples by representing each particle location as a separate function of a common reference variable. This representation requires that a certain underdetermined…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Ethan Atkins , Alexandre J. Chorin

This article develops a methodology allowing application of the complete machinery of particle-based inference methods upon the class of continuous-discrete State Space Models (CD-SSMs). Such models correspond to a latent continuous-time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Christopher Stanton , Alexandros Beskos

Particle filtering is a Bayesian inference method and a fundamental tool in state estimation for dynamic systems, but its effectiveness is often limited by the constraints of the initial prior distribution, a phenomenon we define as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Yiwei Shi , Jingyu Hu , Yu Zhang , Mengyue Yang , Weinan Zhang , Cunjia Liu , Weiru Liu

Particle filtering is a powerful approach to sequential state estimation and finds application in many domains, including robot localization, object tracking, etc. To apply particle filtering in practice, a critical challenge is to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Peter Karkus , David Hsu , Wee Sun Lee

Particle filters contain the promise of fully nonlinear data assimilation. They have been applied in numerous science areas, but their application to the geosciences has been limited due to their inefficiency in high-dimensional systems in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-16 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Hans R. Künsch , Lars Nerger , Roland Potthast , Sebastian Reich
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