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We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

We introduce the concept of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n \Delta T. For a Gaussian Markov process with relaxation rate \mu, we show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray , George C. M. A. Ehrhardt

By killing a stable L\'{e}vy process when it leaves the positive half-line, or by conditioning it to stay positive, or by conditioning it to hit 0 continuously, we obtain three different positive self-similar Markov processes which…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Maria Emilia Caballero , Loïc Chaumont

This work derives a theoretical value for the entropy of a Linear Additive Markov Process (LAMP), an expressive model able to generate sequences with a given autocorrelation structure. While a first-order Markov Chain model generates new…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Bridget Smart , Matthew Roughan , Lewis Mitchell

We give a complete and unified description -- under some stability assumptions -- of the functional scaling limits associated with some persistent random walks for which the recurrent or transient type is studied in [1]. As a result, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-02 Peggy Cénac , Arnaud Le Ny , Basile De Loynes , Yoann Offret

We consider a simple discrete-time Markov chain with values in $[0,\infty)^{Z^d}$. The Markov chain describes various interesting examples such as oriented percolation, directed polymers in random environment, time discretizations of binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-26 Nobuo Yoshida

We propose some backward-forward martingale decompositions for functions of reversible Markov chains. These decompositions are used to prove the functional CLT for reversible Markov chains with asymptotically linear variance of partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Martial Longla

We prove a transient fluctuation theorem for the currents for continuous-time Markov jump processes with stationary rates, generalizing an asymptotic result by Andrieux and Gaspard [J. Stat. Phys. 127, 107 (2007)] to finite times. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-22 Matteo Polettini , Massimiliano Esposito

Consider the continuous-time Markov Branching Process. In critical case we consider a situation when the generating function of intensity of transformation of particles has the infinite second moment, but its tail regularly varies in sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Azam Imomov

We study the random acceleration model, which is perhaps one of the simplest, yet nontrivial, non-Markov stochastic processes, and is key to many applications. For this non-Markov process, we present exact analytical results for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Andrea Zoia

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models frequently used in, but not limited to, biochemistry. These models are continuous-time Markov chains whose transition rates depend on certain parameters called rate constants, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Daniele Cappelletti , Aidan Howells , Chuang Xu

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

Famously, a $d$-dimensional, spatially homogeneous random walk whose increments are non-degenerate, have finite second moments, and have zero mean is recurrent if $d \in \{1,2\}$ but transient if $d \geq 3$. Once spatial homogeneity is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Nicholas Georgiou , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Aleksandar Mijatović , Andrew R. Wade

We investigate some asymptotic properties of general Markov processes conditioned not to be absorbed by moving boundaries. We first give general criteria involving an exponential convergence towards the Q-process, that is the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 William Oçafrain

A lumping of a Markov chain is a coordinate-wise projection of the chain. We characterise the entropy rate preservation of a lumping of an aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space by the random growth rate of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-21 Bernhard C. Geiger , Christoph Temmel

We consider a general honest homogeneous continuous-time Markov process with restarts. The process is forced to restart from a given distribution at time moments generated by an independent Poisson process. The motivation to study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Alexei Piunovskiy , Zhang Yi

We investigate the transience/recurrence of a non-Markovian, one-dimensional diffusion process which consists of a Brownian motion with a non-anticipating drift that has two phases---a transient to $+\infty$ mode which is activated when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-10 Ross G. Pinsky

We are interested in the quasi-stationarity of the time-inhomogeneous Markov process X t = B t (t + 1) $\kappa$ where (B t) t$\ge$0 is a one-dimensional Brownian motion and $\kappa$ $\in$ (0, $\infty$). We first show that the law of X t…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 William Oçafrain

For a wide class of continuous-time Markov processes, including all irreducible hypoelliptic diffusions evolving on an open, connected subset of $\RL^d$, the following are shown to be equivalent: (i) The process satisfies (a slightly weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean P. Meyn

Let $L:= -a(x) (-\Delta)^{\alpha/2}+ (b(x), \nabla)$, where $\alpha\in (0,2)$, and $a:\rd\to (0,\infty)$, $b: \rd\to \rd$. Under certain regularity assumptions on the coefficients $a$ and $b$, we associate with the $C_\infty(\rd)$-closure…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Victoria Knopova , Alexei Kulik