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We establish general theorems quantifying the notion of recurrence --- through an estimation of the moments of passage times --- for irreducible continuous-time Markov chains on countably infinite state spaces. Sharp conditions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis

We establish a new Bernstein-type deviation inequality for general (non-reversible) discrete-time Markov chains via an elementary approach. More robust than existing works in the literature, our result only requires the Markov chain to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

We study the norm of the two-dimensional Brownian motion conditioned to stay outside the unit disk at all times. By conditioning the process is changed from barely recurrent to slightly transient. We obtain sharp results on the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Orphée Collin , Francis Comets

There are many Markov chains on infinite dimensional spaces whose one-step transition kernels are mutually singular when starting from different initial conditions. We give results which prove unique ergodicity under minimal assumptions on…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-20 Martin Hairer , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Michael Scheutzow

Based on discrete observations $X_0,X_{\Delta},\dots, X_{n\Delta}$ for $\Delta=n^{-\gamma}$ with $\gamma\in [0,1)$ of the null-recurrent dynamic $dX_t = \sigma(X_t)dW_t$ with a Brownian motion $W$ and $\sigma(x)=\alpha\mathbb{1}\{x<\rho\} +…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Johannes Brutsche , Sebastian Hahn , Angelika Rohde

We consider the exit event from a metastable state for the overdamped Langevin dynamics $dX_t = -\nabla f(X_t) dt + \sqrt{h} dB_t$. Using tools from semiclassical analysis, we prove that, starting from the quasi stationary distribution…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Giacomo Di Gesù , Tony Lelièvre , Dorian Le Peutrec , Boris Nectoux

Motivated by various applications, we describe the scaling limits of bivariate Markov chains $(X,J)$ on $\mathbb Z_+ \times \{1,\ldots,\kappa\}$ where $X$ can be viewed as a position marginal and $\{1,\ldots,\kappa\}$ is a set of $\kappa$…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Bénédicte Haas , Robin Stephenson

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

Consider longitudinal networks whose edges turn on and off according to a discrete-time Markov chain with exponential-family transition probabilities. We characterize when their joint distributions are also exponential families with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 William K. Schwartz , Sonja Petrović , Hemanshu Kaul

In this paper, we consider the decay property of a special class of $d$-dimensional Markov processes, which can be viewed as a stopped network with the external customer being blocked to empty nodes. The exact value of the decay parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Yanyun Li

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

Let \xi_t, t\in[0,T], be a strong Markov process with values in a complete separable metric space (X,\rho) and with transition probability function P_{s,t}(x,dy), 0\le s\le t\le T, x\in X. For any h\in[0,T] and a>0, consider the function…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Martynas Manstavicius

The main contribution of this paper is a strong converse result for $K$-hop distributed hypothesis testing against independence with multiple (intermediate) decision centers under a Markov condition. Our result shows that the set of type-II…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Mustapha Hamad , Michèle Wigger , Mireille Sarkiss

We derive the exact asymptotics of $P(\sup_{u\leq t}X(u) > x)$ if $x$ and $t$ tend to infinity with $x/t$ constant, for a L\'{e}vy process $X$ that admits exponential moments. The proof is based on a renewal argument and a two-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-26 Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

We study the fluctuations of systems modeled by Markov jump processes with periodic generators. We focus on observables defined through time-periodic functions of the system's states or transitions. Using large deviation theory, canonical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Lydia Chabane , Raphaël Chétrite , Gatien Verley

We consider a unified framework of sequential change-point detection and hypothesis testing modeled by means of hidden Markov chains. One observes a sequence of random variables whose distributions are functionals of a hidden Markov chain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-13 Savas Dayanik , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We present general results for the contact process by a method which applies to all transitive graphs of bounded degree, including graphs of exponential growth. The model's infection rates are varied through a control parameter, for which…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-29 Michael Aizenman , Paul Jung

Motivated by the study of the time evolution of random dynamical systems arising in a vast variety of domains --- ranging from physics to ecology ---, we establish conditions for the occurrence of a non-trivial asymptotic behaviour for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Vladimir Belitsky , Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Marina Vachkovskaia

We study the top Lyapunov exponent of a product of random $2 \times 2$ matrices appearing in the analysis of several statistical mechanical models with disorder, extending a previous treatment of the critical case (Giacomin and Greenblatt,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Orphée Collin , Giambattista Giacomin , Rafael L. Greenblatt , Yueyun Hu

We analyze the properties of degree-preserving Markov chains based on elementary edge switchings in undirected and directed graphs. We give exact yet simple formulas for the mobility of a graph (the number of possible moves) in terms of its…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2012-03-12 E. S. Roberts , A. Annibale , A. C. C. Coolen
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