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In the analysis of spatial point patterns on linear networks, a critical statistical objective is estimating the first-order intensity function, representing the expected number of points within specific subsets of the network. Typically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Jonatan A. González , Paula Moraga

We introduce a new variational estimator for the intensity function of an inhomogeneous spatial point process with points in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space and observed within a bounded region. The variational estimator applies in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller

In the spatial point process context, kernel intensity estimation has been mainly restricted to exploratory analysis due to its lack of consistency. Different methods have been analysed to overcome this problem, and the inclusion of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 M. I. Borrajo , W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Martínez-Miranda

We discuss and compare various approaches to the problem of bandwidth selection for kernel estimators of intensity functions of spatial point processes. We also propose a new method based on the Campbell formula applied to the reciprocal…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-01 O. Cronie , M. N. M. van Lieshout

We investigate the asymptotic mean squared error of kernel estimators of the intensity function of a spatial point process. We show that when $n$ independent copies of a point process in $\mathbb R^d$ are superposed, the optimal bandwidth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-11 M. N. M. van Lieshout

The availability of large spatial data geocoded at accurate locations has fueled a growing interest in spatial modeling and analysis of point processes. The proposed research is motivated by the intensity estimation problem for large…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-19 Lihao Yin , Huiyan Sang

Lasso and Dantzig selector are standard procedures able to perform variable selection and estimation simultaneously. This paper is concerned with extending these procedures to spatial point process intensity estimation. We propose adaptive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-24 Achmad Choiruddin , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédérique Letué

We introduce a broad class of models called semiparametric spatial point process for making inference between spatial point patterns and spatial covariates. These models feature an intensity function with both parametric and nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Xindi Lin , Bumjun Park , Christopher Zahasky , Hyunseung Kang

This paper introduces a data-adaptive non-parametric approach for the estimation of time-varying spectral densities from nonstationary time series. Time-varying spectral densities are commonly estimated by local kernel smoothing. The…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

In this paper, we harness a result in point process theory, specifically the expectation of the weighted $K$-function, where the weighting is done by the true first-order intensity function. This theoretical result can be employed as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Giada Adelfio

This paper proposes a new estimation technique for fitting parametric Gibbs point process models to a spatial point pattern dataset. The technique is a counterpart, for spatial point processes, of the variational estimators for Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Adrian Baddeley , David Dereudre

Point process data are becoming ubiquitous in modern applications, such as social networks, health care, and finance. Despite the powerful expressiveness of the popular recurrent neural network (RNN) models for point process data, they may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Zheng Dong , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

We restrict our attention to space-time point pattern data for which we have a single realisation within a finite region. Second-order characteristics are used to analyse the spatio-temporal structure of the underlying point process. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-29 Edith Gabriel

Density estimation in high-dimensional settings is an important and challenging statistical problem.Traditional methods based on kernel smoothing are inefficient in high dimensions due to the difficulties in specifying appropriate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ruitong Zhang , Ke Deng

We propose in this work an original estimator of the conditional intensity of a marker-dependent counting process, that is, a counting process with covariates. We use model selection methods and provide a non asymptotic bound for the risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-24 F. Comte , S. Gaïffas , A. Guilloux

Spatio-temporal point processes (STPPs) model discrete events distributed in time and space, with important applications in areas such as criminology, seismology, epidemiology, and social networks. Traditional models often rely on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Xiuyuan Cheng , Zheng Dong , Yao Xie

Predictive hotspot mapping plays a critical role in hotspot policing. Existing methods such as the popular kernel density estimation (KDE) do not consider the temporal dimension of crime. Building upon recent works in related fields, this…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-02 Yujie Hu , Fahui Wang , Cecile Guin , Haojie Zhu

We propose a new fully non-parametric two-step adaptive bandwidth selection method for kernel estimators of spatial point process intensity functions based on the Campbell-Mecke formula and Abramson's square root law. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 M. N. M. van Lieshout

The analysis of spatial point patterns that occur in the network domain have recently gained much attraction and various intensity functions and measures have been proposed. However, the linkage of spatial network statistics to regression…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-25 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu
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