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Probabilistic survival analysis models seek to estimate the distribution of the future occurrence (time) of an event given a set of covariates. In recent years, these models have preferred nonparametric specifications that avoid directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Deming Sheng , Ricardo Henao

We develop two novel approaches for constructing skewed and bimodal flexible distributions that can effectively generalize classical symmetric distributions. We illustrate the application of introduced techniques by extending normal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Jamil Ownuk , Ahmad Nezakati , Hossein Baghishani

Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric approximating families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Francesco Pozza , Daniele Durante , Botond Szabo

Mixtures of multivariate contaminated shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions are developed for handling asymmetric clusters in the presence of outliers (also referred to as bad points herein). In addition to the parameters of the related…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-25 Katherine Morris , Antonio Punzo , Paul D. McNicholas , Ryan P. Browne

The von Mises-Fisher distribution as an exponential family can be expressed in terms of either its natural or its mean parameters. Unfortunately, however, the normalization function for the distribution in terms of its mean parameters is…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-12 Marcel Nonnenmacher , Maneesh Sahani

In 2020, two novel distributions for the analysis of directional data were introduced: the spherical Cauchy distribution and the Poisson kernel-based distribution. This paper provides a detailed exploration of both distributions within…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-20 Michail Tsagris , Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Shogo Kato

Spherical regression explores relationships between variables on spherical domains. We develop a nonparametric model that uses a diffeomorphic map from a sphere to itself. The restriction of this mapping to diffeomorphisms is natural in…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-02-06 Michael Rosenthal , Wei Wu , Eric Klassen , Anuj Srivastava

This paper deals with Elliptical Wishart distributions - which generalize the Wishart distribution - in the context of signal processing and machine learning. Two algorithms to compute the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) are proposed: a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Imen Ayadi , Florent Bouchard , Frédéric Pascal

Density-based clustering methodology has been widely considered in the statistical literature for classifying Euclidean observations. However, this approach has not been contemplated for directional data yet. In this work, directional…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Paula Saavedra-Nieves , Martín Fernández-Pérez

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

To ensure high quality outputs, it is important to quantify the epistemic uncertainty of diffusion models. Existing methods are often unreliable because they mix epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. We introduce a method based on Fisher…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Aditi Gupta , Raphael A. Meyer , Yotam Yaniv , Elynn Chen , N. Benjamin Erichson

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

It is well known that any continuous probability density function on $\mathbb{R}^m$ can be approximated arbitrarily well by a finite mixture of normal distributions, provided that the number of mixture components is sufficiently large. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-15 Tin Lok James Ng , Kwok-Kun Kwong

We develop a novel clustering method for distributional data, where each data point is regarded as a probability distribution on the real line. For distributional data, it has been challenging to develop a clustering method that utilizes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Ryo Okano , Masaaki Imaizumi

Clustering has received much attention in Statistics and Machine learning with the aim of developing statistical models and autonomous algorithms which are capable of acquiring information from raw data in order to perform exploratory…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Victor Muthama Musau , Carlo Gaetan , Paolo Girardi

We revisit the classical problem of estimating an unknown distribution from its samples by fitting a mixture model that minimizes cross-entropy loss. Framing the task as a stochastic convex optimization problem over the space of $ M…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Mohammadreza Ahmadypour , Tara Javidi , Farinaz Koushanfar

Mixture models are commonly used when data show signs of heterogeneity and, often, it is important to estimate the distribution of the latent variable responsible for that heterogeneity. This is a common problem for data taking values in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

In this study, we address the problem of clustering string data in an unsupervised manner by developing a theory of a mixture model and an EM algorithm for string data based on probability theory on a topological monoid of strings developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-08 Hitoshi Koyano , Morihiro Hayashida , Tatsuya Akutsu

Using a hierarchical construction, we develop methods for a wide and flexible class of models by taking a fully parametric approach to generalized linear mixed models with complex covariance dependence. The Laplace approximation is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Eryn Blagg , Michael Dumelle , Philip M. Dixon , Dale L. Zimmerman , Paul Conn