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Given a fixed budget for total model size, one must choose between training a single large model or combining the predictions of multiple smaller models. We investigate this trade-off for ensembles of random-feature ridge regression models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Benjamin S. Ruben , William L. Tong , Hamza Tahir Chaudhry , Cengiz Pehlevan

Understanding how feature learning affects generalization is among the foremost goals of modern deep learning theory. Here, we study how the ability to learn representations affects the generalization performance of a simple class of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , William L. Tong , Cengiz Pehlevan

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is essential for ensuring the reliability and safety of machine learning systems. In recent years, it has received increasing attention, particularly through post-hoc detection and training-based methods.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Mouïn Ben Ammar , David Brellmann , Arturo Mendoza , Antoine Manzanera , Gianni Franchi

Deep learning models, particularly Transformers, have achieved impressive results in various domains, including time series forecasting. While existing time series literature primarily focuses on model architecture modifications and data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Valentino Assandri , Sam Heshmati , Burhaneddin Yaman , Anton Iakovlev , Ariel Emiliano Repetur

We suggest the Doubly Multiplicative Error class of models (DMEM) for modeling and forecasting realized volatility, which combines two components accommodating low-, respectively, high-frequency features in the data. We derive the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-08 Alessandra Amendola , Vincenzo Candila , Fabrizio Cipollini , Giampiero M. Gallo

We consider ordinary least squares estimation and variations on least squares estimation such as penalized (regularized) least squares and spectral shrinkage estimates for problems with p > n and associated problems with prediction of new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-19 Ronald Christensen

In this manuscript, we investigate the problem of how two-layer neural networks learn features from data, and improve over the kernel regime, after being trained with a single gradient descent step. Leveraging the insight from (Ba et al.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Hugo Cui , Luca Pesce , Yatin Dandi , Florent Krzakala , Yue M. Lu , Lenka Zdeborová , Bruno Loureiro

A recent line of research has shown that gradient-based algorithms with random initialization can converge to the global minima of the training loss for over-parameterized (i.e., sufficiently wide) deep neural networks. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Difan Zou , Quanquan Gu

Random features models play a distinguished role in the theory of deep learning, describing the behavior of neural networks close to their infinite-width limit. In this work, we present a thorough analysis of the generalization performance…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-02-03 Fabián Aguirre-López , Silvio Franz , Mauro Pastore

We consider fully row/column-correlated linear regression models and study several classical estimators (including minimum norm interpolators (GLS), ordinary least squares (LS), and ridge regressors). We show that \emph{Random Duality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Mihailo Stojnic

Mixup is a data augmentation technique that relies on training using random convex combinations of data points and their labels. In recent years, Mixup has become a standard primitive used in the training of state-of-the-art image…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Muthu Chidambaram , Xiang Wang , Chenwei Wu , Rong Ge

Autonomous machine learning systems that learn many tasks in sequence are prone to the catastrophic forgetting problem. Mathematical theory is needed in order to understand the extent of forgetting during continual learning. As a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Daniel Goldfarb , Paul Hand

We investigate the feature compression of high-dimensional ridge regression using the optimal subsampling technique. Specifically, based on the basic framework of random sampling algorithm on feature for ridge regression and the A-optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-19 Hanyu Li , Chengmei Niu

Random Fourier features is a widely used, simple, and effective technique for scaling up kernel methods. The existing theoretical analysis of the approach, however, remains focused on specific learning tasks and typically gives pessimistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-08 Zhu Li , Jean-Francois Ton , Dino Oglic , Dino Sejdinovic

We obtain upper bounds for the estimation error of Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) for all non-negative regularization parameters, offering a geometric perspective on various phenomena in KRR. As applications: 1. We address the multiple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Guillaume Lecué , Zong Shang

In recent years, researchers pay growing attention to the few-shot learning (FSL) task to address the data-scarce problem. A standard FSL framework is composed of two components: i) Pre-train. Employ the base data to generate a CNN-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Shuai Shao , Lei Xing , Rui Xu , Weifeng Liu , Yan-Jiang Wang , Bao-Di Liu

Estimation of a multivariate regression function from independent and identically distributed data is considered. An estimate is defined which fits a deep neural network consisting of a large number of fully connected neural networks, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Selina Drews , Michael Kohler

Classical learning theory suggests that the optimal generalization performance of a machine learning model should occur at an intermediate model complexity, with simpler models exhibiting high bias and more complex models exhibiting high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

High-dimensional data is commonly encountered in numerous data analysis tasks. Feature selection techniques aim to identify the most representative features from the original high-dimensional data. Due to the absence of class label…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Yunhui Liang , Jianwen Gan , Yan Chen , Peng Zhou , Liang Du

High-dimensional data is common in multiple areas, such as health care and genomics, where the number of features can be tens of thousands. In such scenarios, the large number of features often leads to inefficient learning. Constraint…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Kartheek Bondugula , Santiago Mazuelas , Aritz Pérez
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