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Double descent presents a counter-intuitive aspect within the machine learning domain, and researchers have observed its manifestation in various models and tasks. While some theoretical explanations have been proposed for this phenomenon…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-26 Yufei Gu , Xiaoqing Zheng , Tomaso Aste

The double descent (DD) paradox, where over-parameterized models see generalization improve past the interpolation point, remains largely unexplored in the non-stationary domain of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL). We present preliminary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Viktor Veselý , Aleksandar Todorov , Matthia Sabatelli

In this technical report, we explore the behavior of Recursive Feature Machines (RFMs), a type of novel kernel machine that recursively learns features via the average gradient outer product, through a series of experiments on regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Arunav Gupta , Rohit Mishra , William Luu , Mehdi Bouassami

A regression model with more parameters than data points in the training data is overparametrized and has the capability to interpolate the training data. Based on the classical bias-variance tradeoff expressions, it is commonly assumed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Tomas McKelvey

High-dimensional linear regression has been thoroughly studied in the context of independent and identically distributed data. We propose to investigate high-dimensional regression models for independent but non-identically distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Jérémie Bigot , Issa-Mbenard Dabo , Camille Male

Conventional statistical wisdom established a well-understood relationship between model complexity and prediction error, typically presented as a U-shaped curve reflecting a transition between under- and overfitting regimes. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Alicia Curth , Alan Jeffares , Mihaela van der Schaar

This paper explores the generalization loss of linear regression in variably parameterized families of models, both under-parameterized and over-parameterized. We show that the generalization curve can have an arbitrary number of peaks, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Lin Chen , Yifei Min , Mikhail Belkin , Amin Karbasi

In this paper, we provide a precise characterization of generalization properties of high dimensional kernel ridge regression across the under- and over-parameterized regimes, depending on whether the number of training data n exceeds the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Fanghui Liu , Zhenyu Liao , Johan A. K. Suykens

Recently, the benefit of heavily overparameterized models has been observed in machine learning tasks: models with enough capacity to easily cross the \emph{interpolation threshold} improve in generalization error compared to the classical…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-09-03 Matthias Vigl , Lukas Heinrich

Recent evidence has shown the existence of a so-called double-descent and even triple-descent behavior for the generalization error of deep-learning models. This important phenomenon commonly appears in implemented neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Antoine Bodin , Nicolas Macris

We show that a variety of modern deep learning tasks exhibit a "double-descent" phenomenon where, as we increase model size, performance first gets worse and then gets better. Moreover, we show that double descent occurs not just as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Preetum Nakkiran , Gal Kaplun , Yamini Bansal , Tristan Yang , Boaz Barak , Ilya Sutskever

Recent studies observed a surprising concept on model test error called the double descent phenomenon, where the increasing model complexity decreases the test error first and then the error increases and decreases again. To observe this,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Chathurika S Abeykoon , Aleksandr Beknazaryan , Hailin Sang

We consider linear regression problems with a varying number of random projections, where we provably exhibit a double descent curve for a fixed prediction problem, with a high-dimensional analysis based on random matrix theory. We first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Francis Bach

We study double descent and benign overfitting in macroeconomic forecasting. We document that double-descent risk curves arise in standard macroeconomic datasets that are driven by a small number of latent factors, and we characterize when…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-18 Andrea Carriero , Florian Huber , Davide Pettenuzzo

Classical learning theory describes a well-characterised U-shaped relationship between model complexity and prediction error, reflecting a transition from underfitting in underparameterised regimes to overfitting as complexity grows. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Guillermo Comesaña Cimadevila

The theory of bias-variance used to serve as a guide for model selection when applying Machine Learning algorithms. However, modern practice has shown success with over-parameterized models that were expected to overfit but did not. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Luis Sa-Couto , Jose Miguel Ramos , Miguel Almeida , Andreas Wichert

This article characterizes the exact asymptotics of random Fourier feature (RFF) regression, in the realistic setting where the number of data samples $n$, their dimension $p$, and the dimension of feature space $N$ are all large and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-11 Zhenyu Liao , Romain Couillet , Michael W. Mahoney

The phenomenon of model-wise double descent, where the test error peaks and then reduces as the model size increases, is an interesting topic that has attracted the attention of researchers due to the striking observed gap between theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Chris Yuhao Liu , Jeffrey Flanigan

We investigate the asymptotic risk of a general class of overparameterized likelihood models, including deep models. The recent empirical success of large-scale models has motivated several theoretical studies to investigate a scenario…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-16 Ryumei Nakada , Masaaki Imaizumi

Extensive empirical evidence reveals that, for a wide range of different learning methods and datasets, the risk curve exhibits a double-descent (DD) trend as a function of the model size. In a recent paper [Zeyu,Kammoun,Thrampoulidis,2019]…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-03 Ganesh Kini , Christos Thrampoulidis