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The analysis of temporal networks heavily depends on the analysis of time-respecting paths. However, before being able to model and analyze the time-respecting paths, we have to infer the timescales at which the temporal edges influence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-30 Luka V. Petrović , Anatol Wegner , Ingo Scholtes

A great variety of complex systems ranging from user interactions in communication networks to transactions in financial markets can be modeled as temporal graphs, which consist of a set of vertices and a series of timestamped and directed…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-29 Jingjing Wang , Yanhao Wang , Wenjun Jiang , Yuchen Li , Kian-Lee Tan

Network-linked data, where multivariate observations are interconnected by a network, are becoming increasingly prevalent in fields such as sociology and biology. These data often exhibit inherent noise and complex relational structures,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-11 Jianxiang Wang , Can M. Le , Tianxi Li

A structural equation model (SEM) is an effective framework to reason over causal relationships represented via a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Recent advances have enabled effective maximum-likelihood point estimation of DAGs from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Chris Cundy , Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon

This paper develops new methods for causal inference in observational studies on a single large network of interconnected units, addressing two key challenges: long-range dependence among units and the presence of general interference. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-24 Jizhou Liu , Dake Zhang , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

In this work, we present a study combining two approaches in the context of solving PDEs: the continuous finite element method (FEM) and more recent techniques based on neural networks. In recent years, physics-informed neural networks…

Empirical Dynamic Modeling (EDM) is a nonlinear time series causal inference framework. The latest implementation of EDM, cppEDM, has only been used for small datasets due to computational cost. With the growth of data collection…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Wassapon Watanakeesuntorn , Keichi Takahashi , Kohei Ichikawa , Joseph Park , George Sugihara , Ryousei Takano , Jason Haga , Gerald M. Pao

Temporal exponential random graph models (TERGM) are powerful statistical models that can be used to infer the temporal pattern of edge formation and elimination in complex networks (e.g., social networks). TERGMs can also be used in a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Yifan Huang , Clayton Barham , Eric Page , PK Douglas

The Matrix Element Method (MEM) is a powerful method to extract information from measured events at collider experiments. Compared to multivariate techniques built on large sets of experimental data, the MEM does not rely on an…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2021-04-07 Florian Bury , Christophe Delaere

Causal inference is a vital aspect of multiple scientific disciplines and is routinely applied to high-impact applications such as medicine. However, evaluating the performance of causal inference methods in real-world environments is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Mathieu Chevalley , Yusuf Roohani , Arash Mehrjou , Jure Leskovec , Patrick Schwab

Discovering the complete set of causal relations among a group of variables is a challenging unsupervised learning problem. Often, this challenge is compounded by the fact that there are latent or hidden confounders. When only observational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Anqi Liu , Hao Liu , Tongxin Li , Saeed Karimi-Bidhendi , Yisong Yue , Anima Anandkumar

In this study, we tackle the challenging fine-grained edge detection task, which refers to predicting specific edges caused by reflectance, illumination, normal, and depth changes, respectively. Prior methods exploit multi-scale…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Shaocong Xu , Xiaoxue Chen , Yuhang Zheng , Guyue Zhou , Yurong Chen , Hongbin Zha , Hao Zhao

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

We study causal effect estimation under interference from network data. We work under the chain-graph formulation pioneered in Tchetgen Tchetgen et. al (2021). Our first result shows that polynomial time evaluation of treatment effects is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Sohom Bhattacharya , Subhabrata Sen

Multivariate time series forecasting is of great importance to many scientific disciplines and industrial sectors. The evolution of a multivariate time series depends on the dynamics of its variables and the connectivity network of causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Christos Koutlis , Symeon Papadopoulos , Manos Schinas , Ioannis Kompatsiaris

We explore the hyperparameters and introduce a methodological framework to convert disease patterns from time series data of blood test results into correlation graphs for causal hypothesis exploration. The networks represent hypotheses…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-29 David Patrick Duys Montealegre , Alexander Fulton , Mahta Haghighat Ghahfarokhi , Abicumaran Uthamacumaran , Hector Zenil

Important information on the structure of complex systems, consisting of more than one component, can be obtained by measuring to which extent the individual components exchange information among each other. Such knowledge is needed to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Modern causal decision-making increasingly demands individualized treatment-effect estimation in networks where interventions are high-dimensional, combinatorial vectors. While network interference, effect heterogeneity, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yunping Lu , Haoang Chi , Qirui Hu , Zhiheng Zhang

We introduce a Bayesian approach to conduct inferential analyses on dyadic data while accounting for interdependencies between observations through a set of additive and multiplicative effects (AME). The AME model is built on a generalized…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-31 Shahryar Minhas , Peter D. Hoff , Michael D. Ward

It is commonly accepted that some phenomena are social: for example, individuals' smoking habits often correlate with those of their peers. Such correlations can have a variety of explanations, such as direct contagion or shared…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-08 William W. Wang , Ali Jadbabaie