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Multi-armed bandits are widely used for sequential experimentation in clinical trials, recommendation systems, and online platforms. While regret minimization and valid inference from adaptively collected data have each been studied…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Yu-Shiou Willy Lin , Dae Woong Ham , Iavor Bojinov

Experimentation is crucial for managers to rigorously quantify the value of a change and determine if it leads to a statistically significant improvement over the status quo. As companies increasingly mandate that all changes undergo…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Biyonka Liang , Iavor Bojinov

The treatment assignment mechanism in a randomized clinical trial can be optimized for statistical efficiency within a specified class of randomization mechanisms. Optimal designs of this type have been characterized in terms of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Wei Zhang , Zhiwei Zhang , Aiyi Liu

We consider optimal experimental design (OED) for Bayesian inverse problems, where the experimental design variables have a certain multiway structure. Given $d$ different experimental variables with $m_i$ choices per design variable $1 \le…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Hugo Díaz , Arvind K. Saibaba , Srinivas Eswar , Vishwas Rao , Zichao Wendy Di

In Phase I/II dose-finding trials, the objective is to find the Optimal Biological Dose (OBD), a dose that is both safe and efficacious that maximises some optimality criterion based on safety and efficacy. This is further complicated when…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-31 Helen Barnett , Oliver Boix , Dimitris Kontos , Thomas Jaki

We propose a prognostic stratum matching framework that addresses the deficiencies of Randomized trial data subgroup analysis and transforms ObservAtional Data to be used as if they were randomized, thus paving the road for precision…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Angelos G. Koulouras , Georgios Antonios Margonis

Determining causes of deaths (COD) occurred outside of civil registration and vital statistics systems is challenging. A technique called verbal autopsy (VA) is widely adopted to gather information on deaths in practice. A VA consists of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Zhenke Wu , Zehang Richard Li , Irena Chen , Mengbing Li

We propose a restricted win probability estimand for comparing treatments in a randomized trial with a time-to-event outcome. We also propose Bayesian estimators for this summary measure as well as the unrestricted win probability. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-06 Michelle Leeberg , Xianghua Luo , Thomas A. Murray

Bayesian adaptive designs have gained popularity in all phases of clinical trials with numerous new developments in the past few decades. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the need to establish evidence for the effectiveness of vaccines,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Shirin Golchi

To exploit the potential of the RIS in supporting ISAC, this paper proposes a novel joint active and passive beamforming design for RIS-enabled ISAC system in consideration of the target size. First, the detection probability for target…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Zhe Xing , Rui Wang , Xiaojun Yuan

This paper presents GARD, an upper limb end-effector rehabilitation device developed for stroke patients. GARD offers assistance force along or towards a 2D trajectory during physical therapy sessions. GARD employs a non-backdrivable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Fulan Li , Yunfei Guo , Wenda Xu , Weide Zhang , Fangyun Zhao , Baiyu Wang , Huaguang Du , Chengkun Zhang

Background: Advanced adaptive randomised clinical trials are increasingly used. Compared to their conventional counterparts, their flexibility may make them more efficient, increase the probability of obtaining conclusive results without…

Covariate-adjusted response-adaptive (CARA) designs have gained widespread adoption for their clear benefits in enhancing experimental efficiency and participant welfare. These designs dynamically adjust treatment allocations during interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang , Waverly Wei

The Win Ratio has gained significant traction in cardiovascular trials as a novel method for analyzing composite endpoints (Pocock and others, 2012). Compared with conventional approaches based on time to the first event, the Win Ratio…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Baoshan Zhang , Yuan Wu

In clinical studies, the risk of the primary (terminal) event may be modified by intermediate events, resulting in semicompeting risks. To study the treatment effect on the terminal event mediated by the intermediate event, researchers wish…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Yuhao Deng , Rui Wang , Tao Zhang , Xiang Zhan

Precision medicine is an emerging field that takes into account individual heterogeneity to inform better clinical practice. In clinical trials, the evaluation of treatment effect heterogeneity is an important component, and recently, many…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Yuejia Xu , Angela M. Wood , Brian D. M. Tom

We introduce a novel method to simultaneously perform variable selection and estimation in the joint frailty model of recurrent and terminal events using the Broken Adaptive Ridge Regression penalty. The BAR penalty can be summarized as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Christian Chan , Fatemeh Mahmoudi , Chel Hee Lee , Quan Long , Xuewen Lu

Many phase II clinical trials have used survival outcomes as the primary endpoints in recent decades. Suppose the radiotherapy is evaluated in a phase II trial using survival outcomes. In that case, the competing risk issue often arises…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-15 Jina Park , Wenjing Hu , Ick Hoon Jin , Hao Liu , Yong Zang

The challenge of quantifying uncertainty propagation in real-world systems is rooted in the high-dimensionality of the stochastic input and the frequent lack of explicit knowledge of its probability distribution. Traditional approaches show…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Huan Lei , Jing Li , Peiyuan Gao , Panos Stinis , Nathan Baker

This paper presents a new approach for batch Bayesian Optimization (BO) called Thompson Sampling-Regret to Sigma Ratio directed sampling (TS-RSR), where we sample a new batch of actions by minimizing a Thompson Sampling approximation of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Zhaolin Ren , Na Li
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