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We describe the Bedside Patient Rescue (BPR) project, the goal of which is risk prediction of adverse events for non-ICU patients using ~200 variables (vitals, lab results, assessments, ...). There are several missing predictor values for…

Optimal experimental design (OED) plays an important role in the problem of identifying uncertainty with limited experimental data. In many applications, we seek to minimize the uncertainty of a predicted quantity of interest (QoI) based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Keyi Wu , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

We present a mathematical framework and computational methods to optimally design a finite number of sequential experiments. We formulate this sequential optimal experimental design (sOED) problem as a finite-horizon partially observable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Wanggang Shen , Xun Huan

This paper introduces the OPIAID algorithm, a novel approach for predicting and recommending personalized opioid dosages for individual patients. The algorithm optimizes pain management while minimizing opioid related adverse events (ORADE)…

Optimal design is a critical yet challenging task within many applications. This challenge arises from the need for extensive trial and error, often done through simulations or running field experiments. Fortunately, sequential optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Xubo Yue , Raed Al Kontar , Albert S. Berahas , Yang Liu , Blake N. Johnson

We present a novel stochastic approach to binary optimization for optimal experimental design (OED) for Bayesian inverse problems governed by mathematical models such as partial differential equations. The OED utility function, namely, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Ahmed Attia , Sven Leyffer , Todd Munson

Optimizing doses for multiple indications is challenging. The pooled approach of finding a single optimal biological dose (OBD) for all indications ignores that dose-response or dose-toxicity curves may differ between indications, resulting…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Shuqi Wang , Peter F. Thall , Kentaro Takeda , Ying Yuan

We applied Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (OED) in the estimation of parameters involved in the Equilibrium Dispersive Model for chromatography with two components with the Langmuir adsorption isotherm. The coefficients estimated were…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-08 Jose Rodrigo Rojo-Garcia , Heikki Haario , Tapio Helin , Tuomo Sainio

Bayesian nonparametric marginal methods are very popular since they lead to fairly easy implementation due to the formal marginalization of the infinite-dimensional parameter of the model. However, the straightforwardness of these methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

Postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) remains a leading cause of maternal morbidity and mortality worldwide. Oxytocin, though widely recognized for facilitating labor, is also the primary pharmacological intervention for PPH prevention. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Haiyan Zhu , Yuqi Qiu , Yingchun Zhou

Biomarker-guided designs are increasingly used to evaluate personalized treatments based on patients' biomarker status in Phase II and III clinical trials. With adaptive enrichment, these designs can improve the efficiency of evaluating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Kaiyuan Hua , Hwanhee Hong , Xiaofei Wang

Our paper discovers a new trade-off of using regression adjustments (RAs) in causal inference under covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs). On one hand, RAs can improve the efficiency of causal estimators by incorporating information from…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-19 Liang Jiang , Liyao Li , Ke Miao , Yichong Zhang

We propose a flexible design for the identification of optimal dose combinations in dual-agent dose-finding clinical trials. The design is called AAA, standing for three adaptations: adaptive model selection, adaptive dose insertion, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-13 Jiaying Lyu , Yuan Ji , Naiqing Zhao , Daniel V. T. Catenacci

Under a generalised estimating equation analysis approach, approximate design theory is used to determine Bayesian D-optimal designs. For two examples, considering simple exchangeable and exponential decay correlation structures, we compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-16 Laura Etfer , James M. S. Wason , Michael J. Grayling

Clinical decision making is challenging because of pathological complexity, as well as large amounts of heterogeneous data generated as part of routine clinical care. In recent years, machine learning tools have been developed to aid this…

Six-dimensional movable antenna (6DMA) technology has been proposed to enhance the performance of Integrated Sensing and Communication (ISAC) systems. However, within 6DMA-related research, studies on the ISAC system based on rotatable…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Zequan Wang , Liang Yin , Zimeng Lei , Yitong Liu , Yunan Sun , Hongwen Yang

We introduce a novel two-stage parameter estimation framework designed to improve computational efficiency in settings involving complex, stochastic, or analytically intractable dynamic models. The proposed method, termed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-04 Renata Retkute , Christopher A. Gilligan

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a sub-field of statistics focused on developing methods to make efficient use of experimental resources. Any potential design is evaluated in terms of a utility function, such as the (theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Noble Kennamer , Steven Walton , Alexander Ihler

Broken adaptive ridge (BAR) is a computationally scalable surrogate to $L_0$-penalized regression, which involves iteratively performing reweighted $L_2$ penalized regressions and enjoys some appealing properties of both $L_0$ and $L_2$…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Zhihua Sun , Yi Liu , Kani Chen , Gang Li

Background: trials to identify the minimal effective treatment duration are needed in different therapeutic areas, including bacterial infections, TB and Hepatitis--C. However, standard non-inferiority designs have several limitations,…

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