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Simulation-based falsification is a practical testing method to increase confidence that the system will meet safety requirements. Because full-fidelity simulations can be computationally demanding, we investigate the use of simulators with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Zahra Shahrooei , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Ali Baheri

Several philosophical issues in connection with computer simulations rely on the assumption that results of simulations are trustworthy. Examples of these include the debate on the experimental role of computer simulations \cite{Parker2009,…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Juan M. Durán , Nico Formanek

Bayesian inference allows expressing the uncertainty of posterior belief under a probabilistic model given prior information and the likelihood of the evidence. Predominantly, the likelihood function is only implicitly established by a…

CONTEXT: There is growing interest in establishing software engineering as an evidence-based discipline. To that end, replication is often used to gain confidence in empirical findings, as opposed to reproduction where the goal is showing…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Martin Shepperd

Software testing is a mandatory activity in any serious software development process, as bugs are a reality in software development. This raises the question of quality: good tests are effective in finding bugs, but until a test case…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Daniel Lucrédio , Auri Marcelo Rizzo Vincenzi , Eduardo Santana de Almeida , Iftekhar Ahmed

Machine learning enables systems to build and update domain models based on runtime observations. In this paper, we study statistical model checking and runtime verification for systems with this ability. Two challenges arise: (1) Models…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-03-01 Lenz Belzner , Thomas Gabor

Context: Software engineering has a problem in that when we empirically evaluate competing prediction systems we obtain conflicting results. Objective: To reduce the inconsistency amongst validation study results and provide a more formal…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Martin Shepperd , Stephen G. MacDonell

A growing family of approaches to causal inference rely on Bayesian formulations of assumptions that go beyond causal graph structure. For example, Bayesian approaches have been developed for analyzing instrumental variable designs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Sam Witty , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

Reasoning about safety, security, and other dependability attributes of autonomous systems is a challenge that needs to be addressed before the adoption of such systems in day-to-day life. Formal methods is a class of methods that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Ashfaq Farooqui , Behrooz Sangchoolie

We study the stability of posterior predictive inferences to the specification of the likelihood model and perturbations of the data generating process. In modern big data analyses, useful broad structural judgements may be elicited from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Jack Jewson , Jim Q. Smith , Chris Holmes

This study demonstrates the existence of a testable condition for the identification of the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in observational data, which relies on two sets of variables: observed covariates to be controlled for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck

This work develops a measurement-driven and model-based formal verification approach, applicable to systems with partly unknown dynamics. We provide a principled method, grounded on reachability analysis and on Bayesian inference, to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-14 Sofie Haesaert , Paul M. J. Van den Hof , Alessandro Abate

We do the error analysis in reliability measures due to the assumption of independence amongst the component lifetimes. In reliability theory, we come across different n-component structures like series, parallel, and k-out-of-n systems. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Subarna Bhattacharjee , Aninda K. Nanda , Subhasree Patra

Approximate Bayesian computing is a powerful likelihood-free method that has grown increasingly popular since early applications in population genetics. However, complications arise in the theoretical justification for Bayesian inference…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-03 Suzanne Thornton , Wentao Li , Min-ge Xie

While certified robustness is widely promoted as a solution to adversarial examples in Artificial Intelligence systems, significant challenges remain before these techniques can be meaningfully deployed in real-world applications. We…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Andrew C. Cullen , Paul Montague , Sarah M. Erfani , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein

The verification of cyber-physical systems operating in a safety-critical environment requires formal system models. The validity of the verification hinges on the precision of the model: possible behavior not captured in the model can…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-24 Niklas Metzger , Sanny Schmitt , Maximilian Schwenger

The software is changing rapidly with the invention of advanced technologies and methodologies. The ability to rapidly and successfully upgrade software in response to changing business requirements is more vital than ever. For the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Gokul Yenduri , Thippa Reddy Gadekallu

Structural reliability analysis is concerned with estimation of the probability of a critical event taking place, described by $P(g(\textbf{X}) \leq 0)$ for some $n$-dimensional random variable $\textbf{X}$ and some real-valued function…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-13 Christian Agrell , Kristina Rognlien Dahl

Competing risks models for a repairable system subject to several failure modes are discussed. Under minimal repair, it is assumed that each failure mode has a power law intensity. An orthogonal reparametrization is used to obtain an…

We marshall the arguments for preferring Bayesian hypothesis testing and confidence sets to frequentist ones. We define admissible solutions to inference problems, noting that Bayesian solutions are admissible. We give seven weaker…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Roger Sewell