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We study the Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible (SIS) model on arbitrary networks. The well-established pair approximation treats neighboring pairs of nodes exactly while making a mean field approximation for the rest of the network. We…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-05 George Cantwell , Cristopher Moore

Errors of approximations of the quasi-stationary distribution (the QSD) of the logistic SIS model are evaluated numerically. The results are used to derive asymptotic approximations of the approximation errors for large populations. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-27 Ingemar Nåsell

In this paper we derive several quasi steady-state approximations (QSSAs) to the stochastic reaction network describing the Michaelis-Menten enzyme kinetics. We show how the different assumptions about chemical species abundance and…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-09 Hye-Won Kang , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Heinz Koeppl , Grzegorz A. Rempała

In this paper we investigate quasi-stationary distributions {\mu}_N of stochastic approximation algorithms with constant step size which can be viewed as random perturbations of a time-continuous dynamical system. Inspired by ecological…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-03 Bastien Marmet

We consider a standard \textit{susceptible-infected-susceptible} (SIS) model to study behaviors of steady states of epidemic spreading in small-world networks. Using analytical methods and large scale simulations, we recover the usual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Xin-Jian Xu , Zhi-Xi Wu , Yong Chen , Ying-Hai Wang

We propose two numerical schemes for approximating quasi-stationary distributions (QSD) of finite state Markov chains with absorbing states. Both schemes are described in terms of certain interacting chains in which the interaction is given…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Amarjit Budhiraja , Nicolas Fraiman , Adam Waterbury

It has recently been shown that structural conditions on the reaction network, rather than a 'fine-tuning' of system parameters, often suffice to impart 'absolute concentration robustness' on a wide class of biologically relevant,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 David F. Anderson , German Enciso , Matthew Johnston

Epidemic processes on random graphs or networks are marked by localization of activity that can trap the dynamics into a metastable state, confined to a subextensive part of the network, before visiting an absorbing configuration.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-07 Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

In this work we performed a numerical study of an epidemic model that mimics the endemic state of whooping cough in the pre-vaccine era. We considered a stochastic SIR model on dynamical networks that involve local and global contacts among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-09 Martin Dottori , Gabriel Fabricius

We present a generic epidemic model with stochastic parameters, in which the dynamics self-organize to a critical state with suppressed exponential growth. More precisely, the dynamics evolve into a quasi-steady-state, where the effective…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-16 Gil Ariel , Yoram Louzoun

This work is concerned with the analysis of a stochastic approximation algorithm for the simulation of quasi-stationary distributions on finite state spaces. This is a generalization of a method introduced by Aldous, Flannery and Palacios.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-25 Michel Benaïm , Bertrand Cloez

This paper examines the quasi-stationary behavior of stochastic rumor processes. Using the results by van Doorn and Pollett (2008), we first prove that the continuous-time Maki--Thompson model has a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Iddo Ben-Ari , Elcio Lebensztayn , Lucas Sousa Santos

Recent work has shown that different theoretical approaches to the dynamics of the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model for epidemics lead to qualitatively different estimates for the position of the epidemic threshold in networks.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-17 Silvio C. Ferreira , Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We study a class of multi-species birth-and-death processes going almost surely to extinction and admitting a unique quasi-stationary distribution (qsd for short). When rescaled by $K$ and in the limit $K\to+\infty$, the realizations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Martínez , S. Méléard

The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is one of the simplest memoryless system for describing information/epidemic spreading phenomena with competing creation and spontaneous annihilation reactions. The effect of quenched…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-10 Géza Ódor

We extend a technique of approximation of the long-term behavior of a supercritical stochastic epidemic model, using the WKB approximation and a Hamiltonian phase space, to the subcritical case. The limiting behavior of the model and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-04 Lee Worden , Ira B. Schwartz , Simone Bianco , Sarah F. Ackley , Thomas M. Lietman , Travis C. Porco

A major hurdle in the simulation of the steady state of epidemic processes is that the system will unavoidably visit an absorbing, disease-free state at sufficiently long times due to the finite size of the networks where epidemics evolves.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-19 Renan S. Sander , Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

We study the diffusion of epidemics on networks that are partitioned into local communities. The gross structure of hierarchical networks of this kind can be described by a quotient graph. The rationale of this approach is that individuals…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano , Delio Mugnolo , Francesco De Pellegrini

Disease awareness in epidemiology can be modelled with adaptive contact networks, where the interplay of disease dynamics and network alteration often adds new phases to the standard models (Gross et al. 2006, Shaw et al. 2008) and, in…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-12-06 Stefan Wieland , Tomas Aquino , Andrea Parisi , Ana Nunes

We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Ronaldo Vidigal
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