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Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

This paper considers a stochastic SIR (susceptible$\to$infective$\to$removed) epidemic model in which individuals may make infectious contacts in two ways, both within `households' (which for ease of exposition are assumed to have equal…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Frank Ball , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in adaptive networks of arbitrary topology. We focus our study on the adaptive susceptible-infected-susceptible (ASIS) model, where healthy individuals are allowed to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-29 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

In \cite{BCP}, the authors built and studied an algorithm based on the (self)-interaction of a dynamics with its occupation measure to approximate Quasi-Stationary Distributions (QSD) of general Markov chains conditioned to stay in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Mohamed Alfaki Aboubacrine Assadeck , Fabien Panloup

In this paper, we consider a simple stochastic epidemic model on large regular random graphs and the stochastic process that corresponds to this dynamics in the standard pair approximation. Using the fact that the nodes of a pair are…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-28 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

The epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) dynamics on random networks having a power law degree distribution with exponent $\gamma>3$ has been investigated using different mean-field approaches, which predict…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Angélica S. Mata , Silvio C. Ferreira

Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

Quasi-stationary distributions, as discussed by Darroch & Seneta (1965), have been used in biology to describe the steady state behaviour of population models which, while eventually certain to become extinct, nevertheless maintain an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-14 A. D. Barbour , P. K. Pollett

This paper considers the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with an underlying network structure among subpopulations and focuses on the effect of social distancing to regulate the epidemic level. We demonstrate that if…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-09 Yuan Wang , Sebin Gracy , Hideaki Ishii , Karl Henrik Johansson

In this work we review a class of deterministic nonlinear models for the propagation of infectious diseases over contact networks with strongly-connected topologies. We consider network models for susceptible-infected (SI),…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-01-13 Wenjun Mei , Shadi Mohagheghi , Sandro Zampieri , Francesco Bullo

Stochastic models for biochemical reaction networks are widely used to explore their complex dynamics but face significant challenges, including difficulties in determining rate constants and high computational costs. To address these…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-04 Yun Min Song , Kangmin Lee , Jae Kyoung Kim

The quasi steady-state (QSS) model tries to reach a good compromise between accuracy and efficiency in long-term stability analysis. However, the QSS model is unable to provide correct approximations and stability assessment for the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-05-07 Xiaozhe Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang

In this paper we analyze continuous-time SIS epidemics subject to arrivals and departures of agents, by using an approximated process based on replacements. In defining the SIS dynamics in an open network, we consider a stochastic setting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Renato Vizuete , Paolo Frasca , Elena Panteley

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

Networked epidemic models have been widely adopted to describe propagation phenomena. The endemic equilibrium of these models is of great significance in the field of viral marketing, innovation dissemination, and information diffusion.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Fangzhou Liu , Shaoxuan Cui , Xianwei Li , Martin Buss

Studies about epidemic modelling have been conducted since before 19th century. Both deterministic and stochastiic model were used to capture the dynamic of infection in the population. The purpose of this project is to investigate the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-06 Kurnia Susvitasari

An adaptive network model using SIS epidemic propagation with link-type dependent link activation and deletion is considered. Bifurcation analysis of the pairwise ODE approximation and the network-based stochastic simulation is carried out,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 András Szabó-Solticzky , Luc Berthouze , Istvan Z. Kiss , Péter L. Simon

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the mechanism for the interplay of deterministic and stochastic models for contagious diseases. Deterministic models for contagious diseases are prone to predict global stability. Small natural birth…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-17 Torsten Lindström

Stochastic epidemic models on networks are inherently high-dimensional and the resulting exact models are intractable numerically even for modest network sizes. Mean-field models provide an alternative but can only capture average…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-03 Francesco Di Lauro , Jean-Charles Croix , Luc Berthouze , István Kiss

We develop a new perturbation method for studying quasi-neutral competition in a broad class of stochastic competition models, and apply it to the analysis of fixation of competing strains in two epidemic models. The first model is a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-06 Oleg Kogan , Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , David Schneider , Christopher R. Myers