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Evaluating expectations on an Ising model (or Boltzmann machine) is essential for various applications, including statistical machine learning. However, in general, the evaluation is computationally difficult because it involves intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-19 Muneki Yasuda , Kaiji Sekimoto

Agent-Based Models (ABMs) are gaining great popularity in economics and social science because of their strong flexibility to describe the realistic and heterogeneous decisions and interaction rules between individual agents. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Junyao Zhang , Jinglai Li , Junqi Tang

In many scientific applications, the target probability distribution cannot be evaluated in closed form or sampled from directly. Instead, it can often be decomposed into multiple components, some of which are accessible only through…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Roxana Darvishi , David C. Stenning , Ted von Hippel , Owen G. Ward

Importance sampling (IS) is a Monte Carlo methodology that allows for approximation of a target distribution using weighted samples generated from another proposal distribution. Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) implements an iterative…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-04 Yousef El-Laham , Victor Elvira , Monica F. Bugallo

Annealed importance sampling is a means to assign equilibrium weights to a nonequilibrium sample that was generated by a simulated annealing protocol. The weights may then be used to calculate equilibrium averages, and also serve as an…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Edward Lyman , Daniel M. Zuckerman

Importance Sampling (IS) is a method for approximating expectations under a target distribution using independent samples from a proposal distribution and the associated importance weights. In many applications, the target distribution is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-14 Gabriel Cardoso , Sergey Samsonov , Achille Thin , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

We propose Annealed Langevin Monte Carlo for Flow ODE Sampling (ALMC-ODE), a method for generating samples from unnormalized target distributions, with a particular emphasis on multimodal densities that are challenging for standard Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Hanwen Huang

This paper presents normalizing flows for incremental smoothing and mapping (NF-iSAM), a novel algorithm for inferring the full posterior distribution in SLAM problems with nonlinear measurement models and non-Gaussian factors. NF-iSAM…

We study the consequences of mode-collapse of normalizing flows in the context of lattice field theory. Normalizing flows allow for independent sampling. For this reason, it is hoped that they can avoid the tunneling problem of local-update…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-11-06 Kim A. Nicoli , Christopher J. Anders , Tobias Hartung , Karl Jansen , Pan Kessel , Shinichi Nakajima

Modern Bayesian inference involves a mixture of computational techniques for estimating, validating, and drawing conclusions from probabilistic models as part of principled workflows for data analysis. Typical problems in Bayesian workflows…

Current state-of-the-art anomaly detection (AD) methods exploit the powerful representations yielded by large-scale ImageNet training. However, catastrophic forgetting prevents the successful fine-tuning of pre-trained representations on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Oliver Rippel , Arnav Chavan , Chucai Lei , Dorit Merhof

Bootstrap is a principled and powerful frequentist statistical tool for uncertainty quantification. Unfortunately, standard bootstrap methods are computationally intensive due to the need of drawing a large i.i.d. bootstrap sample to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Mao Ye , Qiang Liu

Normalizing Flows are a promising new class of algorithms for unsupervised learning based on maximum likelihood optimization with change of variables. They offer to learn a factorized component representation for complex nonlinear data and,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Reuben Feinman , Nikhil Parthasarathy

We consider the active learning problem where the goal is to learn an unknown function with low prediction error under an unknown Boltzmann distribution induced by the function itself. This self-induced weighting arises naturally in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jixiang Qing , Henry Moss , Matthias Sachs

We propose Amortized Posterior Sampling (APS), a novel variational inference approach for efficient posterior sampling in inverse problems. Our method trains a conditional flow model to minimize the divergence between the variational…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Abbas Mammadov , Hyungjin Chung , Jong Chul Ye

Normalizing flows model a complex target distribution in terms of a bijective transform operating on a simple base distribution. As such, they enable tractable computation of a number of important statistical quantities, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Chandramouli Shama Sastry , Andreas Lehrmann , Marcus Brubaker , Alexander Radovic

Scalable sampling of molecular states in thermodynamic equilibrium is a long-standing challenge in statistical physics. Boltzmann generators tackle this problem by pairing normalizing flows with importance sampling to obtain uncorrelated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Charlie B. Tan , Avishek Joey Bose , Chen Lin , Leon Klein , Michael M. Bronstein , Alexander Tong

The parametric bootstrap can be used for the efficient computation of Bayes posterior distributions. Importance sampling formulas take on an easy form relating to the deviance in exponential families and are particularly simple starting…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-15 Bradley Efron

This note introduces a method for sampling Ising models with mixed boundary conditions. As an application of annealed importance sampling and the Swendsen-Wang algorithm, the method adopts a sequence of intermediate distributions that keeps…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-19 Lexing Ying

Active Learning (AL) for regression has been systematically under-researched due to the increased difficulty of measuring uncertainty in regression models. Since normalizing flows offer a full predictive distribution instead of a point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Thorben Werner , Lars Schmidt-Thieme
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