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In most machine learning applications, classification accuracy is not the primary metric of interest. Binary classifiers which face class imbalance are often evaluated by the $F_\beta$ score, area under the precision-recall curve, Precision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Alan Mackey , Xiyang Luo , Elad Eban

For speech classification tasks, deep learning models often achieve high accuracy but exhibit shortcomings in calibration, manifesting as classifiers exhibiting overconfidence. The significance of calibration lies in its critical role in…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-27 Yaqian Hao , Chenguang Hu , Yingying Gao , Shilei Zhang , Junlan Feng

In the classical setting of self-selection, the goal is to learn $k$ models, simultaneously from observations $(x^{(i)}, y^{(i)})$ where $y^{(i)}$ is the output of one of $k$ underlying models on input $x^{(i)}$. In contrast to mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Constantinos Daskalakis , Andrew Ilyas , Manolis Zampetakis

How can one meaningfully make a measurement, if the meter does not conform to any standard and its scale expands or shrinks depending on what is measured? In the present work it is argued that current evaluation practices for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 K. Dyrland , A. S. Lundervold , P. G. L. Porta Mana

Accurate quantification of uncertainty is crucial for real-world applications of machine learning. However, modern deep neural networks still produce unreliable predictive uncertainty, often yielding over-confident predictions. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Peng Cui , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

In this paper, we consider the global comparison problem of Gini means with fixed number of variables on a subinterval $I$ of $\mathbb{R}_+$, i.e., the following inequality \begin{align}\tag{$\star$}\label{ggcabs}…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-08-15 Richárd Grünwald , Zsolt Páles

Variable selection, also known as feature selection in machine learning, plays an important role in modeling high dimensional data and is key to data-driven scientific discoveries. We consider here the problem of detecting influential…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-24 Bo Jiang , Jun S. Liu

Generalized linear models are often misspecified due to overdispersion, heteroscedasticity and ignored nuisance variables. Existing quasi-likelihood methods for testing in misspecified models often do not provide satisfactory type-I error…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-13 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle J Goeman , Livio Finos

Probabilistic predictions can be evaluated through comparisons with observed label frequencies, that is, through the lens of calibration. Recent scholarship on algorithmic fairness has started to look at a growing variety of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Benedikt Höltgen , Robert C Williamson

As artificial intelligence systems move toward clinical deployment, ensuring reliable prediction behavior is fundamental for safety-critical decision-making tasks. One proposed safeguard is selective prediction, where models can defer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 L. Julián Lechuga López , Farah E. Shamout , Tim G. J. Rudner

Model calibration is essential for ensuring that the predictions of deep neural networks accurately reflect true probabilities in real-world classification tasks. However, deep networks often produce over-confident or under-confident…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Jinxu Lin , Linwei Tao , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

Sensor calibration is one of the fundamental challenges in large-scale IoT networks. In this article, we address the challenge of reference-free calibration of a densely deployed sensor network. Conventionally, to calibrate an in-place…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-14 Raj Thilak Rajan , Rob-van Schaijk , Anup Das , Jac Romme , Frank Pasveer

Machine learning classifiers often produce probabilistic predictions that are critical for accurate and interpretable decision-making in various domains. The quality of these predictions is generally evaluated with proper losses, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Eugène Berta , David Holzmüller , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

We propose a new Gini correlation to measure dependence between a categorical and numerical variables. Analogous to Pearson $R^2$ in ANOVA model, the Gini correlation is interpreted as the ratio of the between-group variation and the total…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-10 Xin Dang , Dao Nguyen , Yixin Chen , Junying Zhang

Today, AI is being increasingly used to help human experts make decisions in high-stakes scenarios. In these scenarios, full automation is often undesirable, not only due to the significance of the outcome, but also because human experts…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Yunfeng Zhang , Q. Vera Liao , Rachel K. E. Bellamy

Machine learning is increasingly being used to generate prediction models for use in a number of real-world settings, from credit risk assessment to clinical decision support. Recent discussions have highlighted potential problems in the…

Recent works have shown that deep neural networks can achieve super-human performance in a wide range of image classification tasks in the medical imaging domain. However, these works have primarily focused on classification accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Gongbo Liang , Yu Zhang , Xiaoqin Wang , Nathan Jacobs

Datasets typically contain inaccuracies due to human error and societal biases, and these inaccuracies can affect the outcomes of models trained on such datasets. We present a technique for certifying whether linear regression models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Anna P. Meyer , Aws Albarghouthi , Loris D'Antoni

Insurance pricing systems should fulfill the auto-calibration property to ensure that there is no systematic cross-financing between different price cohorts. Often, regression models are not auto-calibrated. We propose to apply isotonic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-10 Mario V. Wüthrich , Johanna Ziegel

We study the problem of semantic segmentation calibration. Lots of solutions have been proposed to approach model miscalibration of confidence in image classification. However, to date, confidence calibration research on semantic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Dongdong Wang , Boqing Gong , Liqiang Wang
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