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Distance learning universities usually afford their students the flexibility to advance their studies at their own pace. This can lead to a considerable fluctuation of student populations within a program's courses, possibly affecting the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-12 T. Hadzilacos , D. Kalles , D. Koumanakos , V. Mitsionis

In this paper, we study the classical problem of estimating the proportion of a finite population. First, we consider a fixed sample size method and derive an explicit sample size formula which ensures a mixed criterion of absolute and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-03 Xinjia Chen

1. Citizen and community-science (CS) datasets have great potential for estimating interannual patterns of population change given the large volumes of data collected globally every year. Yet, the flexible protocols that enable many CS…

The problem of estimating the growth rate of a birth and death processes based on the coalescence times of a sample of $n$ individuals has been considered by several authors (\cite{stadler2009incomplete, williams2022life,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Carola Sophia Heinzel , Jason Schweinsberg

We study the population profile in a simple discrete time model of population dynamics. Our model, which is closely related to certain ``bit-string'' models of evolution, incorporates competition for resources via a population dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Martin Howard , R. K. P. Zia

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

The application of Leslie matrices in demographic research is considered in this paper. The Leslie matrix is first proposed in the 1940s and gained popularity in the mid-1960s, becoming fundamental tool for predicting population dynamics.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-24 O. A. Malafeyev , T. R. Nabiev , N. D. Redinskikh

Capture-recapture methods aim to estimate the size of a closed population on the basis of multiple incomplete enumerations of individuals. In many applications, the individual probability of being recorded is heterogeneous in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-08 James E. Johndrow , Kristian Lum , Daniel Manrique-Vallier

In this paper, we introduce a general numerical method to approximate the reproduction numbers of a large class of multi-group, age-structured, population models with a finite age span. To provide complete flexibility in the definition of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-21 Simone De Reggi , Francesca Scarabel , Rossana Vermiglio

Mortality patterns at a subnational level or across subpopulations are often used to examine the health of a population. In small populations, however, death counts are erratic. To deal with this problem, demographers have proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Esther Denecke , Pavel Grigoriev , Roland Rau

In this paper we study some mathematical models describing evolution of population density and spread of epidemics in population systems in which spatial movement of individuals depends only on the departure and arrival locations and does…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Shangbin Cui , Meng Bai

Some populations, such as red blood cells (RBCs), exhibit a pattern of population decline that is closer to linear rather than exponential, which has proven to be unexpectedly challenging to describe with a single simple mathematical model.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-14 Irina Kareva , Georgy Karev

Modelling, analysing and inferring triggering mechanisms in population reproduction is fundamental in many biological applications. It is also an active and growing research domain in mathematical biology. In this chapter, we review the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Marie Doumic , Marc Hoffmann

Crowd movement guidance has been a fascinating problem in various fields, such as easing traffic congestion in unusual events and evacuating people from an emergency-affected area. To grab the reins of crowds, there has been considerable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Koh Takeuchi , Ryo Nishida , Hisashi Kashima , Masaki Onishi

Estimates of population size for hidden and hard-to-reach individuals are of particular interest to health officials when health problems are concentrated in such populations. Efforts to derive these estimates are often frustrated by a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-01 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Kirk Dombrowski

The national census is an essential data source to support decision-making in many areas of public interest. However, this data may become outdated during the intercensal period, which can stretch up to several decades. We developed a…

In this paper we develop a likelihood-free approach for population calibration, which involves finding distributions of model parameters when fed through the model produces a set of outputs that matches available population data. Unlike…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-07 Christopher Drovandi , Brodie Lawson , Adrianne L Jenner , Alexander P Browning

Knowledge of population distribution is critical for building infrastructure, distributing resources, and monitoring the progress of sustainable development goals. Although censuses can provide this information, they are typically conducted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Isaac Neal , Sohan Seth , Gary Watmough , Mamadou S. Diallo

This paper studies the bounded confidence model on growing fully-mixed populations. In this model, in addition to the usual opinion clusters, significant secondary clusters of smaller size appear systematically, while those secondary…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-20 Yérali Gandica , Guillaume Deffuant

In low and middle income countries, household surveys are a valuable source of information for a range of health and demographic indicators. Increasingly, subnational estimates are required for targeting interventions and evaluating…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-21 Katie Wilson , Jon Wakefield