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The success of modern deep learning is attributed to two key elements: huge amounts of training data and large model sizes. Where a vast amount of data allows the model to learn more features, the large model architecture boosts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Muhammad Asif Khan , Ridha Hamila , Hamid Menouar

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

This paper presents a method for time series forecasting with deep learning and its assessment on two datasets. The method starts with data preparation, followed by model training and evaluation. The final step is a visual inspection.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Gissel Velarde

Deep learning is a topic of considerable current interest. The availability of massive data collections and powerful software resources has led to an impressive amount of results in many application areas that reveal essential but hidden…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Aleksandr Aravkin , Daniel Gedon , Lennart Ljung , Antônio H. Ribeiro , Thomas B. Schön

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Statistical methods such as the Box-Jenkins method for time-series forecasting have been prominent since their development in 1970. Many researchers rely on such models as they can be efficiently estimated and also provide interpretability.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Indrajeet Y. Javeri , Mohammadhossein Toutiaee , Ismailcem B. Arpinar , Tom W. Miller , John A. Miller

Financial forecasting is an example of a signal processing problem which is challenging due to Small sample sizes, high noise, non-stationarity, and non-linearity,but fast forecasting of stock market price is very important for strategic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Arka Ghosh

Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has always been a challenging task for the researchers. While the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) believe that it is impossible to design any predictive framework that can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-03 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Data-driven methods -- such as machine learning and time series forecasting -- are widely used for sales forecasting in the food retail domain. However, for newly introduced products insufficient training data is available to train accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Tristan Karb , Niklas Kühl , Robin Hirt , Varvara Glivici-Cotruta

Our work focuses on deep learning (DL) portfolio optimization, tackling challenges in long-only, multi-asset strategies across market cycles. We propose training models with limited regime data using pre-training techniques and leveraging…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-14 Brandon Luo , Jim Skufca

For both investors and policymakers, forecasting the stock market is essential as it serves as an indicator of economic well-being. To this end, we harness the power of social media data, a rich source of public sentiment, to enhance the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu , Taoran Ji

Stock selection, which aims to predict stock prices and identify the most profitable ones, is a crucial task in finance. While existing methods primarily focus on developing model structures and building graphs for improved selection,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Mengyu Wang , Tiejun Ma , Shay B. Cohen

In modern deep learning, the models are learned by applying gradient updates using an optimizer, which transforms the updates based on various statistics. Optimizers are often hand-designed and tuning their hyperparameters is a big part of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Gus Kristiansen , Mark Sandler , Andrey Zhmoginov , Nolan Miller , Anirudh Goyal , Jihwan Lee , Max Vladymyrov

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Deep learning models face persistent challenges in training, particularly due to internal covariate shift and label shift. While single-mode normalization methods like Batch Normalization partially address these issues, they are constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Bilal Faye , Hanane Azzag , Mustapha Lebbah , Djamel Bouchaffra

We report successful results from using deep learning neural networks (DLNNs) to learn, purely by observation, the behavior of profitable traders in an electronic market closely modelled on the limit-order-book (LOB) market mechanisms that…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Arthur le Calvez , Dave Cliff

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

Deep energy-based models are powerful, but pose challenges for learning and inference (Belanger and McCallum, 2016). Tu and Gimpel (2018) developed an efficient framework for energy-based models by training "inference networks" to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Lifu Tu , Richard Yuanzhe Pang , Kevin Gimpel

Recent advances in Deep Learning have greatly improved performance on various tasks such as object detection, image segmentation, sentiment analysis. The focus of most research directions up until very recently has been on beating…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Cristian Simionescu