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Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

The prediction of financial markets is a challenging yet important task. In modern electronically-driven markets, traditional time-series econometric methods often appear incapable of capturing the true complexity of the multi-level…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Martin Magris , Mostafa Shabani , Alexandros Iosifidis

Financial markets have a vital role in the development of modern society. They allow the deployment of economic resources. Changes in stock prices reflect changes in the market. In this study, we focus on predicting stock prices by deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Jialin Liu , Fei Chao , Yu-Chen Lin , Chih-Min Lin

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

Forecasting the trend of stock prices is an enduring topic at the intersection of finance and computer science. Periodical updates to forecasters have proven effective in handling concept drifts arising from non-stationary markets. However,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Shiluo Huang , Zheng Liu , Ye Deng , Qing Li

Irregular sampling occurs in many time series modeling applications where it presents a significant challenge to standard deep learning models. This work is motivated by the analysis of physiological time series data in electronic health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

Deep Neural Networks are well known for efficiently fitting training data, yet experiencing poor generalization capabilities whenever some kind of bias dominates over the actual task labels, resulting in models learning "shortcuts". In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Pietro Morerio , Ruggero Ragonesi , Vittorio Murino

Most uses of machine learning today involve training a model from scratch for a particular task, or sometimes starting with a model pretrained on a related task and then fine-tuning on a downstream task. Both approaches offer limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Andrea Gesmundo , Jeff Dean

This study enhances a Deep Q-Network (DQN) trading model by incorporating advanced techniques like Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, and Double DQN. Extensive tests on assets like BTC/USD and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Gang Hu

We use deep neural networks to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that takes advantage of the vast amount of conditioning information, while keeping a fully flexible form and accounting for time-variation. The key…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-12 Luyang Chen , Markus Pelger , Jason Zhu

Deep-learning techniques have been successfully used for time-series forecasting and have often shown superior performance on many standard benchmark datasets as compared to traditional techniques. Here we present a comprehensive and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Vedant Shah , Gautam Shroff

Company disclosures greatly aid in the process of financial decision-making; therefore, they are consulted by financial investors and automated traders before exercising ownership in stocks. While humans are usually able to correctly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-10-12 Mathias Kraus , Stefan Feuerriegel

We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often time-varying. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-25 Steven Y. K. Wong , Jennifer Chan , Lamiae Azizi , Richard Y. D. Xu

We explore the use of deep learning hierarchical models for problems in financial prediction and classification. Financial prediction problems -- such as those presented in designing and pricing securities, constructing portfolios, and risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-16 J. B. Heaton , N. G. Polson , J. H. Witte

Literature highlighted that financial time series data pose significant challenges for accurate stock price prediction, because these data are characterized by noise and susceptibility to news; traditional statistical methodologies made…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-27 V. Lanzetta

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

Deep learning models are yielding increasingly better performances thanks to multiple factors. To be successful, model may have large number of parameters or complex architectures and be trained on large dataset. This leads to large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Jean-Roch Vlimant , Junqi Yin

Adaptive inference is a promising technique to improve the computational efficiency of deep models at test time. In contrast to static models which use the same computation graph for all instances, adaptive networks can dynamically adjust…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Hao Li , Hong Zhang , Xiaojuan Qi , Ruigang Yang , Gao Huang

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan