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This paper introduces a novel measure to quantify the directional dependence of extreme events between two variables. The proposed approach is designed to capture asymmetric tail dependence by studying conditional tail expectations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Matthieu Garcin , Maxime L. D. Nicolas

In the multivariate setting, estimates of extremal risk measures are important in many contexts, such as environmental planning and structural engineering. In this paper, we propose new estimation methods for extremal bivariate return…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-11 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth , E. F. Eastoe

Tropical algebraic geometry is the geometry of the tropical semiring $(\mathbb{R},\min,+)$. Its objects are polyhedral cell complexes which behave like complex algebraic varieties. We give an introduction to this theory, with an emphasis on…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jürgen Richter-Gebert , Bernd Sturmfels , Thorsten Theobald

We examine the incidence geometry of lines in the tropical plane. We prove tropical analogs of the Sylvester-Gallai and Motzkin-Rabin theorems in classical incidence geometry. This study leads naturally to a discussion of the realizability…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Milo Brandt , Michelle Jones , Catherine Lee , Dhruv Ranganathan

Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones often causes major destruction to human civilization due to short response time. It is an important yet challenging task to accurately predict this kind of extreme weather event in advance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Ching-Yuan Bai , Buo-Fu Chen , Hsuan-Tien Lin

Neural networks allow us to model complex relationships between variables. We show how to efficiently find extrema of a trained neural network in regression problems. Finding the extremizing input of an approximated model is formulated as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Zakaria Patel , Markus Rummel

Towards building tropical analogues of adic spaces, we study certain spaces of prime congruences as a topological semiring replacement for the space of continuous valuations on a topological ring. This requires building the theory of…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Netanel Friedenberg , Kalina Mincheva

The growth of tropical geometry has generated significant interest in the tropical semiring in the past decade. However, there are other semirings in tropical algebra that provide more information, such as the symmetrized (max, +),…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Sara Kalisnik Verovsek , Davorin Lesnik

Prediction of quantiles at extreme tails is of interest in numerous applications. Extreme value modelling provides various competing predictors for this point prediction problem. A common method of assessment of a set of competing…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-30 Axel Gandy , Kaushik Jana , Almut E. D. Veraart

We describe a genetic algorithm to find extreme examples in the arithmetic of dynamical systems. The algorithm is applied to four problems: small (non-zero) canonical heights, many rational preperiodic points, long rational cycles, and long…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Benjamin Hutz

Extremal Graph Theory is a very deep and wide area of modern combinatorics. It is very fast developing, and in this long but relatively short survey we select some of those results which either we feel very important in this field or which…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Miklós Simonovits , Endre Szemerédi

We study the notion of singular tropical hypersurfaces of any dimension. We characterize the singular points in terms of tropical Euler derivatives and we give an algorithm to compute all singular points. We also describe non-transversal…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Alicia Dickenstein , Luis F. Tabera

We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

We present an algorithm for finding a basis of the supereigenvector space in max-plus algebra. The main ideas of the new algorithm are: finding better generators by exploiting the main operation of the tropical double description method and…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Hui-li Wang , Sergei Sergeev

Higher educational institutions constantly look for ways to meet students' needs and support them through graduation. Recent work in the field of learning analytics have developed methods for grade prediction and course recommendations.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-12 Prableen Kaur , Agoritsa Polyzou , George Karypis

The paper studies intrinsic geometry in the tropical plane. Tropical structure in the real affine $n$-space is determined by the integer tangent vectors. Tropical isomorphisms are affine transformations preserving the integer lattice of the…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2024-01-10 Grigory Mikhalkin , Mikhail Shkolnikov

A general method to derive the master equations for extremal models is established. These systems are shown to develop a peculiar kind of correlations between elements related to the characterization of extremal dynamics as an information…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Daniele Balboni

Extreme value theory (EVT) is a statistical tool for analysis of extreme events. It has a strong theoretical background, however, we need to choose hyper-parameters to apply EVT. In recent studies of machine learning, techniques of choosing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Chikara Nakamura

We develop a novel framework to construct and analyze finite valued, multidimensional mechanisms using tropical convex geometry. We geometrically characterize incentive compatibility using cells in the tropical convex hull of the type set.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Robert Alexander Crowell , Ngoc Mai Tran

The purpose of this survey is to summarize known results about tropical hypersurfaces and the Cayley Trick from polyhedral geometry. This allows for a systematic study of arrangements of tropical hypersurfaces and, in particular,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Michael Joswig
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