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The extinction time of an isolated population can be exponentially reduced by a periodic modulation of its environment. We investigate this effect using, as an example, a stochastic branching-annihilation process with a time-dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-06 Michael Assaf , Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

We study a two-dimensional process $(X, Y)$ arising as the unique nonnegative solution to a pair of stochastic differential equations driven by independent Brownian motions and compensated spectrally positive L\'evy random measures. Both…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-19 Yan-Xia Ren , Jie Xiong , Xu Yang , Xiaowen Zhou

The sensitivity of trajectories over finite time intervals t to perturbations of the initial conditions can be associated with a finite-time Lyapunov exponent lambda, obtained from the elements M_{ij} of the stability matrix M. For globally…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 H. Schomerus , M. Titov

The role of the selection pressure and mutation amplitude on the behavior of a single-species population evolving on a two-dimensional lattice, in a periodically changing environment, is studied both analytically and numerically. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Ioana Bena , Michel Droz , Janusz Szwabinski , Andrzej Pekalski

Methods for predicting the probability and timing of a species' extinction are typically based on a combination of theoretical models and empirical data, and focus on single species population dynamics. Of course, species also interact with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-11 Gian Marco Palamara , Gustav W. Delius , Matthew J. Smith , Owen L. Petchey

We study the long-time dynamics in non-Markovian single-population stochastic models, where one or more reactions are modelled as a stochastic process with a fat-tailed non-exponential distribution of waiting times, mimicking long-term…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-05 Ohad Vilk , Michael Assaf

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-23 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

This paper deals with extinction of an isolated population caused by intrinsic noise. We model the population dynamics in a "refuge" as a Markov process which involves births and deaths on discrete lattice sites and random migrations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

This work, Part II, together with its companion Part I develops a new framework for stochastic functional Kolmogorov equations, which are nonlinear stochastic differential equations depending on the current as well as the past states.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Dang H. Nguyen , Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

Traditionally, frequency dependent evolutionary dynamics is described by deterministic replicator dynamics assuming implicitly infinite population sizes. Only recently have stochastic processes been introduced to study evolutionary dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

Biodiversity and extinction are central issues in evolution. Dynamical balance among different species in ecosystems is often described by deterministic replicator equations with moderate success. However, fluctuations are inevitable,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-25 Tsung-Cheng Lu , Yi-Ko Chen , Hsiu-Hau Lin , Chun-Chung-Chen

Species extinction is a core process that affects the diversity of life on Earth. Competition between species in a population is considered by ecological niche-based theories as a key factor leading to different severity of species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , John T. Bruun

We look at the interaction of dispersal and environmental stochasticity in $n$-patch models. We are able to prove persistence and extinction results even in the setting when the dispersal rates are stochastic. As applications we look at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-26 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

We study the influence of stochastic effects due to finite population size in the evolutionary dynamics of populations interacting in the multi-person Prisoner's Dilemma game. This paper is an extension of the investigation presented in a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Anders Eriksson , Kristian Lindgren

We are concerned with a nonlinear nonautonomous model represented by an equation describing the dynamics of an age-structured population diffusing in a space habitat $O,$ governed by local Lipschitz vital factors and by a stochastic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Gabriela Marinoschi

A model of the dynamics of natural rotifer populations is described as a discrete nonlinear map depending on three parameters, which reflect characteristics of the population and environment. Model dynamics and their change by variation of…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Faina S. Berezovskaya , Georgy P. Karev , Terry W. Snell

We study inhomogeneous host-pathogen dynamics to model the global amphibian population extinction in a lake basin system. The lake basin system is modeled as quenched disorder. In this model we show that once the pathogen arrives at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-03 Trilochan Bagarti

We study the non-equilibrium phase transition between survival and extinction of spatially extended biological populations using an agent-based model. We especially focus on the effects of global temporal fluctuations of the environmental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Hatem Barghathi , Skye Tackkett , Thomas Vojta

Discrete time, spatially extended models play an important role in ecology, modelling population dynamics of species ranging from micro-organisms to birds. An important question is how 'bottom up', individual-based models can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-20 Linnéa Gyllingberg , David J. T. Sumpter , Åke Brännström

A simulation model of a population having internal (genetic) structure is presented. The population is subject to selection pressure coming from the environment which is the same in the whole system but changes in time. Reproduction has a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-08-31 Andrzej Pekalski , Marcel Ausloos