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Sexually reproducing populations with small number of individuals may go extinct by stochastic fluctuations in sex determination, causing all their members to become male or female in a generation. In this work we calculate the time to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-24 David M. Schneider , Eduardo do Carmo , Yaneer Bar-Yam , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

Extinction of an epidemic or a species is a rare event that occurs due to a large, rare stochastic fluctuation. Although the extinction process is dynamically unstable, it follows an optimal path that maximizes the probability of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2010-03-25 Eric Forgoston , Simone Bianco , Leah B. Shaw , Ira B. Schwartz

We consider an individual-based spatially structured population for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population. The individuals move randomly on a bounded continuous space according to a reflected brownian motion. The dynamics involves…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Helene Leman

We consider an epidemic SIS model described by a multitype birth-and-death process in a randomly switched environment. That is, the infection and cure rates of the process depend on the state of a finite Markov jump process (the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Adrien Prodhomme , Édouard Strickler

Species populations often modify their environment as they grow. When environmental feedback operates more slowly than population growth, the system can undergo boom-bust dynamics, where the population overshoots its carrying capacity and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Pablo Moreno-Spiegelberg , Javier Aguilar

In recent years non-demographic variability has been shown to greatly affect dynamics of stochastic populations. For example, non-demographic noise in the form of a bursty reproduction process with an a-priori unknown burst size, or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-13 Ohad Vilk , Michael Assaf

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

We study an ecology-inspired model for a population of bounded size, whose dynamics is governed by random birth, death, and immigration events. Stochastic fluctuations in the number of individuals give rise to a succession of alternating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Lucas M. Brugevin , Damián H. Zanette

We study the evolutionary dynamics of a phenotypically structured population in a changing environment , where the environmental conditions vary with a linear trend but in an oscillatory manner. Such phenomena can be described by parabolic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Susely Figueroa Iglesias , Sepideh Mirrahimi

Populations are often subject to catastrophes that cause mass removal of individuals. Many stochastic growth models have been considered to explain such dynamics. Among the results reported, it has been considered whether dispersion…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 F. Duque , V. V. Junior , F. P. Machado , A. Roldan-Correa

Stochasticity can play an important role in the dynamics of biologically relevant populations. These span a broad range of scales: from intra-cellular populations of molecules to population of cells and then to groups of plants, animals and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

Understanding the mechanisms governing population extinctions is of key importance to many problems in ecology and evolution. Stochastic factors are known to play a central role in extinction, but the interactions between a population's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-22 Christopher Spalding , Charles R. Doering , Glenn R. Flierl

The Verhulst model is probably the best known macroscopic rate equation in population ecology. It depends on two parameters, the intrinsic growth rate and the carrying capacity. These parameters can be estimated for different populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Vicenç Méndez , Michael Assaf , Daniel Campos , Werner Horsthemke

Stochastic models of diffusion with excluded-volume effects are used to model many biological and physical systems at a discrete level. The average properties of the population may be described by a continuum model based on partial…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2012-12-20 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman

Spatial metapopulation models are fundamental to theoretical ecology, enabling to study how landscape structure influences global species dynamics. Traditional models, including recent generalizations, often rely on the deterministic limit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-24 Alice Doimo , Giorgio Nicoletti , Davide Bernardi , Prajwal Padmanabha

Classical ecological theory predicts that environmental stochasticity increases extinction risk by reducing the average per-capita growth rate of populations. To understand the interactive effects of environmental stochasticity, spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Steven N. Evans , Peter L. Ralph , Sebastian J. Schreiber , Arnab Sen

Individuals within any species exhibit differences in size, developmental state, or spatial location. These differences coupled with environmental fluctuations in demographic rates can have subtle effects on population persistence and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-16 Gregory Roth , Sebastian J. Schreiber

A randomly interacting N-species Lotka-Volterra system in the presence of a Gaussian multiplicative noise is analyzed. The investigation is focused on the role of this external noise into the statistical properties of the extinction times…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-10-07 Alessandro Fiasconaro , Bernardo Spagnolo

We consider a stochastic version of the basic predator-prey differential equation model. The model, which contains a parameter \omega which represents the number of individuals for one unit of prey -- If x denotes the quantity of prey in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-11-29 Fabien Campillo , Claude Lobry

I study a population model in which the reproduction rate lambda is inherited with mutation, favoring fast reproducers in the short term, but conflicting with a process that eliminates agglomerations of individuals. The model is a variant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-02 Ronald Dickman