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Assessing model generalization under distribution shift is essential for real-world deployment, particularly when labeled test data is unavailable. This paper presents a unified and practical framework for unsupervised model evaluation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Weijian Deng , Weijie Tu , Ibrahim Radwan , Mohammad Abu Alsheikh , Stephen Gould , Liang Zheng

A common problem in numerous research areas, particularly in clinical trials, is to test whether the effect of an explanatory variable on an outcome variable is equivalent across different groups. In practice, these tests are frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-03 Niklas Hagemann , Kathrin Möllenhoff

Prediction and causal explanation are fundamentally distinct tasks of data analysis. In health applications, this difference can be understood in terms of the difference between prognosis (prediction) and prevention/treatment (causal…

Transformation invariances are present in many real-world problems. For example, image classification is usually invariant to rotation and color transformation: a rotated car in a different color is still identified as a car. Data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Han Shao , Omar Montasser , Avrim Blum

It's regarded as an axiom that a good model is one that compromises between bias and variance. The bias is measured in training cost, while the variance of a (say, regression) model is measure by the cost associated with a validation set.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Joseph R. Barr , Peter Shaw , Marcus Sobel

Many automated system analysis techniques (e.g., model checking, model-based testing) rely on first obtaining a model of the system under analysis. System modeling is often done manually, which is often considered as a hindrance to adopt…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Jingyi Wang , Jun Sun , Qixia Yuan , Jun Pang

In particle physics, the fundamental forces are subject to symmetries called gauge invariance. It is a redundancy in the mathematical description of any physical system. In this article I will demonstrate that the transformer architecture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Leo van Nierop

Models for learning probability distributions such as generative models and density estimators behave quite differently from models for learning functions. One example is found in the memorization phenomenon, namely the ultimate convergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-03 Hongkang Yang , Weinan E

Generalization remains a central yet unresolved challenge in deep learning, particularly the ability to predict a model's performance beyond its training distribution using quantities available prior to test-time evaluation. Building on the…

Classical learning theory suggests that the optimal generalization performance of a machine learning model should occur at an intermediate model complexity, with simpler models exhibiting high bias and more complex models exhibiting high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

The ability of an agent to do well in new environments is a critical aspect of intelligence. In machine learning, this ability is known as $\textit{strong}$ or $\textit{out-of-distribution}$ generalization. However, merely considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Siyuan Guo , Jonas Wildberger , Bernhard Schölkopf

Variable importance (VI) tools describe how much covariates contribute to a prediction model's accuracy. However, important variables for one well-performing model (for example, a linear model $f(\mathbf{x})=\mathbf{x}^{T}\beta$ with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Aaron Fisher , Cynthia Rudin , Francesca Dominici

Statistical integration of diverse data sources is an essential step in the building of generalizable prediction tools, especially in precision health. The invariant features model is a new paradigm for multi-source data integration which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Parker Knight , Ndey Isatou Jobe , Rui Duan

Overfit is a fundamental problem in machine learning in general, and in deep learning in particular. In order to reduce overfit and improve generalization in the classification of images, some employ invariance to a group of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Roee Cates , Daphna Weinshall

A multivariate errors-in-variables (EIV) model with an intercept term, and a polynomial EIV model are considered. Focus is made on a structural homoskedastic case, where vectors of covariates are i.i.d. and measurement errors are i.i.d. as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Alexander Kukush , Ivan Senko

Units equivariance (or units covariance) is the exact symmetry that follows from the requirement that relationships among measured quantities of physics relevance must obey self-consistent dimensional scalings. Here, we express this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-26 Soledad Villar , Weichi Yao , David W. Hogg , Ben Blum-Smith , Bianca Dumitrascu

In this paper, for the first time, we propose an evaluation method for deep learning models that assesses the performance of a model not only in an unseen test scenario, but also in extreme cases of noise, outliers and ambiguous input data.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-03 Magdalini Paschali , Sailesh Conjeti , Fernando Navarro , Nassir Navab

The capacity to generalize beyond the range of training data is a pivotal challenge, often synonymous with a model's utility and robustness. This study investigates the comparative abilities of traditional machine learning (ML) models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Yong Yi Bay , Kathleen A. Yearick

A key question in reinforcement learning is how an intelligent agent can generalize knowledge across different inputs. By generalizing across different inputs, information learned for one input can be immediately reused for improving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Lucas Lehnert , Michael L. Littman

We consider the problem of large-scale inference on the row or column variables of data in the form of a matrix. Often this data is transposable, meaning that both the row variables and column variables are of potential interest. An example…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 Genevera I. Allen , Robert Tibshirani