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Tropical regions may experience periodic extreme precipitation and suffer from associated periodic deluges in a warmer climate. Recent studies conducted small-domain (around 100 km x 100 km) atmospheric model simulations and found that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-26 Heng Quan , Yi Zhang , Guy Dagan , Stephan Fueglistaler

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting in edge-enabled grids requires balancing forecasting accuracy, robustness under weather-driven distribution shifts, and strict latency constraints. Existing models work well under normal conditions but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Nan Qiao , Shuning Wang , Sijing Duan , Wenpeng Cui , Yuzhe Chen , Qingchen Yang , Xingyuan Hua , Ju Ren

The evaluation of climate models is a crucial step in climate studies. It consists of quantifying the resemblance of model outputs to reference data to identify models with superior capacity to replicate specific climate variables. Clearly,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-11 Mario J. Gómez , Luis A. Barboza , Hugo G. Hidalgo , Eric J. Alfaro

Robustly modeling the inner edge of the habitable zone is essential for determining the most promising potentially habitable exoplanets for atmospheric characterization. Global climate models (GCMs) have become the standard tool for…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-25 Jun Yang , Jeremy Leconte , Eric T. Wolf , Timonthy Merlis , Daniel D. B. Koll , Francois Forget , Dorian S. Abbot

Understanding regional hydroclimatic variability and its drivers is essential for anticipating the impacts of climate change on water resources and sustainability. Yet, considerable uncertainty remains in the simulation of the coupled land…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-05 J. L. Roque , F. Da Silva Lopes , J. A. Giles , B. D. Gutknecht , B. Schalge , Y. Zhang , M. Ferro , P. Friederichs , K. Goergen , S. Poll , A. Valmassoi

Machine learning (ML) has achieved remarkable success in climate and marine science. Given that greenhouse warming fundamentally reshapes ocean conditions such as stratification, circulation patterns and eddy activity, evaluating the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-26 Tianmu Zheng , Ru Chen , Xin Su , Julian Mak , Gang Huang , Bingzheng Yan

Near-surface extreme winds profoundly affect human society, yet process-based understanding of their changes under climate forcings remains limited. This study systematically investigates the responses of high (HWE) and low (LWE) wind…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 G. Zhang , M. Rao , I. Simpson , K. A. Reed , B. Medeiros , H. -H. Chou , T. Shaw

Precipitation extremes intensify in most regions in climate-model projections. Changes in vertical velocities contribute to the changes in intensity of precipitation extremes but remain poorly understood. Here, we find that mid-tropospheric…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-16 Ziwei Li , Paul O'Gorman

The surface evapotranspiration (SFCEVP) plays an essential role in climate, being the link between the hydrological and energy cycles. Therefore, how it is approximated and its implication in the regional climate are important aspects to…

Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are crucial components of the hydrological cycle and often produce flash floods. Given their impact, it is crucial to understand how they will change under a warming climate. This study uses a satellite-…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-18 Wenjun Cui , Thomas Galarneau , Kimberly Hoogewind

Using a general circulation model with newly implemented cloud modeling, we investigate how radiative feedback can self-consistently shape condensate cloud distributions, temperatures, and fluxes in a hot Jupiter atmosphere. We apply a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-13 Michael Roman , Emily Rauscher

The effect of aerosol emissions on the properties and distribution of clouds is a large source of uncertainty in predictions of weather and climate. These aerosol-cloud interactions depend critically on the ability of aerosol particles to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-31 Jesse C. Anderson , Payton Beeler , Mikhail Ovchinnikov , Will Cantrell , Steven Krueger , Raymond A. Shaw , Fan Yang , Laura Fierce

Climate change is a result of a complex system of interactions of greenhouse gases (GHG), the ocean, land, ice, and clouds. Large climate change models use several computers and solve several equations to predict the future climate. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-21 Shalin Shah

Quantitative estimates of the contributions of the anthropogenic forcing, characterized by changes in the radiative forcing of atmospheric greenhouse gases (CO2, in particular), and solar activity variations to the trends of the global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-11 Igor I. Mokhov , Dmitry A. Smirnov

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Using a 3D general circulation model (GCM), we investigate the sensitivity of the climate of tidally-locked Earth-like exoplanets, Trappist-1e and Proxima Centauri b, to the choice of a convection parameterization. Compared to a mass-flux…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-11 Denis E. Sergeev , F. Hugo Lambert , Nathan J. Mayne , Ian A. Boutle , James Manners , Krisztian Kohary

This paper addresses the critical challenge of improving predictions of climate extreme events, specifically heat waves, using machine learning methods. Our work is framed as a classification problem in which we try to predict whether…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Julien Collard , Pierre Gentine , Tian Zheng

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential tools for understanding the impact of human actions on Earth's climate. One key application of these models is studying extreme weather events, such as heat waves or dry spells, which have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-25 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

Cloud and precipitation microphysics packages in atmospheric general circulation models typically use first-order time integration methods with a large time step, requiring ad hoc limiters and substepping of the sedimentation scheme to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-13 Justin Dong , Sean P. Santos , Steven B. Roberts , Christopher J. Vogl , Carol S. Woodward

In recent years, the climate change research community has become highly interested in describing the anthropogenic influence on extreme weather events, commonly termed "event attribution." Limitations in the observational record and in…

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