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Traditional economic models often rely on fixed assumptions about market dynamics, limiting their ability to capture the complexities and stochastic nature of real-world scenarios. However, reality is more complex and includes noise, making…

We present an empirical analysis of the network formed by the trade relationships between all world countries, or World Trade Web (WTW). Each (directed) link is weighted by the amount of wealth flowing between two countries, and each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-02-06 D. Garlaschelli , T. Di Matteo , T. Aste , G. Caldarelli , M. I. Loffredo

Economy, and consequently trade, is a fundamental part of human social organization which, until now, has not been studied within the network modelling framework. Networks are mathematical tools used in the modelling of a wide variety of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Angeles Serrano , Marian Boguna

Using the new data from the OECD-WTO world network of economic activities we construct the Google matrix $G$ of this directed network and perform its detailed analysis. The network contains 58 countries and 37 activity sectors for years…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-21 V. Kandiah , H. Escaith , D. L. Shepelyansky

Dynamic network data have become ubiquitous in social network analysis, with new information becoming available that captures when friendships form, when corporate transactions happen and when countries interact with each other. Flexible…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-16 Yunran Chen , Alexander Volfovsky

In this paper, we investigate the statistical features of the weighted international-trade network. By finding the maximum weight spanning trees for this network we make the extraction of the truly relevant connections forming the network's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-19 Patryk Skowron , Mariusz Karpiarz , Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

In economic literature, economic complexity is typically approximated on the basis of an economy's gross export structure. However, in times of ever increasingly integrated global value chains, gross exports may convey an inaccurate image…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-11 Philipp Koch

This paper investigates the evolving dynamics of international trade, emphasizing the strategic interplay between competition and cooperation within the global trade network. It argues that competitive advantages - rather than traditional…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-25 Xingwei Hu

International Trade (IT) plays a fundamental role in today's economy: by connecting world countries production and consumption processes, it radically contributes in shaping their economy and development path. Although its evolving…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-24 Paolo Sgrignoli

This study investigates the inherently random structures of dry bulk shipping networks, often likened to a taxi service, and identifies the underlying trade dynamics that contribute to this randomness within individual cargo sub-networks.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-04 Yan Li , Carol Alexander , Michael Coulon , Istvan Kiss

We analyze a proprietary dataset of trades by a single asset manager, comparing their price impact with that of the trades of the rest of the market. In the context of a linear propagator model we find no significant difference between the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-03 Bence Toth , Zoltan Eisler , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We study a credit risk model which captures effects of economic interactions on a firm's default probability. Economic interactions are represented as a functionally defined graph, and the existence of both cooperative, and competitive,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn

The weighted and directed network of countries based on the number of overseas banks is analyzed in terms of its fragility to the banking crisis of one country. We use two different models to describe transmission of shocks, one local and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-07 Xiaobing Feng , Woo Seong Jo , Beom Jun Kim

Trade is a fundamental pillar of economy and a form of social organization. Its empirical characterization at the worldwide scale is represented by the World Trade Web (WTW), the network built upon the trade relationships between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-09 Pau Erola , Albert Diaz-Guilera , Sergio Gomez , Alex Arenas

The relationship between international trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) is one of the main features of globalization. In this paper we investigate the effects of FDI on trade from a network perspective, since FDI takes not only…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-02 Paolo Sgrignoli , Rodolfo Metulini , Zhen Zhu , Massimo Riccaboni

We present a model of worldwide crisis contagion based on the Google matrix analysis of the world trade network obtained from the UN Comtrade database. The fraction of bankrupted countries exhibits an \textit{on-off} phase transition…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Célestin Coquidé , José Lages , Dima L. Shepelyansky

Energy security and energy trade are the cornerstones of global economic and social development. The structural robustness of the international oil trade network (iOTN) plays an important role in the global economy. We integrate the machine…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-21 Wen-Jie Xie , Na Wei , Wei-Xing Zhou

The relatedness between a country or a firm and a product is a measure of the feasibility of that economic activity. As such, it is a driver for investments at a private and institutional level. Traditionally, relatedness is measured using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Giambattista Albora , Andrea Zaccaria

Networks are ubiquitous in economic research on organizations, trade, and many other areas. However, while economic theory extensively considers networks, no general framework for their empirical modeling has yet emerged. We thus introduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-10 Giacomo De Nicola , Cornelius Fritz , Marius Mehrl , Göran Kauermann

The latest financial crisis has painfully revealed the dangers arising from a globally interconnected financial system. Conventional approaches based on the notion of the existence of equilibrium and those which rely on statistical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-12 V. Sasidevan , Nils Bertschinger