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Linear Least Squares is a very well known technique for parameter estimation, which is used even when sub-optimal, because of its very low computational requirements and the fact that exact knowledge of the noise statistics is not required.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-01 Michael Krikheli , Amir Leshem

Prediction via deterministic continuous-time models will always be subject to model error, for example due to unexplainable phenomena, uncertainties in any data driving the model, or discretisation/resolution issues. In this paper, we build…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Liam Blake , John Maclean , Sanjeeva Balasuriya

Stochastic iterative algorithms, including stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD), are widely utilized for optimization and sampling in large-scale and high-dimensional problems in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Xiaoyu Wang , Mikolaj J. Kasprzak , Jeffrey Negrea , Solesne Bourguin , Jonathan H. Huggins

Estimating model accuracy on unseen, unlabeled datasets is crucial for real-world machine learning applications, especially under distribution shifts that can degrade performance. Existing methods often rely on predicted class probabilities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Chenzhi Liu , Mahsa Baktashmotlagh , Yanran Tang , Zi Huang , Ruihong Qiu

The paper suggests a generalization of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) finite sample system identification method for the identification of closed-loop observable stochastic linear systems in state-space form. The solution builds on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

We consider linear programming (LP) problems in infinite dimensional spaces that are in general computationally intractable. Under suitable assumptions, we develop an approximation bridge from the infinite-dimensional LP to tractable finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-22 Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Tobias Sutter , Daniel Kuhn , John Lygeros

We investigate the theoretical performances of the Partial Least Square (PLS) algorithm in a high dimensional context. We provide upper bounds on the risk in prediction for the statistical linear model when considering the PLS estimator.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Luca Castelli , Irène Gannaz , Clément Marteau

Stochastic first-order methods are standard for training large-scale machine learning models. Random behavior may cause a particular run of an algorithm to result in a highly suboptimal objective value, whereas theoretical guarantees are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-02 Eduard Gorbunov , Marina Danilova , Innokentiy Shibaev , Pavel Dvurechensky , Alexander Gasnikov

Stochastic gradient descent with momentum, also known as Stochastic Heavy Ball method (SHB), is one of the most popular algorithms for solving large-scale stochastic optimization problems in various machine learning tasks. In practical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Dimitris Oikonomou , Nicolas Loizou

In this paper, we consider multi-stage stochastic optimization problems with convex objectives and conic constraints at each stage. We present a new stochastic first-order method, namely the dynamic stochastic approximation (DSA) algorithm,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Guanghui Lan , Zhiqiang Zhou

Under-approximations of reachable sets and tubes have been receiving growing research attention due to their important roles in control synthesis and verification. Available under-approximation methods applicable to continuous-time linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-15 Mohamed Serry , Jun Liu

This paper presents the first sufficient conditions that guarantee the stability and almost sure convergence of multi-timescale stochastic approximation (SA) iterates. It extends the existing results on one-timescale and two-timescale SA…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-16 Rohan Deb , Swetha Ganesh , Shalabh Bhatnagar

One key challenge for solving a general stochastic optimization problem with expectations in the objective and constraint functions using ordinary stochastic iterative methods lies in the infeasibility issue caused by the randomness over…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Chencheng Ye , Ying Cui

Policy evaluation in reinforcement learning is often conducted using two-timescale stochastic approximation, which results in various gradient temporal difference methods such as GTD(0), GTD2, and TDC. Here, we provide convergence rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Gal Dalal , Balazs Szorenyi , Gugan Thoppe

We derive a finite-sample probabilistic bound on the parameter estimation error of a system identification algorithm for Linear Switched Systems. The algorithm estimates Markov parameters from a single trajectory and applies a variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Daniel Racz , Mihaly Petreczky , Balint Daroczy

This paper presents a new static analysis for deriving upper bounds on the expected resource consumption of probabilistic programs. The analysis is fully automatic and derives symbolic bounds that are multivariate polynomials of the inputs.…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Van Chan Ngo , Quentin Carbonneaux , Jan Hoffmann

A stochastic iterative algorithm approximating second-order information using von Neumann series is discussed. We present convergence guarantees for strongly-convex and smooth functions. Our analysis is much simpler in contrast to a similar…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-14 Mojmir Mutny

We study the local convergence rate of stochastic first-order methods under a local $\alpha$-Polyak-Lojasiewicz ($\alpha$-PL) condition in a neighborhood of a target connected component $\mathcal{M}$ of the local minimizer set. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Saeed Masiha , Saber Salehkaleybar , Niao He , Negar Kiyavash , Patrick Thiran

We propose a statistical adaptive procedure called SALSA for automatically scheduling the learning rate (step size) in stochastic gradient methods. SALSA first uses a smoothed stochastic line-search procedure to gradually increase the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-26 Pengchuan Zhang , Hunter Lang , Qiang Liu , Lin Xiao

This paper compiles several aspects of the dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms with Markov iterate-dependent noise when the iterates are not known to be stable beforehand. We achieve the same by extending the lock-in probability…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Prasenjit Karmakar , Shalabh Bhatnagar