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We analyze the statistical properties of a temporal point process driven by a confined fractional Brownian motion. The event count distribution and power spectral density of this non--Markovian point process exhibit power--law scaling. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-31 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Rytis Kazakevičius , Bronislovas Kaulakys

We exhibit conditions under which the flow of marginal distributions of a discontinuous semimartingale $\xi$ can be matched by a Markov process, whose infinitesimal generator is expressed in terms of the local characteristics of $\xi$. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-17 Amel Bentata , Rama Cont

We derive concentration inequalities for empirical means $\frac{1}{t} \int_0^t f(X_s) ds$ where $X_s$ is an irreducible Markov jump process on a finite state space and $f$ some observable. Using a Feynman-Kac semigroup we first derive a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Santiago Carrero Ibanez

This paper is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the jump rate and the cumulative rate for a general class of non-homogeneous marked renewal processes, defined on a separable metric space. In our framework, the estimation needs only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Romain Azaïs , François Dufour , Anne Gégout-Petit

We obtain large deviations theorems for nonconventional sums with underlying process being a Markov process satisfying the Doeblin condition or a dynamical system such as subshift of finite type or hyperbolic or expanding transformation.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-21 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

We derive explicit formulas for probabilities of Brownian motion with jumps crossing linear or piecewise linear boundaries in any finite interval. We then use these formulas to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

This article provides the mathematical foundation for stochastically continuous affine processes on the cone of positive semidefinite symmetric matrices. This analysis has been motivated by a large and growing use of matrix-valued affine…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-12 Christa Cuchiero , Damir Filipović , Eberhard Mayerhofer , Josef Teichmann

In the article the distributions of overjump functionals for almost semi-continuous processes on a finite irreducible Markov chain are considered.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-22 Ievgen Karnaukh

This paper deals with the identification of piecewise affine state-space models. These models are obtained by partitioning the state or input domain into a finite number of regions and by considering affine submodels in each region. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Rafael Rui , Tohid Ardeshiri , Alexandre Bazanella

In this paper we introduce non-decreasing jump processes with independent and time non-homogeneous increments. Although they are not L\'evy processes, they somehow generalize subordinators in the sense that their Laplace exponents are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Enzo Orsingher , Costantino Ricciuti , Bruno Toaldo

We consider here point processes $N^f(t)$, $t>0$, with independent increments and integer-valued jumps whose distribution is expressed in terms of Bern\v{s}tein functions $f$ with L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain the general expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Enzo Orsingher , Bruno Toaldo

We have created a functional framework for a class of non-metric gradient systems. The state space is a space of nonnegative measures, and the class of systems includes the Forward Kolmogorov equations for the laws of Markov jump processes…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Mark A. Peletier , Riccarda Rossi , Giuseppe Savaré , Oliver Tse

It is common, when dealing with quantum processes involving a subsystem of a much larger composite closed system, to treat them as effectively memory-less (Markovian). While open systems theory tells us that non-Markovian processes should…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-02 Pedro Figueroa-Romero , Kavan Modi , Felix A. Pollock

The purpose of this comment is to correct mistaken assumptions and claims made in the paper Stochastic feedback, nonlinear families of Markov processes, and nonlinear Fokker-Planck equations by T. D. Frank. Our comment centers on the claims…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley

Continuity equations associated to continuous-time Markov processes can be considered as Euclidean Schr\"odinger equations, where the non-hermitian quantum Hamiltonian $\bold{H}={\bold{div}}{\bold J}$ is naturally factorized into the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-19 Cecile Monthus

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

Understanding the fluctuations by which phenomenological evolution equations with thermodynamic structure can be enhanced is the key to a general framework of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. These fluctuations provide an idealized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-03 Hans Christian Öttinger , Mark A. Peletier , Alberto Montefusco

We develop a semi-parametric state-space model for time-series data with latent regime transitions. Classical Markov-switching models use fixed parametric transition functions, such as logistic or probit links, which restrict flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-08 Prakul Sunil Hiremath

In this paper, we consider a subclass of piecewise deterministic Markov processes with a Polish state space that involve a deterministic motion punctuated by random jumps, occurring in a Poisson-like fashion with some state-dependent rate,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Dawid Czapla