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The Kingman coalescent is a fundamental process in population genetics modelling the ancestry of a sample of individuals backwards in time. In this paper, in a large-sample-size regime, we study asymptotic properties of the coalescent under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

In the absence of selection, the structure of allelic diversity is described by the elegant sampling formula of Ewens. This formula has helped shape our expectations of empirical patterns of molecular variation. Along with coalescent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-05-30 Michael M. Desai , Lauren E. Nicolaisen , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Joshua B. Plotkin

We consider a trait-structured population subject to mutation, birth and competition of logistic type, where the number of coexisting types may fluctuate. Applying a limit of rare mutations to this population while keeping the population…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

We introduce a class of Markov coalescent processes on the continuous $d$-dimensional torus, in the most general setting of simultaneous multiple mergers, called the Brownian spatial coalescent. It is axiomatically defined through a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Peter Koepernik

Widely used models in genetics include the Wright-Fisher diffusion and its moment dual, Kingman's coalescent. Each has a multilocus extension but under neither extension is the sampling distribution available in closed-form, and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Paul Fearnhead , Yun S. Song

What is a population? This review considers how a population may be defined in terms of understanding the structure of the underlying genetics of the individuals involved. The main approach is to consider statistically identifiable groups…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-05 Daniel John Lawson

Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Janique Krasnowska , Paul Jenkins , Adam Johansen

The nested Kingman coalescent describes the dynamics of particles (called genes) contained in larger components (called species), where pairs of species coalesce at constant rate and pairs of genes coalesce at constant rate provided they…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

When particles on a line collide, they may coalesce into one. Such systems arise in the voter model, where boundaries between opinion clusters perform coalescing random walks, and in reaction-diffusion theory, where diffusing particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Piotr Śniady

Recovery of population size history from molecular sequence data is an important problem in population genetics. Inference commonly relies on a coalescent model linking the population size history to genealogies. The high computational cost…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 James E. Johndrow , Julia A. Palacios

The results in this paper provide new information on asymptotic properties of classical models: the neutral Kingman coalescent under a general finite-alleles, parent-dependent mutation mechanism, and its generalisation, the ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

Computational inference of dated evolutionary histories relies upon various hypotheses about RNA, DNA, and protein sequence mutation rates. Using mutation rates to infer these dated histories is referred to as molecular clock assumption.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-11 Lena Collienne , Kieran Elmes , Mareike Fischer , David Bryant , Alex Gavryushkin

We study a model of a population with individuals sampled from different species. The Yule-$\Lambda$ nested coalescent describes the genealogy of the sample when each species merges with another randomly chosen species with a constant rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Toni Gui

Traditionally, frequency dependent evolutionary dynamics is described by deterministic replicator dynamics assuming implicitly infinite population sizes. Only recently have stochastic processes been introduced to study evolutionary dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

We are interested in the long-time behavior of a diploid population with sexual reproduction, characterized by its genotype composition at one bi-allelic locus. The population is modeled by a 3-dimensional birth-and-death process with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Camille Coron

Bertoin and Le Gall (2003) introduced a certain probability measure valued Markov process that describes the evolution of a population, such that a sample from this population would exhibit a genealogy given by the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Nordvall Lagerås

We consider catalytic branching populations. They consist of a catalyst population evolving according to a critical binary branching process in continuous time with a constant branching rate and a reactant population with a branching rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Andreas Greven , Lea Popovic , Anita Winter

We consider a stochastic model, called the replicator coalescent, describing a system of blocks of $k$ different types which undergo pairwise mergers at rates depending on the block types: with rate $C_{i,j}$ blocks of type $i$ and $j$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 A. E. Kyprianou , L. Peñaloza , T. Rogers
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